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# Pick-3 Straights ...Play history ...win 1 outta 5 draws.

Topic closed. 3 replies. Last post 8 years ago by WIN D.

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Stone Mountain*Georgia
United States
Member #828
November 2, 2002
10491 Posts
Offline
 Posted: July 24, 2008, 9:55 am - IP Logged

True ......or ..... not True

Average game is 365 draws a year.

Average number of Repeat numbers is around 15 to 20% during the year .

365 x 20% = 73 repeat straights per year.       365 / divided by 73 = repeaterevery 5 draws ?

Ct eve had 74 straight repeats last year.

When I first saw this ...my gutt said this was high average.  Maybe it's really not ....  Maybe it's actually low.

Now ..... I'm thinking it would be better to drop HISTORY ....and go static (in theory).

Looks as if it would be better to play any other group of straights .....rather than playing the history.

The only real failure .....is the failure to try.

Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much.

Odds never change .....but probability does.

Win d

Pennsylvania
United States
Member #2218
September 1, 2003
5387 Posts
Online
 Posted: July 24, 2008, 3:49 pm - IP Logged

True ......or ..... not True

Average game is 365 draws a year.

Average number of Repeat numbers is around 15 to 20% during the year .

365 x 20% = 73 repeat straights per year.       365 / divided by 73 = repeaterevery 5 draws ?

Ct eve had 74 straight repeats last year.

When I first saw this ...my gutt said this was high average.  Maybe it's really not ....  Maybe it's actually low.

Now ..... I'm thinking it would be better to drop HISTORY ....and go static (in theory).

Looks as if it would be better to play any other group of straights .....rather than playing the history.

Hey Chaz,

Georgia Eve picks you have 81 times a repeat 6-way if you ga back 365 draws after each drawing.

Total 115 if you include (34) doubles.

Largest skip is 14 draws that no repeat in 365 draws.

I guess if you take the last 365 past 6-ways only and filter it down to a "smart" playable list you might be on to something. Hmm.

Pennsylvania
United States
Member #2218
September 1, 2003
5387 Posts
Online
 Posted: July 24, 2008, 4:13 pm - IP Logged

Another interesting observation is that 34 doubles repeated.

Meaning if a double was drawn today and it was drawn in the last 365 draws we call it a repeat.

The interesting observation is that when a double repeats from the previous 365 draws a "no-match" or 6-way combo repeats the next draw after that double draw a total of 13 times.

So, what this means is wait for a double repeat to be drawn and gather your last 365 draws.  Remove all the doubles and triples then filter what's left, the "6-ways".

We're talking about straight only here.

Stone Mountain*Georgia
United States
Member #828
November 2, 2002
10491 Posts
Offline
 Posted: July 25, 2008, 7:34 am - IP Logged

Another interesting observation is that 34 doubles repeated.

Meaning if a double was drawn today and it was drawn in the last 365 draws we call it a repeat.

The interesting observation is that when a double repeats from the previous 365 draws a "no-match" or 6-way combo repeats the next draw after that double draw a total of 13 times.

So, what this means is wait for a double repeat to be drawn and gather your last 365 draws.  Remove all the doubles and triples then filter what's left, the "6-ways".

We're talking about straight only here.

So, about a 3rd of the time after a double repeat hits... a single will hit next that is also a repeat from the last 365 draws ...... total of 13 times or about a third of the time.

Math wise ..... that makes since cause .... 365 is about a third of the total 1000. If we tracked the other 2 (365 groups) or other 2/3 rds  the same way ... they would each end up with about 13 each or around a  third each as well.

It could be like the "Old Man's Zero Trick" ....it works cause there is math behind it. But , it's a great way to remember and act on it.   Hmmmm

----------------------------------------------------------------------

In general.... it seems like a good working number to use on these comeback Straights and estimate their repeat averages during the last 365 draws each year is around ...... (15 %) for singles and doubles.

Ga eve last year had 98 doubles .... of those 34 were repeats..  and of those 34 .... 20 repeated in Box form..... and only 14 repeated in exact straight form.

So.....of the 98 total doubles last year ..... only 20 or 14% were comback repeat Straight doubles.  Not the expected average of 15% ...... but close enough for ruff estimations.

Sort of a brain storming way to think of it I guess would be...

If we knew when a double was about to hit .....and played only the last 64 doubles (the ones that hadn't repeated of the 98 total) .....  98 minus -34 already hit repeats ...... each time ........ and played them all Straight.... we would have a 14% or 15% chance at a STRAIGHT HIT DOUBLE.  Yeah...win.

....of course if we always played the same 98 doubles straight each time ...in the same straight form....we would always win about 33% of the time doubles hit .......no matter what.  LOL

The only real failure .....is the failure to try.

Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much.

Odds never change .....but probability does.

Win d

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