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Monty Hall Test - Lets try NY Take 5

Topic closed. 26 replies. Last post 5 years ago by taiwanlottery.

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taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
Taichung
Taiwan
Member #114116
July 24, 2011
2384 Posts
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Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:05 pm - IP Logged

I would really like to try this to see what the results are.

Based on Monty Halls tv show, I would like to have 1 member give me 13 numbers that they would pick ( one third of 39)

Then i will eliminate 13 numbers and the members picks and it will leave us with 13 numbers. 

If it works, we should get at least 3 out of 5 numbers in the remaining 13 numbers most of the time.

I know 3 of 13 numbers is not good but lets see what results we can get. 

 

I would like to have 1 volunteer only for tonight to give me their 13 numbers. Please only 1 per day to do the testing.

Calling on LottoBoner, CajunWin4, Feisty1 or others.

    CajunWin4's avatar - Lottery-031.jpg
    Whiskey Island
    United States
    Member #90216
    April 24, 2010
    12808 Posts
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    Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:11 pm - IP Logged

    taiwanlottery ,

         Here is my Super String :  3-5-13-18-19-20-22-23-25-26-31-32-33

      Its a few days old ,But still good for 1 more Draw ...

                                                                                        CW4

      Avatar
      Las Vegas, NV
      United States
      Member #44841
      August 9, 2006
      1752 Posts
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      Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:22 pm - IP Logged

      Taiwanlottery,

      Here's the numbers I used for my most recent set in the other T5 thread:

      6, 7, 8, 10, 12, 15, 16, 18, 22, 25, 26, 31, 37

      I dropped one (#4) because I had a total of 14 numbers in that wheel and you asked for 13.

      Good Luck with your Let's Make A Deal ... oh no, am I showing my age ...

      I think Wayne Brady hosts the new version now.

        taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
        Taichung
        Taiwan
        Member #114116
        July 24, 2011
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        Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:32 pm - IP Logged

        Thanks CajunWin

        Ok, so i will eliminate by longest skips since they are longshots. I will eliminate 

        2 6 9 16 27 28 34 38 39 12 14 18 8

        Eliminating your numbers and my numbers, we have left

        1 - 4 - 7 - 10 - 11 - 15 - 17 - 21 - 24 - 29 - 30 - 36 - 37 

        Let me know if you see any errors.

        Lets see if 3 or more numbers are in here tonight!

          taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
          Taichung
          Taiwan
          Member #114116
          July 24, 2011
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          Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:36 pm - IP Logged

          Hi Feisty1,

          Thanks for your numbers. For tonight we will try Cajun's as he posted them first and we will try with 1 persons' per day if thats ok with you?

          How about giving your set for tomorrow?

          I also remember watching Monty Hall!!!.....lol

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            Las Vegas, NV
            United States
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            Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:47 pm - IP Logged

            Hi Feisty1,

            Thanks for your numbers. For tonight we will try Cajun's as he posted them first and we will try with 1 persons' per day if thats ok with you?

            How about giving your set for tomorrow?

            I also remember watching Monty Hall!!!.....lol

            That's fine, depending on what happens tonight I will either post a new set or stick with these.

              taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
              Taichung
              Taiwan
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              Posted: May 2, 2012, 9:48 pm - IP Logged

              That's fine, depending on what happens tonight I will either post a new set or stick with these.

              Sounds Great! Thanks!

                taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
                Taichung
                Taiwan
                Member #114116
                July 24, 2011
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                Posted: May 2, 2012, 10:51 pm - IP Logged

                Facts:

                Based on the tv show, when someone picked their door, Monty showed them one of the remaining 2 doors with little or nothing in it.

                When asked if the person wanted to change their original pick, most did not want to as they thought that now they have a 50/50 chance. But results show that if they switch to the other door, they would have won more often. This is because the other door still had a 2/3 chance of being the right one as opposed to the original pick of 1/3. Seems strange! But true!

                Lets see if it works with this. 

                Note: the door with nothing that im showing are the longest skips or longshots. I think thats the best solution in this case.

                  taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
                  Taichung
                  Taiwan
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                  Posted: May 2, 2012, 11:26 pm - IP Logged

                  There seems to be an error somewhere as i dont see the 35 anywhere


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                    March 14, 2012
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                    Posted: May 2, 2012, 11:49 pm - IP Logged

                    Facts:

                    Based on the tv show, when someone picked their door, Monty showed them one of the remaining 2 doors with little or nothing in it.

                    When asked if the person wanted to change their original pick, most did not want to as they thought that now they have a 50/50 chance. But results show that if they switch to the other door, they would have won more often. This is because the other door still had a 2/3 chance of being the right one as opposed to the original pick of 1/3. Seems strange! But true!

                    Lets see if it works with this. 

                    Note: the door with nothing that im showing are the longest skips or longshots. I think thats the best solution in this case.

                    yes thats the goat paradox or something...they explained it in the movie 21....definately strange...but true!!!

                    tonites results were

                    01-13-15-23-35     >>>>>  01  02  05  07  08

                        2            1           5           8           7

                      taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
                      Taichung
                      Taiwan
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                      Posted: May 3, 2012, 12:19 am - IP Logged

                      im off ti work already so i dont know where i messed up. the 35 is missing from the lists. it may have been a long shot but not sure. if it should have been in my numbers, it would have been 3 numbers today. sorry for the mess up today. not the way to start

                        taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
                        Taichung
                        Taiwan
                        Member #114116
                        July 24, 2011
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                        Posted: May 3, 2012, 12:20 am - IP Logged

                        yes thats the goat paradox or something...they explained it in the movie 21....definately strange...but true!!!

                        tonites results were

                        01-13-15-23-35     >>>>>  01  02  05  07  08

                            2            1           5           8           7

                        yes very strange isnt it

                          taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
                          Taichung
                          Taiwan
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                          July 24, 2011
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                          Posted: May 3, 2012, 1:30 am - IP Logged

                          Thanks CajunWin

                          Ok, so i will eliminate by longest skips since they are longshots. I will eliminate 

                          2 6 9 16 27 28 34 38 39 12 14 18 8

                          Eliminating your numbers and my numbers, we have left

                          1 - 4 - 7 - 10 - 11 - 15 - 17 - 21 - 24 - 29 - 30 - 36 - 37 

                          Let me know if you see any errors.

                          Lets see if 3 or more numbers are in here tonight!

                          ok. so it looks like the 18 should not be on my longshot list as its on cajuns list. the 35 should have gone in the longshot list.
                          so, from tonights draw 2 numbers came in and 1 number went to the longshot list. for it to be according to this, no numbers should come from the longshot list, otherwise its not accurate.

                          nonetheless, this was the result. 2 numbers.
                          lets try tomorrow.

                            taiwanlottery's avatar - bonesonfire
                            Taichung
                            Taiwan
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                            July 24, 2011
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                            Posted: May 3, 2012, 1:47 am - IP Logged

                            Looking for your 13 numbers Feisty1 for the next draw if you dont mind. Thanks.

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                              Las Vegas, NV
                              United States
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                              Posted: May 3, 2012, 1:51 am - IP Logged

                              Looking for your 13 numbers Feisty1 for the next draw if you dont mind. Thanks.

                              Okay, but I had a difficult time keeping it to 13 #s this time around (again).  These are from what I posted in my sets:

                              6, 7, 8, 12, 16, 21, 22, 25, 26, 30, 32, 34, 36