Welcome Guest
Log In | Register )
You last visited December 11, 2016, 6:48 am
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)

Hey,check out the ODDS on that

Topic closed. 7 replies. Last post 9 months ago by Tialuvslotto.

Page 1 of 1
PrintE-mailLink
Edibs3's avatar - not found.png
Saint Martinville
United States
Member #155819
May 30, 2014
283 Posts
Offline
Posted: February 26, 2016, 1:26 pm - IP Logged

Here's a little trend. Check out how many numbers Did not have a digit 6,or 4 in them. 

 824 688  645  748  611  041  914  861  944  567  827  643  417  114  176  061  882  119  025  450  626  478  935  806  118  016  792  482  540  144  064  

 You got it.  Only 7 draws in the last 31 !

 

                            What do you think the probability of an 11th repeat(6,4) number hitting after that 824 hit today?

                 488/512 =       close enough  1/2 * 1/2*  " " " """"" = ???   Really?   Who's gonna bet with that trend for next draw? 

    Avatar
    New Member
    Burlington, VT
    United States
    Member #173303
    February 25, 2016
    17 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: February 26, 2016, 1:58 pm - IP Logged

    Probability only works for future events. However, if we go back in time 31 draws and then say "hmmm I wonder what the probability of getting 7 or less out of 31 results with no 4 or 6 in them is?" (I added the "or less" just to raise the stakes), it would be:

    0.512^24*0.488^7*31!/(24!*7!)

    +0.512^25*0.488^6*31!/(25!*6!)

    +0.512^26*0.488^5*31!/(26!*5!)

    +0.512^27*0.488^4*31!/(27!*4!)

    +0.512^28*0.488^3*31!/(28!*3!)

    +0.512^29*0.488^2*31!/(29!*2!)

    +0.512^30*0.488^1*31!/(30!*1!)

    +0.512^31

    =1.74%

    So not terribly likely but also not terribly unusual. More importantly, though, if you constantly look for patterns in various lotteries, you're bound to come across one like this and go "ah ha! This is unusual" when in fact it's not unusual at all. Random numbers will randomly on occasion produce results that don't "look" random. For example, if you play a slot machine at a casino, the probability of winning the jackpot is very low (say, 1 in a million). But people do win, and that doesn't mean the RNG in the machine is broken, they just happened to hit that 1 in a million. The other 999,999 tries didn't work (either lose or win something less than the jackpot).

    The probability of the next pick 3 number having a 4 or 6 in it is 0.512 or 51.2%. The same is true for the probability of the next pick 3 number having a 0 or 9 in it. Any two numbers is the same -- 51.2%.

      Edibs3's avatar - not found.png
      Saint Martinville
      United States
      Member #155819
      May 30, 2014
      283 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: February 27, 2016, 12:19 pm - IP Logged

       First I would like to thank you Tucker for your interest and quick uptake on Pick 3.   

      Everyone has to have a reason(of somekind) to make a bet. 

       I bet a billion dollars that no (6,4) number will hit midday ga this noon. 

       Filters starting from here:

       019, 028, 037, 127, 235, 389, 578, 029, 038, 128, 137, 579, 039, 057, 129, 138, 237, 589, 012, 058, 139, 157, 238, 013, 059, 158, 239, 257, 789, 023, 078, 159, 258, 357, 015, 079, 123, 178, 259, 358, 025, 089, 179, 278, 359, 017, 035, 125, 189, 279, 378, 018, 027, 135, 289, 379

      000, 055, 118, 299, 001, 119, 155, 227, 335, 399, 588, 777, 002, 011, 228, 255, 778, 003, 111, 229, 337, 355, 599, 779, 788, 022, 077, 112, 338, 888, 005, 113, 122, 177, 339, 555, 799, 889, 033, 088, 222, 277, 899, 007, 115, 133, 188, 223, 377, 557, 999, 008, 099, 233, 288, 558, 009, 117, 199, 225, 333, 388, 559, 577

       ===========================================================================

      Very partial to any 3xx and 2xx straights. Kinda' partial to all boxes with a digit 3.

       

      037, 235, 389, 038, 137, 039, 138, 237, 139, 238, 013, 239, 023, 357, 123, 358, 359, 035, 378, 135, 379

       

       Cheapest way are the 15 doubles that have no 6 or 4 and play the 3 in first spot.     3xx

       335, 399, 003, 337, 355, 338, 113, 339, 033, 133, 223, 377, 233, 333, 388

        Edibs3's avatar - not found.png
        Saint Martinville
        United States
        Member #155819
        May 30, 2014
        283 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: February 27, 2016, 12:34 pm - IP Logged

        Saturday result 828

          What a relief, no digits 6,or 4. 

         

        Filters starting from here:

         019, 028, 037, 127, 235, 389, 578, 029, 038, 128, 137, 579, 039, 057, 129, 138, 237, 589, 012, 058, 139, 157, 238, 013, 059, 158, 239, 257, 789, 023, 078, 159, 258, 357, 015, 079, 123, 178, 259, 358, 025, 089, 179, 278, 359, 017, 035, 125, 189, 279, 378, 018, 027, 135, 289, 379

        000, 055, 118, 299, 001, 119, 155, 227, 335, 399, 588, 777, 002, 011, 228, 255, 778, 003, 111, 229, 337, 355, 599, 779, 788, 022, 077, 112, 338, 888, 005, 113, 122, 177, 339, 555, 799, 889, 033, 088, 222, 277, 899, 007, 115, 133, 188, 223, 377, 557, 999, 008, 099, 233, 288, 558, 009, 117, 199, 225, 333, 388, 559, 577

          ===============================================================

         At the very least we won our BILLION dollar bet!  $$$$ Thumbs Up 

        =================

        The smaller 3xx and 2xx bets are still very good to go for Sunday's draw. 

        Here is a 95.8% reduction at a Straight hit Sunday.

        200, 202, 211, 212, 220, 221, 223, 225, 227, 228, 229, 232, 233, 252, 255

        , 272, 277, 282, 288, 292, 299, 300, 303, 311, 313, 322, 323, 330, 331, 332,

        335, 337, 338, 339, 353, 355, 373, 377, 383, 388, 393, 399

          Edibs3's avatar - not found.png
          Saint Martinville
          United States
          Member #155819
          May 30, 2014
          283 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: February 27, 2016, 1:02 pm - IP Logged

          For people that don't do doubles.

           Here are are the box/Single straight choices below for Sunday.

           028, 037, 038, 137, 138, 139, 257, 258, 357, 222, 259, 358, 025, 359, 035, 279, 027, 135, 333, 379

           

           20 Straights versions of boxes above. No 6/4's

          205, 207, 208, 222, 250, 257, 258, 259, 270, 275, 279, 280, 285, 295, 297,

          305, 307, 308, 315, 317, 318, 319, 333, 350, 351, 357, 358, 359, 370, 371, 375, 379, 380, 381, 385, 391, 395, 397

           

          The biggest gamble for Sunday. Back to Back (no 6/4's)

            Edibs3's avatar - not found.png
            Saint Martinville
            United States
            Member #155819
            May 30, 2014
            283 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: February 28, 2016, 12:37 pm - IP Logged

            481 

             What a surprise. Another 4 digit. How long can it go?

              It really is only getting better. Progressive means never having to say "break even."

             

             FYI below are the last standing BOX numbers at least one year old. Containing a 4,6 digit only. 

             Some players might have gone box on the flip side instead. Hope.

             

                                                   136, 049, 148, 468, 568 

             

                         244, 668, 344, 066, 444, 166, 445, 004, 446, 448, 466, 556, 224

              Edibs3's avatar - not found.png
              Saint Martinville
              United States
              Member #155819
              May 30, 2014
              283 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: March 6, 2016, 7:29 pm - IP Logged

              For people that don't do doubles.

               Here are are the box/Single straight choices below for Sunday.

               028, 037, 038, 137, 138, 139, 257, 258, 357, 222, 259, 358, 025, 359, 035, 279, 027, 135, 333, 379

               

               20 Straights versions of boxes above. No 6/4's

              205, 207, 208, 222, 250, 257, 258, 259, 270, 275, 279, 280, 285, 295, 297,

              305, 307, 308, 315, 317, 318, 319, 333, 350, 351, 357, 358, 359, 370, 371, 375, 379, 380, 381, 385, 391, 395, 397

               

              The biggest gamble for Sunday. Back to Back (no 6/4's)

               On the follow up with our Straight number hunting trip.  One of the 23 straight play numbers did hit as listed and without a digit 6 or 4

               The 305 hit straight with the digit 3xx in first position.

               Waiting for 5 or 6 draws for straights doesn't seem unmanageable. Not for that high $$ a payout in our favor.

               Even @ .50 per. Much less anything else.   

               

               *Now we can focus on the 2xx.midday

               No where near the historical out as the 3xx was --but still worth the small effort. Straights after all.   

               

                205, 207, 208, 222, 250, 257, 258, 259, 270, 275, 279, 280, 285, 295, 297 

                Evaluating the value of adding back digit 4 and 6 into the mix of particular STRAIGHTs. 

                Tialuvslotto's avatar - Jailin
                Texas
                United States
                Member #150797
                December 31, 2013
                815 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: March 7, 2016, 7:39 am - IP Logged

                Edibs3, are you familiar with 'strings'?  If not use the search bar to discover the wonderful world of strings and some great spreadsheets that Winsum has developed to track them.

                Here's a good place to start: https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/206907

                "There is no such thing as luck; only adequate or inadequate preparation to cope with a statistical universe."

                ~Robert A. Heinlein