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Going to share a tip (MegaMillions)

Topic closed. 10 replies. Last post 8 years ago by Doc Tor.

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Northern Ohio
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Posted: August 15, 2008, 11:13 am - IP Logged

Look for the fourth ball to repeat itself from the previous drawing soon. Also, ball 1-ball 2 is overdue to be consecutive (i.e. first ball is 13, second ball is 14, etc).

In about 3 or four drawings hence, the Mega ball will be due to repeat from the previous drawing.

    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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    Posted: August 15, 2008, 12:26 pm - IP Logged

    Actually in the last 328 MegaMillions drawings since the last matrix change, the bonus number has only repeated in the next drawing seven times, so that's 7/328 or about 1/47.

     06/17/08   05 14 25 47 49     36  7
     06/13/08   08 09 14 38 44     36 

     05/06/08   04 21 46 53 54     26  6
     05/02/08   08 28 37 53 55     26  5
     04/29/08   19 24 35 44 51     26 

     06/15/07   01 05 16 26 30     21  4
     06/12/07   03 13 19 31 50     21 

     02/16/07   17 35 40 46 48     41  3
     02/13/07   03 09 24 29 41     41  2
     02/09/07   32 39 46 48 49     41 

     05/23/06   17 21 28 48 54     01  1
     05/19/06   05 12 31 51 56     01

    Also in the last 328 drawings  207 of the drawings had none of the 5 core numbers from the previous drawings, 105 had one number, 14 has two and 1 had three.

     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
       
                 Evil Looking       

      Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
      CT
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      Posted: August 15, 2008, 5:24 pm - IP Logged

      Even if we were *sure* to know what the 4th ball will be, odds would still be 1 in 15,688,530 to get the rest.

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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        Posted: August 15, 2008, 5:45 pm - IP Logged

        There are only 3,819,816  possible combinations of 5 in a pool of 56 numbers. If you use the numbers from the last drawing as a key number one at a time then there are  1,249,500 possible combinations of 5.  Choosing the right Mega ball make the task of winning the jackpot 46 times harder.

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          spy153's avatar - maren

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          Posted: August 15, 2008, 6:36 pm - IP Logged

          Judging by that, it doesn't look like it will do it again for the rest of the year., unless there were more in '07.

          voir-vous dans mes reves!Cool

            RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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            Posted: August 15, 2008, 8:07 pm - IP Logged

            Everything Jimhowlett predicts will happen probably several times before the end of the year, it just not specific enough to predict it will all happen tonight.  When I pick my combinations for tonight's drawing I will pick ones with profiles similar to 70% of previous winning numbers but have never matched more 3of5 of them.

             * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
               
                         Evil Looking       

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              Northern Ohio
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              Posted: August 16, 2008, 11:32 am - IP Logged

              Everything Jimhowlett predicts will happen probably several times before the end of the year, it just not specific enough to predict it will all happen tonight.  When I pick my combinations for tonight's drawing I will pick ones with profiles similar to 70% of previous winning numbers but have never matched more 3of5 of them.

              I should probably have been more specific but I meant there is a good chance it would repeat last night (aka, it is overdue). We must remember the lottery listens to no one. Nothing is set in stone until after the fact.

              Still, I wont $10 on this play (playing $5) with my new system so I'm happy.

                guesser's avatar - Lottery-017.jpg

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                Posted: August 19, 2008, 3:19 am - IP Logged

                I should probably have been more specific but I meant there is a good chance it would repeat last night (aka, it is overdue). We must remember the lottery listens to no one. Nothing is set in stone until after the fact.

                Still, I wont $10 on this play (playing $5) with my new system so I'm happy.

                Jim, as you surmised, the lottery listens to no one.

                I have charted (PB) where we had a repeat number in 48 out of 100 games - nearly 50% - then it slowly dwindled to 12%, and I'm not even sure where it is today...    46 out of the last 100 games, so it's going back up, BUT over the last 12 games, we have had 4 repeat numbers - including two in one game, so it's more like 3/12, 25%, so maybe it's cooling off ???

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                  Northern Ohio
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                  Posted: August 19, 2008, 1:18 pm - IP Logged

                  Jim, as you surmised, the lottery listens to no one.

                  I have charted (PB) where we had a repeat number in 48 out of 100 games - nearly 50% - then it slowly dwindled to 12%, and I'm not even sure where it is today...    46 out of the last 100 games, so it's going back up, BUT over the last 12 games, we have had 4 repeat numbers - including two in one game, so it's more like 3/12, 25%, so maybe it's cooling off ???

                  That's why it is essential that you adjust your tracking system to the trends. For example, for MegaMillions, I keep track of the past 50 drawings. That's about 6 months. That is my sample from where I look at my patterns. Anything beyond that I consider outdated and possibly a skew. Sometimes too much information is too much information and you want to create a window of relevance instead of looking at the entire picture. So once I start to accumulate more than 50 drawings on my spreadsheet, I start to move the older drawings to an archive database then delete them on the main database I use to run my algorithms.

                  I've found that by picking my pool of numbers to play from the last fifty drawings yields a considerably higher percentage of hits than by taking into account the entire history of the MegaMillions drawings dating back to the beginning of the last format (i.e. 5/56 + 1/46).

                    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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                    Posted: August 19, 2008, 6:08 pm - IP Logged

                    My data base with 1173 records has both the old BigGame and MegaMillion results.  If I just want to use the MM data since the last matrix change I limit my search to the last 329 records.  If I just want to use the most recent records that have all 56 numbers I limit my search to the last 34 records.  What ever history of the game I want to compare, it's all there at my finger tips.  Since no combination of five have repeated during the entire history of the game, I check my picks using the whole data base.

                     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                       
                                 Evil Looking       

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                      Posted: August 19, 2008, 6:23 pm - IP Logged

                      I should probably have been more specific but I meant there is a good chance it would repeat last night (aka, it is overdue). We must remember the lottery listens to no one. Nothing is set in stone until after the fact.

                      Still, I wont $10 on this play (playing $5) with my new system so I'm happy.

                      Jimhowlett

                      Would you send me you spreadsheet that you us to pick you numbers?

                      Doc Tor