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# How to Determine If Results are Likely Not Random?

Topic closed. 9 replies. Last post 5 years ago by JKING.

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New Member
Paris
France
Member #122642
February 5, 2012
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 Posted: February 9, 2012, 6:30 am - IP Logged

General Question:  How can I determine if results are likely not due to randomness?

Specifics: The results of my Monte Carlo simulation shows that, out of a large number of trials, my results (based on only 100 actual bets) are in the top 30% and top 5% (winnings, matches, whatever). While that's nice, there are a lot better random results. So how can I convert the results of the Monte Carlo simulation into a statement such as "There's a 95%/99% confidence that the results are not due to randomness." What kind of results and what level of results are needed to create such a statement?

New Member
Paris
France
Member #122642
February 5, 2012
10 Posts
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 Posted: February 11, 2012, 8:18 am - IP Logged

In answer to my own question, there are web page calculators that, given a list of values, will calculate value count, mean (average), variance and standard deviation. There's other web pages that will use those results to calculate confidence intervals for the mean for various alphas (90%, 95%, 99%). These sites have exactly answered my question.

NASHVILLE, TENN
United States
Member #33372
February 20, 2006
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 Posted: February 11, 2012, 1:26 pm - IP Logged

Read up on the Chi-Square and T-Squared in statistics.

mid-Ohio
United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
19830 Posts
Online
 Posted: February 14, 2012, 2:49 pm - IP Logged

General Question:  How can I determine if results are likely not due to randomness?

That's like asking  when some one calls out heads how can you tell if they flipped a coin to come up with it.

* you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket *

Michigan
United States
Member #81740
October 28, 2009
40550 Posts
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 Posted: February 26, 2012, 9:31 am - IP Logged

The Bell curve,

Did you exchange a walk on part in the war ?

For a lead role in a cage?

From Pink Floyd's " Wish you were here"

The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
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 Posted: February 27, 2012, 12:21 pm - IP Logged

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Jehocifer

Dallas, Texas
United States
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May 2, 2004
1719 Posts
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 Posted: February 27, 2012, 12:47 pm - IP Logged

LMAO....

bgonÃ§alves
Brasil
Member #92564
June 9, 2010
2124 Posts
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 Posted: March 2, 2012, 9:22 am - IP Logged

Hello, lorso. As in all probability and statistics is 80/20. The question is how the concept could apply 80/20 lottery, Maybe join monte carlo with the concept of pareto80/20! That is the bell curve with 80/20

bgonÃ§alves
Brasil
Member #92564
June 9, 2010
2124 Posts
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 Posted: March 2, 2012, 9:53 am - IP Logged

Hello, using monte carlo, and concept Pareto (80/20) could be such a lottery 49/6 taking advantage a conjuçao (associçao) favorable pairs and trios, six positions in the lottery 49/6 or other lottery because we need to see who is coming in who draws It's not who came out with whom, male or female! Ahhhh, but even numbers and odd   In twos and threes.

United States
Member #5599
July 13, 2004
1185 Posts
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 Posted: March 3, 2012, 5:30 pm - IP Logged

Hmmmm..

1,2,3,4,5

1,2,3,4,5

And the odds of 5 numbers repeating are? Odds of 5 numbers in sequence? Odd of 5 numbers in the same decade?....

1,2,3,4,x

1,2,3,4,x

And the odds of 4 numbers repeating are? Odds of 4 numbers in sequence? Odds if 4 numbers in the same deacade?

In other words, if you get results that are 1 in million chance happening repeatively over a small amount of draws...there is a problem.

Welcome to the California Fantasy 5.

You are a slave to the choices you have made.  jk

Even a blind squirrel will occasioanlly find an acorn.

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