BACKCHECKING
For the past month I have been coding a backchecking program. It's more or less done. I've been testing it for the past week. What it does is run all of the computerized workups that I do every day, then it checks to see if any of those workups correctly predicted a straight or boxed hit, then it logs those results, strips off the last day's worth of data so that it is working on yesterday's data, and then loops around and does the whole thing all over again. And again. And Again. And... It's a crude but effective way to backcheck a lot of days of lottery data.
DID I FIND PAYDIRT?
The most important question, right? The answer is, I found out that combining the results of two of my workups to get one workup yielded the best result. But did it make money? The answer is that over the time period that I looked at closely, 1/15/2016 - 1/14/2017, it came extremely close to breaking even. How close? I scored the results based on how I play, rather than on how the LP Predictions system scores results. In the real world, I always play numbers straight. It's extremely rare for me to play a number 50/50 or even boxed. So, with that understanding, I graded my backchecking as if I were playing each of the predicted numbers straight for a buck. With that in mind, the result was that my system predicted 1571 numbers during that one-year period. Assume that you would have played each straight for a buck, okay? The outcome was that there were three straight hits in that batch of numbers. So the payback would have been $1500. That means my prize ratio, the way I calculate it, would have been 95.5%. That's sooo close to breaking even that it's not even funny.
WHICH WORKUP(S) WORKED BEST?
By far and away, the best combination of workups was to combine mswiz777's Date Workup with my version of the Followers Workup. That's the combo that produced the best results. By far.
NOW THE BAD NEWS
Thinking that I was hot stuff, I decided to randomly pick another year from the past, 2010, and unleash the program on it. The result? I got clobbered. Not a single straight hit on my combined Date/Followers workup during the entire 365 day period. How can that be? You should have seen my face when I saw the result. What a letdown...
THOUGHTS
First, I was unhappily surprised to find that the Seven-Day Trending Numbers Workup only contributed a couple hits and none of those correlated with any other workup. Sigh... The Sync Workup did a little better. It kicked out some solo hits and also one hit that correlated with the Date Workup. Nice! Better than nothing. However, at the end of the day (month, actually) I have to say that the good old-fashioned Date Workup that anybody can do with data you can download for free from the Virginia Lottery website combined with my followers workup yielded the best result that I've found so far and even that failed completely when I ran a different year of data through the program. It's still, I think, better than nothing, but it's not what I was hoping for.