|Posted: April 19, 2009, 5:46 am - IP Logged|
First, 280M players? I'm fairly certain it's not even close to that even if you combine the total sales of both games unless it's a monster jackpot and even then that's sales, not people playing. This could IMO be the final nail in the coffin of many state lottery games that are already struggling, then there's the huge raise in the odds that would take place which I think would then turn off some and actually, perhaps drive people back to the smaller, single state lotteries, but I doubt it.
BTW, it hasn't been that long since the last large (I'll guess your definition of large for MM or PB would be 250M+) jackpots, last year had some 200+ million ones and there was the Georgia winner that was something like 270M and let's not forget that Mega Millions had two 300M+ jackpots in just 2007. It's no wonder it hasn't made it that high again, look at Powerball, they've raised the odds to a crazy number that's worse than MM even though PB with it's larger number of states, still has a smaller population (not counting the people from out of state) than the states that make up Mega Millions. Yet Powerball jackpots still haven't shot through the roof after four and a half months. Meh, I don't know, it's not my problem. I just don't think it would be a good idea and that would do more to hurt both games and the states than it would to help.
You can't predict random.