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Statistically Speaking

Topic closed. 13 replies. Last post 9 years ago by KY Floyd.

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Are Most Wins QP or Selected Numbers

Most Wins (over 70-75%)are QP [ 18 ]  [52.94%]
Most wins (over 60 %) are QP [ 5 ]  [14.71%]
Most wins (over 55%) are QP [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
Most wins (over 50%) are QP [ 2 ]  [5.88%]
Most wins (over 70-75% are selected #s [ 2 ]  [5.88%]
Most wins (over 60%) are selected #s [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
Most wins (over 55%) are selected #s [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
Most wins (Over 50%) are selected #s [ 1 ]  [2.94%]
I do not know the statistics [ 6 ]  [17.65%]
Total Valid Votes [ 34 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 1 ]  
mylollipop's avatar - Trek STLOGO6.png

United States
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Posted: March 30, 2008, 7:47 am - IP Logged

I thought I read that most wins are quick picks (QP), maybe not.  Well, now I remember calling the LA Lottery once and the operator stated that most Lotto Wins were QP in LA, even PB.  So-what are the statistics for the games.  Any math savvy LP Members out there know?

    fja's avatar - gnome1

    United States
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    Posted: March 30, 2008, 9:50 am - IP Logged

    Last stat I heard is that approx: 75% of the winners are QP, however I also heard that approx:75% of the numbers played are QP's also.....

    "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
      mid-Ohio
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      Posted: March 30, 2008, 10:51 am - IP Logged

      From :http://www.powerball.com/pb_contact.asp 

      WHICH HAS THE BETTER CHANCE OF WINNING: COMPUTER PICKS OR PLAYER PICKS?

      About 70% to 80% of purchases are computer picks. About 70% to80% of winners are computer picks. Perhaps just one of those weird coincidences?

      I've seen similar remarks on other lottery websites too.

       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
         
                   Evil Looking       

        four4me's avatar - gate1
        MD
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        Posted: March 30, 2008, 11:21 am - IP Logged

        I thought I read that most wins are quick picks (QP), maybe not.  Well, now I remember calling the LA Lottery once and the operator stated that most Lotto Wins were QP in LA, even PB.  So-what are the statistics for the games.  Any math savvy LP Members out there know?

        Your post made me wonder if we would have higher jackpots if we were all forced to select our own numbers and there were no such thing as quick picks. We may very well have seen jackpots in the 1/2 million dollar range or higher. Probably because people would be playing more lower numbers. Humm!

        However it's a known fact that more jackpots are won with Qpicks because more Qpicks are sold than personal picks.

          konane's avatar - wallace
          Atlanta, GA
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          Posted: March 30, 2008, 11:40 am - IP Logged

          Your post made me wonder if we would have higher jackpots if we were all forced to select our own numbers and there were no such thing as quick picks. We may very well have seen jackpots in the 1/2 million dollar range or higher. Probably because people would be playing more lower numbers. Humm!

          However it's a known fact that more jackpots are won with Qpicks because more Qpicks are sold than personal picks.

          Years ago in Lotto World Magazine [out of print for years] there are more winners among people who select their own numbers as opposed to QP.  Imagine it still holds true although I haven't seen any follow up articles.

          Good luck to everyone!

            ThatScaryChick's avatar - x1MqPuM
            Idaho
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            Posted: March 30, 2008, 12:28 pm - IP Logged

            Years ago in Lotto World Magazine [out of print for years] there are more winners among people who select their own numbers as opposed to QP.  Imagine it still holds true although I haven't seen any follow up articles.

            That might be true with games like Pick 3 and Pick 4, but not with jackpot games.

            "No one remembers the person who almost climbed the mountain, only the person who eventually gets to the top."

              konane's avatar - wallace
              Atlanta, GA
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              Posted: March 30, 2008, 12:51 pm - IP Logged

              That might be true with games like Pick 3 and Pick 4, but not with jackpot games.

              If memory serves me they were talking about jackpot games because those were the majority of the magazine's focus .... winning the big one.

               

              Clarification to my first statement.  Lotto World says more quick picks win because more quick picks were played ......  however, there was a higher percentage of winners among those who chose their own numbers.

              Good luck to everyone!

                RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                mid-Ohio
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                Posted: March 30, 2008, 12:52 pm - IP Logged

                Your post made me wonder if we would have higher jackpots if we were all forced to select our own numbers and there were no such thing as quick picks. We may very well have seen jackpots in the 1/2 million dollar range or higher. Probably because people would be playing more lower numbers. Humm!

                However it's a known fact that more jackpots are won with Qpicks because more Qpicks are sold than personal picks.

                The way the question is answered at the PowerBall website FAQ section it seems like it makes no difference. 

                The only people who says it does are those selling lottery software and they just say players have won using their software.  They never mention how much players lose using their software.

                The LP predictors pick their own numbers, but their win percentages aren't higher than the win percentages for the general public.

                 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                   
                             Evil Looking       

                  Coin Toss's avatar - shape barbed.jpg
                  Zeta Reticuli Star System
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                  Posted: March 30, 2008, 12:57 pm - IP Logged

                  Pick a state and a game, subscribe to the e-mail ist of winners, track it for yourself for awhile, and see what you find.

                  I just finished a comparison of the first 89 days of 2007 and 2008 for Illinois Little Lotto, a daily 5/39 game (Pick 5 Forum):

                  Here's the results:

                  First 89 days of 2007 were:

                  2007 Jackpots: 

                  Jan:  14 QP, 6 player selected numbers

                  Feb:  13 QP, 6 player selected numbers

                  Mar:  16 QP, 4 player seplected numbers 

                  For those 89 days that was 43 QP winners and 16 player's numbers winners, or 72.8% QPs.

                  First 89 days of 2008 

                  39 jackpots 29 QP 19 PS

                  74.3% QP 

                  So one year apart and the QPs were within 1.5% of each other.

                  72.8% the first year, 74.3% the next year, pretty consistent.

                  Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any.

                  Lep

                  There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.

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                    Posted: March 30, 2008, 5:24 pm - IP Logged

                    The ticket I hit on Friday night on MM were hand picked.

                         OLD/Vtrac   Lottery Bible         Double Warnings      Thumbs Up TN F34/F44

                      ConstantlyB's avatar - chi
                      Wilson
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                      Posted: March 30, 2008, 10:42 pm - IP Logged

                       the lines i choose i play separate from the ones the computer gives me......usually I choose my own PB number.

                       

                      ......

                      "MAKE THAT MONEY YA'LL"

                      wisdom from Tyler Perry's Madea:"It doesn't matter what people call you....it's what you answer to."

                        guesser's avatar - Lottery-017.jpg

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                        Posted: March 31, 2008, 2:16 am - IP Logged

                        If memory serves me they were talking about jackpot games because those were the majority of the magazine's focus .... winning the big one.

                         

                        Clarification to my first statement.  Lotto World says more quick picks win because more quick picks were played ......  however, there was a higher percentage of winners among those who chose their own numbers.

                        I read that somewhere about 2 months ago.

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                          NY
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                          Posted: March 31, 2008, 3:54 am - IP Logged

                          You probably read it here. Somebody said that someone selling a system claimed that a higher percentage of self-picks win, and Coin Toss pointed out that the source of the claim isn't an unbiased source.

                          The diamond industry says you should spend two months salary on an engagement ring, and the ice cream industry thinks your ideal weight is 300 pounds. 

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                            NY
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                            Posted: March 31, 2008, 3:56 am - IP Logged

                            The ticket I hit on Friday night on MM were hand picked.

                            Every ticket I've bought this year was a self-pick. Is there some reason that you think my tickets or yours have any relevance at all to the current discussion?