Quote: Originally posted by paurths on Aug 10, 2010
If you start playing a number because it is "due" 2 times its average skip, you will/might end up waiting for it for years, so true.
But you might wanna take it a little further, think a little harder.
Get statistics on due numbers, and not on any given number itself, but a set of numbers that belong together in a structure (for example: ID eve has this structure missing for 542 draws: OSC LLL LLH LHL HLL : 210, 216, 218, 219, 240, 246, 248, 249, 270, 310, 316, 318, 319, 340, 346, 348, 349, 370, 510, 540
This structure has a average skip of 50 draws, which makes this structure 10.84 times due.
Now, if you would have a nice database with a few draws, let's say about 219 000 draws, and you run some tests, you will find that only 6 times a structure of numbers went missing over 12 times due.
And 13 went missing over 11 times due.
Then there's something called progression betting. (in combination with LASAS3 it is immensly strong)
I don't deny that playing at the store, at 500 to 1 will cost you alot before making a profit, even a small one.
I don't play 500 to 1, i play 900 to 1.
In the end, sooner or later (and ofcourse i prefer sooner lol), one of the numbers of "the structure" comes in, and i collect my profit, even if that profit is only $50, it is still a profit. (Anyone wanting the Big Win by playing Pick3, well, they are in the wrong game, a Big Win is made in the $$$ Million games, powerball and such lol)
One that has a side profit each month of $1000 is "well dealth"... that's a straight flush each month, net.
It is harder to track what is "hot" than to track what is missing. (Not! lol)
How many times has anyone noted a pattern, started playing and into thin air the pattern vanished. There's a loss, every time.
Progression along with overdue (not due, but overdue) pays of, each time. It might take some time, sometimes even a hundred days, but that is what "progression + overdue" is all about: Patience, do not force to win.
And ofcourse, who is crazy enough to waith 100 days for $50???
True again.
Not true if that person looks at the bigger picture. Every profit is an addition to the bankroll. And after a few profits, some might hit the very next day, they don't all stay away for 3 months (look in my blog, the example about TX, a few years ago now), that person starts playing 2 "structures", and so on. The moment she or he is playing 6 to 9 structures at the same time one profit provides the play of the other structures.
It takes patience, discipline. Time. That person is not the one bragging all over the place, nope, she or he is that person that checks the score each day, collects or invests, and moves on to the next day.
cheers
Ricky