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Posting predictions. Good or bad?

Topic closed. 18 replies. Last post 8 months ago by Dreaming Gemini.

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LiveInGreenBay's avatar - driver
Green Bay
United States
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October 15, 2015
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Posted: April 5, 2016, 7:17 pm - IP Logged

Its interesting to see the daily prediction results but... Say you have good reason to believe (through much research)  the next Megabucks numbers will be X X X X X X and you post your prediction.  So.....Those numbers come up, you ran them and so did 100 other lottery post readers.  Unhappy

Never give up.  Banana

    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
    mid-Ohio
    United States
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    March 24, 2001
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    Posted: April 5, 2016, 7:44 pm - IP Logged

    Its interesting to see the daily prediction results but... Say you have good reason to believe (through much research)  the next Megabucks numbers will be X X X X X X and you post your prediction.  So.....Those numbers come up, you ran them and so did 100 other lottery post readers.  Unhappy

    You're over estimating the number of members who take other members predictions seriously.  A couple of years ago I matched 5of6 in Ohio's Classic Lotto and Ohio's daily payouts didn't change.  I've noticed other predictors wins on the prediction board didn't have any effect on their states daily payouts either.

    There simply aren't any LP predictors successful enough to make playing their predictions worth playing. Disapprove

     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
       
                 Evil Looking       

      LiveInGreenBay's avatar - driver
      Green Bay
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      October 15, 2015
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      Posted: April 5, 2016, 7:50 pm - IP Logged

      You're over estimating the number of members who take other members predictions seriously.  A couple of years ago I matched 5of6 in Ohio's Classic Lotto and Ohio's daily payouts didn't change.  I've noticed other predictors wins on the prediction board didn't have any effect on their states daily payouts either.

      There simply aren't any LP predictors successful enough to make playing their predictions worth playing. Disapprove

      True.  I guess I should have worded my question differently.  If you felt confident in a set of numbers, would you post them?

      Never give up.  Banana

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
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        Posted: April 5, 2016, 7:56 pm - IP Logged

        True.  I guess I should have worded my question differently.  If you felt confident in a set of numbers, would you post them?

        "If you felt confident in a set of numbers, would you post them?"

        Sure I would for the bragging rights.  I truly doubt if anyone else would play them too.

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          sully16's avatar - sharan
          Ringleader
          Michigan
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          Posted: April 5, 2016, 7:57 pm - IP Logged

          I like posting predictions, I play the Bell Curve just to see how I do.

          Did you exchange a walk on part in the war ?

          For a lead role in a cage?

           

                                                      From Pink Floyd's " Wish you were here"

            RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
            mid-Ohio
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            Posted: April 5, 2016, 8:03 pm - IP Logged

            I like posting predictions, I play the Bell Curve just to see how I do.

            When I want to be one of the top ten predictors for the last 30 days, I predict Texas' or Georgia's All or Nothing.Wink

             * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
               
                         Evil Looking       

              sully16's avatar - sharan
              Ringleader
              Michigan
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              Posted: April 5, 2016, 8:13 pm - IP Logged

              When I want to be one of the top ten predictors for the last 30 days, I predict Texas' or Georgia's All or Nothing.Wink

              I think I tried that once, didn't do very well, good luck.

              Did you exchange a walk on part in the war ?

              For a lead role in a cage?

               

                                                          From Pink Floyd's " Wish you were here"

                RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                mid-Ohio
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                Posted: April 5, 2016, 9:57 pm - IP Logged

                I think I tried that once, didn't do very well, good luck.

                Stack47 stays on the top of that list and those are the only games he predicts. Wink

                If Todd ever add Lucky for Life for Ohio, I will start predicting it because it has an even higher overall hit average.

                 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                   
                             Evil Looking       

                  sully16's avatar - sharan
                  Ringleader
                  Michigan
                  United States
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                  Posted: April 5, 2016, 10:20 pm - IP Logged

                  Stack47 stays on the top of that list and those are the only games he predicts. Wink

                  If Todd ever add Lucky for Life for Ohio, I will start predicting it because it has an even higher overall hit average.

                  Okay, I got it, hope you get your game.

                  Did you exchange a walk on part in the war ?

                  For a lead role in a cage?

                   

                                                              From Pink Floyd's " Wish you were here"

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                    Kentucky
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                    Posted: April 6, 2016, 1:09 am - IP Logged

                    Stack47 stays on the top of that list and those are the only games he predicts. Wink

                    If Todd ever add Lucky for Life for Ohio, I will start predicting it because it has an even higher overall hit average.

                    I'm testing playing strategies to see if by matching the overall chances of winning (hit ratio) I can better than average prize ratio. The All or Nothing overall chances are 22.22% and Lucky for Life is at 12.8% (in KY).

                      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                      mid-Ohio
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                      Posted: April 6, 2016, 3:21 pm - IP Logged

                      I'm testing playing strategies to see if by matching the overall chances of winning (hit ratio) I can better than average prize ratio. The All or Nothing overall chances are 22.22% and Lucky for Life is at 12.8% (in KY).

                      That's the point I was making to sully16, if you want to be among the top predictors for the last 30 days you predict games with the highest overall hit ratios allowed by LP.

                      The figures used in that category are controlled more by the games predicted than by prediction success.  The AON games have the highest ratios allowed by LP, for example Ohio Rolling Cash5 has a 1:8 overall hit ratio but since a match2 paying $1 isn't counted by LP its overall hit ratio is reduced to 1:99 or 1%.

                       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                         
                                   Evil Looking       

                        Avatar
                        Kentucky
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                        Posted: April 7, 2016, 12:30 am - IP Logged

                        That's the point I was making to sully16, if you want to be among the top predictors for the last 30 days you predict games with the highest overall hit ratios allowed by LP.

                        The figures used in that category are controlled more by the games predicted than by prediction success.  The AON games have the highest ratios allowed by LP, for example Ohio Rolling Cash5 has a 1:8 overall hit ratio but since a match2 paying $1 isn't counted by LP its overall hit ratio is reduced to 1:99 or 1%.

                        AON has a 22.22% chance of winning something because matching 4 or 8 numbers is a push, but there is only a 1.78% chance of matching 3 or 9 to win $8. I've matched 1 and 11 less than ten times so winning the jackpot is probably the only way to show a profit.

                          RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                          mid-Ohio
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                          Posted: April 7, 2016, 10:45 am - IP Logged

                          AON has a 22.22% chance of winning something because matching 4 or 8 numbers is a push, but there is only a 1.78% chance of matching 3 or 9 to win $8. I've matched 1 and 11 less than ten times so winning the jackpot is probably the only way to show a profit.

                          Games like AON with good overall win ratios give players illusions of easy wins while they continue to make 50% profit like any other lottery game.

                           * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                             
                                       Evil Looking       

                            cbr$'s avatar - maren
                            Cordova,Al.
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                            January 15, 2011
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                            Posted: April 7, 2016, 1:19 pm - IP Logged
                            If I believe a set of numbers was correct for a game. I will post it. I enjoy
                            posting predictions. My hat go off for all the Top ten Predictors for the last
                            30 days. That a lot of work.
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                              The Windy City
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                              January 10, 2016
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                              Posted: April 7, 2016, 8:45 pm - IP Logged

                              I'm truly curious.   How do you predict random? 

                              I've read through a lot of threads, and I still say it's random.   If someone hits often, I would give credit to the horse shoe being firmly planted, rather than some system.   YMMV

                              - Wanna win at least a couple commas