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# pick 4 wrong odds

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New Member
NY
United States
Member #127621
May 5, 2012
19 Posts
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 Posted: May 14, 2012, 12:14 pm - IP Logged

Win4 odds are really 1:210 not the stated 1:417 if all numbers are different. The possibilities for a straight range from 0000-9999 making it 1:10,000, but not for box.

You start off with a choice of 10 numbers on 1st line, so it's 1/10. Then 2nd line you have 9 left; 3rd 8; 4th 7. Thus, 10x9x8x7=5040. So your chances of hitting all 4 numbers which come up in a draw are 1:5040.

But in a box the numbers could be in any order, so 5040/24 = 210 not 10,000/24 = 417.

If you choose: 0,3,5,8 and all 4 numbers come up, you win;disregarding all these combos:

0 3 5 8

0 3 8 5

0 5 3 8

0 5 8 3

0 8 3 5

0 8 5 3

Ifcourse, considering doubles 8, 8, 0, 2 and even triples 5, 5, 5,1 and 2 doubles 3, 3, 0, 0, makes Win4 a worse game than Pick10[keno] and quickdraw.

BTW, on winnings over \$600 tax is withheld; thus you lose 1/3 if you hit on anything higher than a double.

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