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In need of a bayesian

Topic closed. 25 replies. Last post 6 years ago by RL-RANDOMLOGIC.

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RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

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Posted: June 11, 2010, 11:13 am - IP Logged

RL,

Over the life of the Game things change: Ball Sets, Machines, etc.

A smaller draw sample may be necessary to make the output of your Software closer to actual drawing results.

Raven62

You forgot to note "them tinkering with the RNG", I think they check all the tickets purchased before the draw

Then select a $1.00 QP for a winner. How easy would this be for them to do?

RL

Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

  US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  

    Raven62's avatar - binary
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    Posted: June 11, 2010, 11:38 am - IP Logged

    RL,

    I thought we were talking about Your Software: Not Lottery Conspiracies!

    A mind once stretched by a new idea never returns to its original dimensions!

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      NASHVILLE, TENN
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      Posted: June 11, 2010, 12:47 pm - IP Logged

      GASMETERGUY

       

      In the example A, B and C are strings of numbers,  one has 20 numbers 1 has 10 and the other has 9

      only 5 total numbers are drawn as it is a 5-39 lottery.  So lets say 3 came from A and 1 came from B

      and 1 came from C.  3+1+1 = 5 since only 5 numbers are drawn no matter which string they are from

      the total will always be 5.

      RL

      Now I see where you are coming from.  Good idea.

      In developing your three strings of numbers, did you look at the past history to determine which numbers would go into which "bucket"?  If so, then you have some idea how often the draw equaled 5.  Would you give us a per centage of that analysis?  How successful was this number 5?

        Avatar
        NASHVILLE, TENN
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        Posted: June 11, 2010, 12:57 pm - IP Logged

        RL,

        I thought we were talking about Your Software: Not Lottery Conspiracies!

        Raven62

        I understand what you are thinking; I just don't agree with it.  One needs to consider the inner workings of the lotto people as well as the numbers published as winners. 

        If the RNG is fair, meaning no human manipulation of the data, then using past history would be a prudent action.  We have no proof that such drawings are conducted fairly for they are conducted behind closed doors.  Knowing people, especially state employees, we should be mindful that some people will manufacture every advantage to themselves as much possible, even going so far as to break a law to do so.  If you are going to spend time and effort researching lotto draws, looking for that one algorithym which proves profitable, then one needs to consider the human element.  Even mechanical ball drop machines are not immune from human interference. 

        Not even the best software can overcome human manipulation.  So in answer I say, "Yes, we are talking about R-L's software and we are including the human element".

          RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

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          Posted: June 11, 2010, 3:07 pm - IP Logged

          RL,

          I thought we were talking about Your Software: Not Lottery Conspiracies!

          Raven62

          I Can't help it, It just pops out from time to time. I might need counseling but again they might work for the

          lottery people too.

          RL

          Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

          I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

          they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

          USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

            US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  

            RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

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            Posted: June 14, 2010, 2:17 pm - IP Logged

            Raven62

            I Can't help it, It just pops out from time to time. I might need counseling but again they might work for the

            lottery people too.

            RL

            Everyone

            My last couple post were a joke, If I belived this I would not be working on a lottery system.  To those

            that I have offended or given another reason to hate "RNG"s please keep playing. The lottery is as close

            to random as it can be made. "Blame this when you don't win."  Not the State or Lottery administraters.

            RL

            Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

            I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

            they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

            USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

              US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  

              psykomo's avatar - animal shark.jpg

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              Posted: June 14, 2010, 5:20 pm - IP Logged

              Everyone

              My last couple post were a joke, If I belived this I would not be working on a lottery system.  To those

              that I have offended or given another reason to hate "RNG"s please keep playing. The lottery is as close

              to random as it can be made. "Blame this when you don't win."  Not the State or Lottery administraters.

              RL

              congrat's>>>>>>>>>>>

              U have given psyko another reason 2 HATE D "RNG" sssssssssssssss!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

              If anyone can hack government computers 2 steal defense secrets, steal UR

              identity>>>>>>>>>>>>

              THEN put D human element back into D software, I don't care how random

              D "RNG" numbers L@@K !!!!!!!!!!!!!>>>>>>>DON't play RNG drawn LOTTERY!!!!!

              REMEMBER^^^^PSYKO is CRAZY>>>>>>NOT<<<<<<"STUPID" Puke >>>>

              LOL>>>>>>>>>>PSYKO is need of a buckyesian>>>>>$$$$$$2 Puke >>>>

               


                time*treat's avatar - radar

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                Posted: June 16, 2010, 12:47 pm - IP Logged

                "Averages less than 50% when given onlytwo choices."

                Then start selecting the other choice. Wink

                In neo-conned Amerika, bank robs you.
                Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms should be the name of a convenience store, not a govnoment agency.

                  RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

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                  Posted: June 16, 2010, 2:56 pm - IP Logged

                  "Averages less than 50% when given onlytwo choices."

                  Then start selecting the other choice. Wink

                  time*treat

                  Not that easy, as not all are two choices.  I think I have found the problem. I add and remove code

                  almost weekly and think I have assigned the same name to two different variables.

                  RL

                  Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

                  I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

                  they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

                  USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

                    US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  

                    time*treat's avatar - radar

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                    Posted: June 16, 2010, 3:49 pm - IP Logged

                    Ah, with a 5-ball game ... you're going to need a LOT of variable names and maybe even several comment statements to remind you of what the variable's job is. Big Grin

                    What language are you using for your system?

                    In neo-conned Amerika, bank robs you.
                    Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms should be the name of a convenience store, not a govnoment agency.

                      RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

                      United States
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                      Posted: June 17, 2010, 1:40 am - IP Logged

                      Ah, with a 5-ball game ... you're going to need a LOT of variable names and maybe even several comment statements to remind you of what the variable's job is. Big Grin

                      What language are you using for your system?

                      time*treat

                      I first code in basic and once everything is finished then vbnet.  I do a little C++ but hate it.  The newer

                      versions might be better as I have a older version of borland turbo C++.  I also have VB3 and VB4.

                      I love basic as it is what I started with. I know that some day I will have to move on but not looking

                      foward to it.  I can write with basic in a day what takes a week in C++.  Most of my code is quick and

                      to the point, It may look simple in form but  "it is what's under the hood that really counts."  

                      RL

                      Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

                      I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

                      they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

                      USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

                        US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020