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Santa Anita Best Bet & Long Shots for 10/4

Topic closed. 7 replies. Last post 6 years ago by jimmy4164.

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eddessaknight's avatar - nw paladin.jpg
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Posted: April 10, 2011, 2:41 pm - IP Logged

SA 4/10

 

R-5

L/S

#6 Truneo  @3/1

~

BEST BET

6th

#3 Adam Suances @7/2

~

R-7

Long Shots

#5 Classy Lion @8/1

#6 Basic Strategy @ 6/1

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Extra Long Shots

#7 Cut n' Deal @ 9/2

#8  Warren's Wild Thing @ 4/1

~

 

EddessaKnight Sun Smiley

    eddessaknight's avatar - nw paladin.jpg
    LAS VEGAS
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    Posted: April 10, 2011, 7:04 pm - IP Logged

    5th race reporting

    Winning Time: 1:38.97

    PgmHorseJockeyWinPlaceShow
    #6 TruenoAlex Jimenez 6.203.802.80

     

    EddessaKnightSun Smiley

      eddessaknight's avatar - nw paladin.jpg
      LAS VEGAS
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      Posted: April 10, 2011, 8:03 pm - IP Logged

      R-7 = 0

      ~

      R-9 =

      #7 Cut n' DealBrice Blanc   7.405.40

      ~

      EddessaKnight Sun Smiley


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        Posted: April 10, 2011, 11:21 pm - IP Logged

        Are you familiar with this site?  They seem to have it all - handicapping software, as well as data for your own programs.  They cover harness racing too.  Are there better sources for computer digestable data?

        http://www.trackmaster.com/track/

          eddessaknight's avatar - nw paladin.jpg
          LAS VEGAS
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          Posted: April 11, 2011, 7:27 pm - IP Logged

          Are you familiar with this site?  They seem to have it all - handicapping software, as well as data for your own programs.  They cover harness racing too.  Are there better sources for computer digestable data?

          http://www.trackmaster.com/track/

          Hey Jimmy, et al-

          Yes a most pleasant  website it is-

          Here are a few bottom line precepts I have learned that maybe of help for evaluating all methodologies/softwares;

          1. request a demonstraion of their porgram based on your input data; for example Penn National Race card etc & see if desired results (based on your peronsality & bankroll) are fortcoming & functioning for you.

          2. ask, does the said system yield a POSITIVE 'ROI" (verifiable return on investement) AKA: overcoming the odds long term

          3. if *programs do not perform at this level, you put down your money & take your chances at whatever the game odds are which means player will lose at the expected negative house edge (ex 0/00 roulete = -5.26%)

          *If software could win @ races, roulette, lottery, consistenle these games would stop or rules would be be changed.

          **There some software producers who will offer honest money back gurantees of satisfaction & will return purchase price but who will return lost playing funds???

          ***BOTTOM LINE Why would producers spend all this energy to market programs when they could simply win money with what they advertise???

          'When you own the roulette wheel, ts no longer a even chance game '
          -Damon Runyon (legendary gambling icon & author of "Guys & Dolls"

          Now Jimmy you seem like a nice enough guy and there are many good hearted memebrs here, Right ?Just candidly ask yourself who would or could show you HOW TO WIN (profitably)???

          ~

          Hope this helps

          EddessaKnight Sun Smiley


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            Posted: April 11, 2011, 10:27 pm - IP Logged

            Hey Jimmy, et al-

            Yes a most pleasant  website it is-

            Here are a few bottom line precepts I have learned that maybe of help for evaluating all methodologies/softwares;

            1. request a demonstraion of their porgram based on your input data; for example Penn National Race card etc & see if desired results (based on your peronsality & bankroll) are fortcoming & functioning for you.

            2. ask, does the said system yield a POSITIVE 'ROI" (verifiable return on investement) AKA: overcoming the odds long term

            3. if *programs do not perform at this level, you put down your money & take your chances at whatever the game odds are which means player will lose at the expected negative house edge (ex 0/00 roulete = -5.26%)

            *If software could win @ races, roulette, lottery, consistenle these games would stop or rules would be be changed.

            **There some software producers who will offer honest money back gurantees of satisfaction & will return purchase price but who will return lost playing funds???

            ***BOTTOM LINE Why would producers spend all this energy to market programs when they could simply win money with what they advertise???

            'When you own the roulette wheel, ts no longer a even chance game '
            -Damon Runyon (legendary gambling icon & author of "Guys & Dolls"

            Now Jimmy you seem like a nice enough guy and there are many good hearted memebrs here, Right ?Just candidly ask yourself who would or could show you HOW TO WIN (profitably)???

            ~

            Hope this helps

            EddessaKnight Sun Smiley

            Thanks for your informative reply Eddessaknight.

            I'm really just toying with the idea of going back to handicapping horses.  Myself and a friend devoted a lot of energy over 2 years in the 70s to try to make money at our local harness track.  We had to input the past performances at keypunches/terminals from stacks of old programs we managed to get from the PR people.  To make a long story short, using multiple regression analysis of about 10 variables, we were able to compute "Power Ratings" for each horse, driver, and trainer that allowed us to come out ahead overall by about 5%, after overcoming the take of the state and track (12%?).  Being total novices at gambling, and having invested all our energy in the math and stats, we completely overlooked the money management issues, so on good days, even with our meager bankroll, betting on cheap claimers mid-week, we managed to upset the odds when our numbers told us to bet the farm! Smile  Although 5% of a small stake was a small number, it payed for the hot-dogs, gas and beer, and it definitely was fun!  Enough reminiscing.

            IRAs being what they are, I'm forced to follow the stock market to keep my retirement funds increasing (sometimes treading water!)  However, with memories of the sounds and smells of the track and the taste of the beer out of a plastic cup at the rail tugging at me, I may not be able to resist much longer as the days get warmer and brighter.

            If I had spent the [I'm afraid to guess how] many hours I've devoted to trying to help people better understand the lottery in other forums over the past 8 months, I might be ready to pick some winners, or placers, or showers by now!  Unhappy

            I'm not really sure how to interpret your last question; could you clarify? Smile

              eddessaknight's avatar - nw paladin.jpg
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              Posted: April 12, 2011, 6:42 pm - IP Logged

              Hello Jimmy,

              Do appreciate your on going interest here; and you are most welcome.... there is more from where that came from.

              Congtas! I am impressed with the +5% over the odds via computing your own "Power Ratings" formula. Although I wasn't a big fan of the trotters, it would nice if you shared some of your pics with the gaming board - I am certain that fans here would like to follow.

              For myself I am 20 year+ veteran surivor of the Punic Wars, racing books & crooks, gaming & buffet tables in NevadaSmile       

              Relative to racing I have pro-actively posted many winning selections - in advance  . Not bragging just telling  (partial listing can accesed here) I would be happy to assist with your programs, if desired. My projections are from unorthodox methodologies and mind you, not spot on each & every time.

              Relative to money management I can recommend the reading of high demand book  "THE FUTURE GAMBLER" (The new era of the winning player) by Craig  Greiner Pub Treausre Bay Books ISBN# 0-96440the 41-0-9. Audacious strategies for BR, money mangement bet selections, w/power progressions for recuping loses for all forms of speculation including Wall St - good tactical refernce guide.

              Regarding my last question....it was intended to be satirical as usually those who seek the Ancient golden fleece are the ones who get fleeced themselves in return LOL (no harm intended).

              I know you are no newbie and my hypothesies are not for everyone so that's fine but I have investigated long & hard the ways of the fun & game providors & understand the inside casino mentality & reactions.

              Winner's CircleWink
              "A race track is a place where windows clean people." 
              ~Danny Thomas

              Look forward to more friendly dialogue

               

              May Fortuna Smile Upon your Efforts

              EddessaKnight Sun Smiley

               

              Nota Bene-

              Unfortunately, this topic inqury has been lunched under a old past race heading .....


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                Posted: April 13, 2011, 1:40 am - IP Logged