Staturday at the SPA - Saratoga August 18, 2018Prev Topic Next Topic

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Big Hitter

Brick City
United States
Member #1,216
March 3, 2003
1,984 Posts
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Aug 18, 2018, 10:11 am

Post time 1:00pm EDT. Good Luck.

All selections contenders for WIN.

Scratches and changes NOT included in today's handicapping advice.

Betting advice: 1 betting unit to WIN: 2 betting units to PLACE (WIN double PLACE).

Look for value. Any selection going to post at odds higher than 5-1 is a value play.

My selections are just a heads up to take a second look during your handicapping.

Do your research and make up your own mind. Don't blindly bet these selections.

If you are playing exotics (Exacta, Trifecta) I recommend using Part Wheels instead of boxes.

I like to put the highest odds horse on top and the others underneath. For example:

Selections: 4-12-5-3. Let's assume the 12 is the highest odds horse in the selection, put on top:

Exacta 12/4,5,3 cost=$6($2 base bet) Trifecta 12/4,5,3/4,5,3 cost=$12.

Best Longshot: Race 3 #5 Helooksthepart

Best Bet: Race 9 #4 She's a Julie

Race 1: $45,000 Maiden Claiming on Turf

First choice: #2 Azzedine

Second choice: #9 End of an Era

Third Choice: #7 Valycove

Fourth Choice #1 Entry (1,1a)

Race 2: $85,000 Maiden Special Weight on Turf

No Selections, to many First Time Starters

Race 3: $70,000 Open Claiming on Dirt

First choice #5 Helooksthepart
Second Choice #4 JS Bach
Third Choice #1 Forge
Fourth Choice #3 Fundy's Tide

Race 4: $85,000 Maiden Special Weight on Dirt

First choice #6 Borracho
Second Choice #8 Cromwell Avenue
Third Choice #7 Ahead of Plan
Fourth Choice #2 Principled

Race 5: $64,000 Conditioned Claiming on Dirt

First choice #2 Shanghai Glory
Second Choice #3 Our Girl Abby
Third Choice #4 Richie'slilwildcat
Fourth Choice #8 Simona

Race 6: $85,000 Maiden Special Weight on Dirt

No Selections in this race, to many first time starters.

Race 7: $77,000 Allowance N$1X on Turf

First choice #3 Hollywood Cat
Second Choice #9 Birthday Gift
Third Choice #4 Way Smart
Fourth Choice #8 Lovley La La
If one of the above scratches out use #11 Cha Cha Heels

Race 8: The Lake Placid Stakes on Turf

First choice #6 Rushing Fall (will be a heavy favorite)
Second Choice #2 Daddy Is a Legend
Third Choice #7 Andina Del Sur
Fourth Choice #5 Go Noni Go
If one of the above scratches out use #4 Significant Form

Race 9: The Alabama Stakes on Dirt

First choice: #4 She's a Julie

Second choice: #7 Coach Rocks

Third choice: #6 Figarella's Queen

Fourth Choice: #3 Midnight Bisou

Race 10: $50,000 Open Claiming on Turf

First choice: #7 Indebted

Second choice: #6 Bitumen

Third choice: #4 Reflected Star

Fourth choice: #9 Poshsky

Fifth Choice: #5 King of New York

Whatever you fear most has no power - it is your fear that has the power.
Oprah Winfrey
Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
(attributed to) Albert Einstein
I have failed many times, and that's why I am a success.
Michael Jordan
My religion consists of a humble admiration of the illimitable superior spirit who reveals
himself in the slight details we are able to perceive with our frail and feeble mind.
Albert Einstein
Sum Buddy

Between Two Worlds

United States
Member #129,922
July 1, 2012
275 Posts
Offline

Aug 18, 2018, 11:47 am

OK, I'll take a shot at Race 2:

# 1A Speedy Solution - Jockey is 33% riding 2-year-olds, and 40% in Maiden Special Weight races. It's a breeder-owned horse in a non-claiming race. Plus you get a two-fer with coupled entry #1 Rock On Kitten.

#6 Southern Bridge - Jock is 20% for both turf route, and Maiden Special Weight races. Trainer/jockey combo hitting in the money at a 50% clip for the past year.

#7 Gunslinger - Can't ignore an Irish-bred in a turf route.
Big Hitter

Brick City
United States
Member #1,216
March 3, 2003
1,984 Posts
Offline

Aug 18, 2018, 12:16 pm

Saratoga Scratches and Surface changes included with these modified picks.

I figured they would be off the turf because they got a lot of rain last night.

Saratoga Race Course August 18, 2018

Post time 1:00pm EDT. Good Luck.

All selections contenders for WIN.

Scratches and changes NOW included in today's handicapping advice.

Betting advice: 1 betting unit to WIN: 2 betting units to PLACE (WIN double PLACE).

Look for value. Any selection going to post at odds higher than 5-1 is a value play.

My selections are just a heads up to take a second look during your handicapping.

Do your research and make up your own mind. Don't blindly bet these selections.

If you are playing exotics (Exacta, Trifecta) I recommend using Part Wheels instead of boxes.

I like to put the highest odds horse on top and the others underneath. For example:

Selections: 4-12-5-3. Let's assume the 12 is the highest odds horse in the selection, put on top:

Exacta 12/4,5,3 cost=$6($2 base bet) Trifecta 12/4,5,3/4,5,3 cost=$12.

Best Longshot: Race 3 #5 Helooksthepart

Best Bet: Race 9 #4 She's a Julie

Race 1

First choice #13 Ding Dong Ditch

S'cond Choice #12 Blasphemy

Third Choice #1a Electro

Fourth Choice #7 Valycove

_________________________________________

Race 2

No selections, to many First Time Starters.

_____________________________________

Race 3

First choice #5 Helooksthepart

S'cond Choice #4 JS Bach

Third Choice #3 Fundy's Tide

Fourth Choice #1 Forge

_____________________________________

Race 4

First choice #6 Borracho

S'cond Choice #8 Cromwell Avenue

Third Choice #7 Ahead of Plan

Fourth Choice #2 Principled

_____________________________________

Race 5

First choice #3 Our Girl Abby

S'cond Choice #4 Richie'slilwildcat

Third Choice #8 Simona

Fourth Choice #6 Tee Up

_____________________________________

Race 6

No selections, to many First Time Starters.

_____________________________________

Race 7

First choice #3 Hollywood Cat

S'cond Choice #8 Lovley La La

Third Choice #2 Courageous Change

_____________________________________

Race 8

First choice #6 Rushing Fall (will be a heavy favorite)

S'cond Choice #2 Daddy Is a Legend

Third Choice #7 Andina Del Sur

Fourth Choice #4 Significant Form

_____________________________________

Race 9 (The Alabama Stakes)

First choice #4 She's a Julie

S'cond Choice #7 Coach Rocks

Third Choice #6 Figarella's Queen

Fourth Choice #3 Midnight Bisou

_____________________________________

Race 10

First choice #7 Indebted

S'cond Choice #6 Bitumen

Third Choice #5 King of New York

Fourth Choice #16 Brimstone

Whatever you fear most has no power - it is your fear that has the power.
Oprah Winfrey
Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
(attributed to) Albert Einstein
I have failed many times, and that's why I am a success.
Michael Jordan
My religion consists of a humble admiration of the illimitable superior spirit who reveals
himself in the slight details we are able to perceive with our frail and feeble mind.
Albert Einstein
Sum Buddy

Between Two Worlds

United States
Member #129,922
July 1, 2012
275 Posts
Offline

Aug 18, 2018, 1:11 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Sum Buddy on Aug 18, 2018
OK, I'll take a shot at Race 2:

# 1A Speedy Solution - Jockey is 33% riding 2-year-olds, and 40% in Maiden Special Weight races. It's a breeder-owned horse in a non-claiming race. Plus you get a two-fer with coupled entry #1 Rock On Kitten.

#6 Southern Bridge - Jock is 20% for both turf route, and Maiden Special Weight races. Trainer/jockey combo hitting in the money at a 50% clip for the past year.

#7 Gunslinger - Can't ignore an Irish-bred in a turf route.

Race 2 taken off turf, 1A, 6 and 7 all scratched. Daily Double money coming down heavy on the #13, Standard Deviation so...

#13 Standard Deviation

#11 My America

#3 Vineyard Sound
Sum Buddy

Between Two Worlds

United States
Member #129,922
July 1, 2012
275 Posts
Offline

Aug 18, 2018, 2:01 pm

Results Race 2:

#13 $2.90 $2.50 $2.10

#3 $7.40 $3.90

#4 $2.90

$1 Exacta: $11.40

$1 Trifecta: $30.50

Big Hitter

Brick City
United States
Member #1,216
March 3, 2003
1,984 Posts
Offline

Aug 19, 2018, 12:15 pm

Results from Saratoga Race Course Saturday August 18, 2018

Best Longshot: Race 3 #5 Helooksthepart finished 2nd and triggered a $94.00 Exacta

Best Bet: Race 9 #4 She's a Julie finished 2nd and triggered a $108.00 Exacta

Race 1 $45,000 Maiden Claiming on Turf

First choice #13 Ding Dong Ditch

S'cond Choice #12 Blasphemy

Third Choice #1a Electro

Fourth Choice #7 Valycove

_________________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
10	Arch of the Diver	Manuel Franco	16.00	6.90	5.00
13	Ding Dong Ditch	John R. Velazquez		3.60	2.60
7	Valycove	Julien R. Leparoux			5.30

Race 2: $85,000 Maiden Special Weight on Turf

No selections, to many First Time Starters.

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
13	Standard Deviation	Javier Castellano	2.90	2.50	2.10
3	Vineyard Sound	Kendrick Carmouche		7.40	3.90
4	Malthael	David Cohen			2.90

Race 3: $70,000 Open Claiming on Dirt

First choice #5 Helooksthepart

S'cond Choice #4 JS Bach

Third Choice #3 Fundy's Tide

Fourth Choice #1 Forge

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
4	J S Bach	Irad Ortiz, Jr.	7.90	4.10	3.20
5	Helooksthepart	Luis Saez		9.40	4.90
2	Sir Ballantine	Dylan Davis			4.80

$2 Exacta paid $94.00

Race 4: $85,000 Maiden Special Weight on Dirt

First choice #6 Borracho

S'cond Choice #8 Cromwell Avenue

Third Choice #7 Ahead of Plan

Fourth Choice #2 Principled

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
4	Endorsed	Joe Bravo	18.60	7.10	5.30
7	Ahead of Plan	Javier Castellano		3.50	2.90
2	Principled	John R. Velazquez			3.80

Race 5: $64,000 Conditioned Claiming on Dirt

First choice #3 Our Girl Abby

S'cond Choice #4 Richie'slilwildcat

Third Choice #8 Simona

Fourth Choice #6 Tee Up

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
1	Elizabeth Nicole	Dylan Davis	42.60	16.20	6.40
5	Shape Shifter	Irad Ortiz, Jr.		5.50	3.30
7	Gypsy Janie	Jose L. Ortiz			2.90

Race 6: $85,000 Maiden Special Weight on Dirt

No selections, to many First Time Starters.

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
2	Code of Honor	John R. Velazquez	15.00	5.00	3.50
5	Wild Medagliad'oro	Irad Ortiz, Jr.		2.60	2.10
8	U R Not So Bad	Jose L. Ortiz			3.90

Race 7: $77,000 Allowance N$1X on Turf

First choice #3 Hollywood Cat

S'cond Choice #8 Lovley La La

Third Choice #2 Courageous Change

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
10	Cartwheel	Jose Lezcano	9.40	3.70	2.70
8	Lovely La La	Jose L. Ortiz		2.70	2.40
13	Beach Princess	Dylan Davis			3.20

Race 8: The Lake Placid Stakes on Turf

First choice #6 Rushing Fall (will be a heavy favorite)

S'cond Choice #2 Daddy Is a Legend

Third Choice #7 Andina Del Sur

Fourth Choice #4 Significant Form

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
6	Rushing Fall	Javier Castellano	4.70	3.40	2.70
3	Capla Temptress (IRE)	Julien R. Leparoux		8.20	4.70
2	Daddy Is a Legend	Manuel Franco			3.40

Race 9: The Alabama Stakes on Dirt

First choice #4 She's a Julie

S'cond Choice #7 Coach Rocks

Third Choice #6 Figarella's Queen

Fourth Choice #3 Midnight Bisou

_____________________________________

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
2	Eskimo Kisses	Jose L. Ortiz	20.00	8.30	4.10
4	She's a Julie	Ricardo Santana, Jr.		7.40	4.10
3	Midnight Bisou	Mike E. Smith			2.40

Race 10: $50,000 Open Claiming on Turf

First choice #7 Indebted

S'cond Choice #6 Bitumen

Third Choice #5 King of New York

Fourth Choice #16 Brimstone

Pgm	Horse	Jockey	Win	Place	Show
13	Driven by Thunder	John R. Velazquez	6.90	3.70	2.70
10	California Swing	Luis Saez		4.10	2.70
16	Brimstone	Irad Ortiz, Jr.			2.80

Whatever you fear most has no power - it is your fear that has the power.
Oprah Winfrey

Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
(attributed to) Albert Einstein

I have failed many times, and that's why I am a success.
Michael Jordan

My religion consists of a humble admiration of the illimitable superior spirit who reveals
himself in the slight details we are able to perceive with our frail and feeble mind.
Albert Einstein

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Staturday at the SPA - Saratoga August 18, 2018Prev TopicNext Topic

#13 Standard Deviation

#11 My America

#3 Vineyard Sound

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