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Pennsylvania Scratch Off Update (ODDS)

Topic closed. 11 replies. Last post 3 years ago by Ilove$.

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Endless Mountains Pennsylvania
United States
Member #149903
December 11, 2013
202 Posts
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Posted: January 16, 2014, 10:18 am - IP Logged

I just sat down and recalculated the odds for quite a few of the games as the P.a lottery updated the remaining prizes this morning. To keep this short I'll post the best 3 out of the bunch I did this morning. These numbers are certainly not 100% accurate for obvious reasons but updated odds are sure to be close. If anything looks off please let me know. My formula for this was lowest prize remaining winners x odds for that prize divided by top remaining prizes.

 

$20 Ticket Merry Millionaire

Current odds = 1:2,318 to win the following

$1,000,000 = 1 winner left

$100,000 = 2 winners left

$2,500 = 12 winners left

$1,000 = 524 winners left

Tickets remaining 1,249,750 out of 4,800,00

 

$10 Ticket Gold Rush

Current odds = 1:5,591 to win the following

$300,000 = 8 winners left

$10,000 = 40 winners left

$1,000 = 849 winners left

Tickets remaining 5,032,000 out of 10,800,000

 

$5 Ticket 500 Dollar Frenzy

Current odds = 1:508 to win the following

$100,000 = 1 winner left

$5,000 = 3 winners left

$500 = 1067 winners left

Tickets remaining 545,000 out of 15,000,000

 

Scratch on my friends!

“Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life's coming attractions.” 

~ Albert Einstein ~

237 ~ 303 ~ 542 ~ 570 ~ 0423 ~ 2371 ~ 3016 ~ 1730

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    Endless Mountains Pennsylvania
    United States
    Member #149903
    December 11, 2013
    202 Posts
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    Posted: January 16, 2014, 10:39 am - IP Logged

    I'm curious, do any of you like recalculating and playing like this, or do you think the tickets are better when they first come out?

    “Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life's coming attractions.” 

    ~ Albert Einstein ~

    237 ~ 303 ~ 542 ~ 570 ~ 0423 ~ 2371 ~ 3016 ~ 1730

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      Endless Mountains Pennsylvania
      United States
      Member #149903
      December 11, 2013
      202 Posts
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      Posted: January 17, 2014, 9:05 am - IP Logged

      Anyone?

      “Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life's coming attractions.” 

      ~ Albert Einstein ~

      237 ~ 303 ~ 542 ~ 570 ~ 0423 ~ 2371 ~ 3016 ~ 1730

        Jon D's avatar - calotterylogo
        Los Angeles, California
        United States
        Member #103813
        January 5, 2011
        1530 Posts
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        Posted: January 17, 2014, 10:46 am - IP Logged

        I'm curious, do any of you like recalculating and playing like this, or do you think the tickets are better when they first come out?

        OK, I'll bite.

        I do some calculations on tickets remaining, but I don't think it's really beneficial to your chances of winning. The odds of the game are set in the original printing, and don't really change much as the game progresses. As you noted, there is inherent inaccuracy of the posted remaining prizes. So any precision calculation on actual odds or actual EV or whatever, is a precise calculation on a imprecise number.

        The best number is when the top prizes go to zero, then you definitely stop playing the game.

          Chris$'s avatar - Sphere animated2.gif
          P A
          United States
          Member #117331
          October 3, 2011
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          Posted: January 17, 2014, 5:12 pm - IP Logged

          $500 frenzy is done.

          The last 100k prize was claimed. They close the game after that.

          They started pulling them around my area this week.

          I'm having luck on the $5 match game and aces and 8s.

          Good luck everyone!

          ♠♣♥♦= $$$$

            Chris$'s avatar - Sphere animated2.gif
            P A
            United States
            Member #117331
            October 3, 2011
            7087 Posts
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            Posted: January 17, 2014, 5:15 pm - IP Logged

            I'm curious, do any of you like recalculating and playing like this, or do you think the tickets are better when they first come out?

            it's still almost impossible to calculate the overall odds because they don't have every single prize value listed, but I do like the fact that they have the different groups listed now where they didn't use to.

            seems that there's still the best  when they first come out.

            ♠♣♥♦= $$$$

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              Endless Mountains Pennsylvania
              United States
              Member #149903
              December 11, 2013
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              Posted: January 17, 2014, 5:19 pm - IP Logged

              Chris, only one place near me has frenzy left. I bought 7 of them and evened out. Was really hoping for a $500

               

              The reason I asked about these odds as they are now is because youtube user lotteryproject put a video up claiming you can do well with games that are almost done with some top prizes left and showed how to recalculate those odds.

               

              That said, I'm gonna stick with the gold rush game for a bit see how it pans out lol

              “Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life's coming attractions.” 

              ~ Albert Einstein ~

              237 ~ 303 ~ 542 ~ 570 ~ 0423 ~ 2371 ~ 3016 ~ 1730

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                Endless Mountains Pennsylvania
                United States
                Member #149903
                December 11, 2013
                202 Posts
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                Posted: January 17, 2014, 5:23 pm - IP Logged
                $500 Frenzy just off P.a Lottery.com
                $100,000.00
                $5,000.00
                $500.00
                $100.00
                $50.00
                $40.00
                1
                3
                1,067
                404
                3,294
                4,542

                “Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life's coming attractions.” 

                ~ Albert Einstein ~

                237 ~ 303 ~ 542 ~ 570 ~ 0423 ~ 2371 ~ 3016 ~ 1730

                  Avatar
                  Pennsylvania
                  United States
                  Member #109275
                  April 9, 2011
                  1503 Posts
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                  Posted: January 18, 2014, 12:40 pm - IP Logged

                  Chris, only one place near me has frenzy left. I bought 7 of them and evened out. Was really hoping for a $500

                   

                  The reason I asked about these odds as they are now is because youtube user lotteryproject put a video up claiming you can do well with games that are almost done with some top prizes left and showed how to recalculate those odds.

                   

                  That said, I'm gonna stick with the gold rush game for a bit see how it pans out lol

                  I didn't know Frenzy ended. The place next to work still has them. Never got close to a $500 on it. Still shows over 1000 $500 winners. Shame they will be shredded or bunt or whatever they do to them,.

                    Chris$'s avatar - Sphere animated2.gif
                    P A
                    United States
                    Member #117331
                    October 3, 2011
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                    Posted: January 20, 2014, 7:44 am - IP Logged

                    Won on 8 different tickets all one outs.

                    Match for cash 2x symbol for $100 win.

                    Holiday gifts 4 Christmas trees for $100 win.

                    All the others were $20 wins.

                    Went out with $30 to play came home with $ 320

                    ♠♣♥♦= $$$$

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                      Endless Mountains Pennsylvania
                      United States
                      Member #149903
                      December 11, 2013
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                      Posted: January 21, 2014, 9:02 am - IP Logged

                      Nice Chris, been doing pretty bad lately. Probably gonna cut back a little bit.

                      “Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life's coming attractions.” 

                      ~ Albert Einstein ~

                      237 ~ 303 ~ 542 ~ 570 ~ 0423 ~ 2371 ~ 3016 ~ 1730

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                        New Member
                        Drexel Hill, PA
                        United States
                        Member #151806
                        January 27, 2014
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                        Posted: January 27, 2014, 11:48 pm - IP Logged

                        Hi PaScratchAddict,

                         

                        I have very recently become extremely addicted to scratch off lotto tickets (I just have a feeling I am going to win big) anywho I wanted to know where did you go on the PA lottery website to receive information on how many tickets are remaining in a game?