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Am I Better Than Random?

Topic closed. 4 replies. Last post 5 years ago by SergeM.

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New Member

United States
Member #90102
April 22, 2010
8 Posts
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Posted: March 3, 2012, 3:08 pm - IP Logged

I've been playing a static set of numbers in 10 lines in Fl Lotto which is a 6 ball, 53 number lottery.  I crunched the numbers for my set of numbers and came up with some stats.  I also found very good stats posted by another member here regarding Fl Lotto and odds of winning which I've pasted below, but I'm still not sure if I'm doing better than random:

http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/241542/2384647

 combination size             6
 basic pool size              53
 (B) bonus numbers            none
 smallest match               0
 tickets or chances per draw  1
 possible combos of 6/53 numbers = 22957480
 MATCHES     ODDS                WINNING COMBOS      EXPECTED WINNERS
  6/6      1 : 22957480           1                      0.00
  5/6      1 : 81410              282                    0.00
  4/6      1 : 1416               16215                  0.00
  3/6      1 : 71                 324300                 0.01
  2/6      1 : 9                  2675475                0.12
  1/6      1 : 2                  9203634                0.40
  0/6      1 : 2                  10737573               0.47

 

In 278 draws, at least 1 of my 10 lines has the below stats:

2 in a line - 69%
3 in a line - 19%
4 in a line - 2%
5 in a line - 0%
6 in a line - 0%

How do I compute if I'm doing better than random?  Preferably an easy way - I read a thread about Monte Carlo, but I'm not sure how to do it or if it's what I should use to determine this..

 

EDIT:  I suppose the easy answer is the member I found that posted those useful stats could change the input of "tickets or chances per draw = 10" and I'd know the answer haha.

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    United States
    Member #90102
    April 22, 2010
    8 Posts
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    Posted: March 3, 2012, 6:16 pm - IP Logged

    Revision to the numbers.  The way I counted initially is misleading.  If I had picked 4 numbers correctly, then I counted it in the 2 and 3 columns.  Revised numbers are:

    2 in a line:  51%
    3 in a line: 17%
    4 in a line: 2%
    5 in a line: 0%
    6 in a line: 0%

      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
      mid-Ohio
      United States
      Member #9
      March 24, 2001
      19826 Posts
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      Posted: March 3, 2012, 8:11 pm - IP Logged

      The best way to figure your percentage is to add up all your wins and loses and look at the percentage for the whole period rather than the percentages for particular drawings.

       

       combination size             6
       basic pool size              53
       (B) bonus numbers            none
       smallest match               1
       tickets or chances per draw  10
       possible combos of 6/53 numbers = 22957480
       MATCH     ODDS          WINNING COMBOS    ODDS 10 CHANCES       EXPECTED WINS
       6/6     1 : 22957480       1              1 : 2295748                 0.00
       5/6     1 : 81410          282            1 : 8141                    0.00
       4/6     1 : 1416           16215          1 : 142                     0.01
       3/6     1 : 71             324300         1 : 7                       0.14
       2/6     1 : 9              2675475        1 : 1                       1.17
       1/6     1 : 2              9203634        1 : 0                       4.01

       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
         
                   Evil Looking       

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        bgonçalves
        Brasil
        Member #92564
        June 9, 2010
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        Posted: March 6, 2012, 6:37 am - IP Logged

        Hello, lots, you can also do so = Divide into 4 groups = 13,13,13,14 to 53 numbers And analyze each of the four groups separately and see the unit, 9 (a number) pairs and trios Each sector or each of the four groups because anlaizar estatistacamente parts is better, and will be noted that one of the groups has a number zero or 100% of the drawings, And a group has at least two or more numbers, but it is unclear which of the four groups then see a rotating system of conbinaçao this condition can be wheels, combining unity, pairs and trios, among the four groups,

          SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
          Economy class
          Belgium
          Member #123700
          February 27, 2012
          4035 Posts
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          Posted: March 7, 2012, 11:45 am - IP Logged

          Why do you want to know? If you selected the wrong numbers it can be that for 10 drawings you get zip in return!
          With any odds that there are, you can win the jackpot or get no price at all, you can even get all combinations totaly wrong and not one number will be right.

          Play or don't, but know that if you don't play, you can't win!
          Put the cash on the table or the announce does not count! - The dealer