|Posted: November 8, 2015, 11:00 pm - IP Logged|
I have always preferred to play cold numbers in jackpot games, but this could apply to any type game. I have always based my calculations on the only two data points given, 1) number of times each number is drawn, and 2) number of draws since each number was last seen. I have my own weighting for each criteria to give a number it's "coldness" factor.
I've been thinking about MM a lot lately. I noticed that the average draws since last seen of all numbers is 14.0266. I suspect that the average draws since last seen should be 75 / 5 = 15. I would like confirmation on that from somebody. Thanks in advance. If all 75 balls came up in only 15 draws, therefore no repeats, then the average would be 8. Expectations are that numbers do repeat within a 15 draw span, so 8 cannot be right. So, I really don't have an image of what the average number of draws since last seen should be.
Here's my new plan. If the average draws since last seen for all numbers < 15, play the hot numbers to get cold numbers even colder, that way the average goes up. If the average draws since last seen > 15, play the cold numbers to get that average down.
I think I am having a difficult time explaining this. Let me show you the first 10 numbers of MM. The second column is the actual number of draws since last seen.
The average of those 10 numbers shown above is 10.3. If I played the number 1, and it hit, the next chart would show the number 1 as 1 draw since last seen. All the rest of the numbers would increment up by 1. Here is the new chart below if we saw only the number 1 come up, but not the other numbers.
The average of that second chart is now 8.6, down from 10.3. Taking out that 27 draws ago number really made a big difference in the average. Had the number 1 not come up, then it would have incremented up to 28 and helped increase the average, rather than lower it.
Ugh, I know numbers not language. There you have it. I'll play some MM numbers < 14.02666 draws ago, or essentially the hot numbers in the hopes of not seeing cold numbers hit. When those cold numbers continue to be not drawn, the average goes up. I'm targeting 15, if that earlier theory proves correct.
Since I already placed my predictions for next Tuesday's drawing, I'll post some hot numbers (according to my criteria) as a public record. Can't go about claiming some numbers came up or a method worked after the fact, now can we? Note, I am only posting the white balls here, no mega balls are shown.