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PA Eve Historical Picks (new at this)

Topic closed. 6 replies. Last post 7 years ago by SamBuca.

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SamBuca's avatar - xstr
New Member
Carlisle, PA USA
United States
Member #12410
March 13, 2005
78 Posts
Offline
Posted: July 27, 2009, 8:42 pm - IP Logged

Been playing the lottery for the last 10 years before I put any real thought into what I was actually doing (and I've been lurking here for many years without posting).  At first, I was playing random numbers that I'd choose or I'd use quick pick.  Then I did research into true random number generators...so I started picking numbers by radioactive decay and amplifier noise.  I realized that even though they provide the most accurate random numbers, they still will show a bias.....even if we don't have the technology to see the true accuracy or understand from where the bias originates.

That led me to historial numbers.  It seemed to me that when a system shows bias, it will develop a pattern over time that we can see.  I put all the PA daily evening numbers (pick 3) into a database and did some simple calculations.  Indeed, I noticed the bias towards certain numbers and/or combinations showing up more than others.  I played the numbers and didn't do well.

Another thought hit me....they're obviously not using the same set of balls that were used in the 80s, so the bias will change.  I calculated 3 sets of numbers now.....all-time, past year and past month.  I hoped it would take into account the various sets of balls/machines they rotate.  Since we can't know which sets are being used when, I'd have to settle with a less accurate bias guessing of all the balls/machines in rotation.

In any case, I seem to be doing better.  2 straight wins this month with a boxed win tonight.  I wish I had used the Predictions part of the site to demonstrate it, but I didn't even notice it until now (the boxed win from tonight was in there, although I posted the numbers in the afternoon and I think it has a 12p cutoff).

I don't know if it's just dumb luck or if I'm on to something.....from a few posts I've read in the mathematics forum, it seems that there's a dozen ways of calculating historical numbers.  I'll definitely be reading more about it.

In the mean time, here's the picks from today and my picks for tomorrow.  It lists the pick, the last time it was drawn, and starting with tomorrow's picks, the 1 year and 1 month time periods show the draw within the time period with the total draws since inception.  First it goes through the most seen numbers, then it goes through the least seen numbers. 

7/27/09

MOST

Inception

0 8 6Last 5/16/08; Draws 13

6 0 5Last 1/16/05; Draws 12

1 6 8Last 8/1/07; Draws 12

7 1 3Last 9/29/06; Draws 9

Oneyear

8 3 7Last 4/3/09; Draws 7

0 1 1Last 7/5/09; Draws 13

5 4 6Last 7/14/09; Draws 15

6 9 8Last 9/15/08; Draws 13

Onemonth

8 3 8Last 8/15/08; Draws 10

0 8 5Last 4/15/09; Draws 10

9 4 1Last 9/16/03; Draws 5

3 6 7Last 5/2/09; Draws 18

 

LEAST

Inception

9 5 0Last 5/16/05; Draws 10

8 3 9Last 10/7/06; Draws 11

5 9 4Last 6/7/09; Draws 13

2 2 1Last 10/23/07; Draws 16

Oneyear

1 6 5Last 1/17/08; Draws 12

2 2 3Last 3/17/09; Draws 12

9 5 9Last 11/24/00; Draws 5

4 0 2Last 5/14/02; Draws 11

Onemonth

7 5 6Last 8/3/08; Draws 12

6 9 3Last 5/8/03; Draws 6

2 2 2Last 5/20/08; Draws 16

5 0 4Last 4/18/04; Draws 13

Leastdrawn
390 – 3draws – last 9/4/96

Mostdrawn

120– 22 draws – last 10/23/08

 

7/28/09

MOST

Inception

0 8 6Last 5/16/08; Draws 13

6 0 5Last 1/16/05; Draws 12

1 6 8Last 8/1/07; Draws 12

7 1 3Last 9/29/06; Draws 9

Oneyear

8 3 7Last 4/3/09; Draws 1/7

5 9 6Last 3/6/09; Draws 2/13

0 1 1Last 7/14/09; Draws 2/15

6 4 8Last 7/1/02; Draws 0/10

Onemonth

8 3 8Last 8/15/08; Draws 0/10

0 6 5Last 2/13/08; Draws 0/9

1 8 1Last 3/5/08; Draws 0/12

9 4 7Last 3/24/07; Draws 0/7

LEAST

Inception

9 5 0Last 5/16/05; Draws 10

8 3 9Last 10/7/06; Draws 11

5 9 4Last 6/7/09; Draws 13

2 2 1Last 10/23/07; Draws 16

Oneyear

1 6 5Last 1/17/08; Draws 0/12

2 2 3Last 3/17/09; Draws 1/12

9 5 9Last 11/24/00; Draws 0/5

7 0 2Last 7/15/04; Draws 0/9

Onemonth

7 5 3Last 6/2/07; Draws 0/9

6 2 2Last 8/18/07; Draws 0/8

2 9 4Last 1/29/06; Draws 0/14

5 0 9Last 10/27/05; Draws 0/9

Leastdrawn
390 – 3draws – last 9/4/96

Mostdrawn

120– 22 draws – last 10/23/08

I really appreciate the veterans taking a peek...like I said, I'm not sure if the boxed win from tonight made it in the predictions (it shows my posted predictions, but my statistics say I haven't posted any).

Thanks for looking!

    Stalyn's avatar - 260g8d0
    Brooklyn, NY
    United States
    Member #26302
    November 16, 2005
    594 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: July 27, 2009, 9:13 pm - IP Logged

    i dont get it. Shifty

      SamBuca's avatar - xstr
      New Member
      Carlisle, PA USA
      United States
      Member #12410
      March 13, 2005
      78 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: July 27, 2009, 9:43 pm - IP Logged

      i dont get it. Shifty

      Yeah, I guess I did a pretty bad job of explaining it Big Grin

      Let's try that again........... I took the PA Daily evening numbers and put them into a database.  I broke it down by individual number from each drawing and added the entire draw.  It looks like this:

      2009-07-27 8 9 6 896

      So I can search by the date, each individual number, but also easily lookup the entire straight draw.  To make my picks, I sorted the first draw digit by the number of draws since the game started (since inception).  For example, let's say 0 was drawn 22 times as the first digit since the game started.  8 was drawn 20 times as the second digit since the game started.  6 was drawn 25 times as the 3rd digit since the game started.  That would make the first number under the "most" picks as 086 (which is what is shown).  I then look up the last time that 086 hit straight, which was 5/16/08, and it was drawn a total of 13 times since the game started.  Hence, the first number under the "most" picks since inception is 086, last drawn 5/16/08 a total of 13 times.  The 4 numbers are the 4 most drawn numbers in those positions.

      Under the 1 year heading it's just time limited to the past year....likewise for the month.

      For the "least" picks, I did exactly the opposite.  The least drawn number in the first digit is 9, the second is 5 and the third is 0.....so the first number under the "least" picks is 950.

      At the bottom, I threw in the most and least drawn straight numbers.....390 has only been drawn 3 times since the daily number started.  Likewise, 120 has been drawn the most times, 22 times, since the daily number started.

      Right now, I don't take into account leading or trailing combos or that kind of stuff....perhaps in the future after some more reading on the forums.

      I hope that explains it a little better.  Right now I'm trying to establish whether it's beginner's luck or if historical analysis does give an advantage.

        SamBuca's avatar - xstr
        New Member
        Carlisle, PA USA
        United States
        Member #12410
        March 13, 2005
        78 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: July 28, 2009, 10:49 am - IP Logged

        Played with some filters using the numbers for today and came up with:

        837 947 839 594 165

        950(509)

        Already bought the tickets before I did this, so I'm playing 837 648 390 120 596 (which I put into the predictions).

        Guess we'll see if it's just beginner's luck Cool

          Surfer's avatar - 2006 09-25_220447_jesus_surfing.JPG
          New Member
          Philadelphia
          United States
          Member #77311
          July 19, 2009
          3 Posts
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          Posted: July 28, 2009, 5:00 pm - IP Logged

          I'll be watching the daily number tonight to see how you do.

          I'm more of a cash 5 person myself.

            SamBuca's avatar - xstr
            New Member
            Carlisle, PA USA
            United States
            Member #12410
            March 13, 2005
            78 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: July 28, 2009, 8:12 pm - IP Logged

            7/29/09

            MOST

            Inception

            0     8     6Last 5/16/08; Draws 13

            6     0     5Last 1/16/05; Draws 12

            1     6     8Last 8/1/07; Draws 12

            7     1     3Last 9/29/06; Draws 9

            One year

            8     3     7Last 4/3/09; Draws 1/7

            0     4     1Last 10/2/08; Draws 1/9

            5     9     6Last 3/6/09; Draws 2/13

            6     1     8Last 4/25/07; Draws 0/11

            One month

            8     3     5Last 6/28/09; Draws 1/9

            0     4     8Last 3/19/09; Draws 0/11

            1     6     1Last 5/22/06; Draws 0/7



            9     8     7 Last9/28/07; Draws 0/8

            LEAST

            Inception

            9     5     0Last 5/16/05; Draws 10

            8     3     9Last 10/7/06; Draws 11

            5     9     4Last 6/7/09; Draws 13

            2     2     1Last 10/23/07; Draws 16

            One year

            1     6     5Last 1/17/08; Draws 0/12

            2     2     3Last 3/17/09; Draws 1/12

            9     5     9Last 11/24/00; Draws 0/5

            7     0     2Last 7/15/04; Draws 0/9

            One month

            7     5     3Last 6/2/07; Draws 0/9

            6     2     2Last 8/18/07; Draws 0/8

            2     9     4Last 1/29/06; Draws 0/14

            5     0     9Last 10/27/05; Draws 0/9

            Least drawn
            390 – 3 draws – last9/4/96

            Most drawn



            120 – 22 draws – last 10/23/08

            --------------------------------------------

            Filtered most: 837 835

            Filtered least: 839 594 165 950(509)

            83 seems to be showing up everywhere.  Since I'm up, I think I'll play $10 tomorrow and do 5 of the "most" numbers and 5 of the "least" numbers:

            837 041 596 618 835 - 839 594 165 950 120

            Still getting the hang of it Smiley

            MOST

            Inception

            0     8     6Last 5/16/08; Draws 13

            6     0     5Last 1/16/05; Draws 12

            1     6     8Last 8/1/07; Draws 12

            7     1     3Last 9/29/06; Draws 9

            One year

            8     3     7Last 4/3/09; Draws 1/7

            0     4     1Last 10/2/08; Draws 1/9

            5     9     6Last 3/6/09; Draws 2/13

            6     1     8Last 4/25/07; Draws 0/11

            One month

            8     3     5Last 6/28/09; Draws 1/9

            0     4     8Last 3/19/09; Draws 0/11

            1     6     1Last 5/22/06; Draws 0/7

            9     8     7 Last9/28/07; Draws 0/8
              SamBuca's avatar - xstr
              New Member
              Carlisle, PA USA
              United States
              Member #12410
              March 13, 2005
              78 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: July 29, 2009, 10:14 pm - IP Logged

              Made some changes....mostly to the filtered results and it gives a confidence level of low (filter cut everything out), medium (trend from the last year gave results) or high (trend from the last 30 days gave results).

              I also decided to run the PA Big 4 numbers through it (which took up an hour of my afternoon creating the database from the lottery's webpage).  Using the data up to 2 days ago, it picked yesterday's number straight.

              No results from tonight's drawing.  To break even, I need to box the pick 3 every 4 draws or hit straight every 25 draws.  For pick 4, I need to hit straight every 250 draws.  I put the numbers in the pick 3/pick 4 forums instead of here....seemed more appropriate.

              Either way, thanks for taking a look and GOOD LUCK!!