I have been preparing a Report for a Pick 4 Game App. This “For Now To Remain Secrete” FNTRS App is a Totally Automated Selection System that Generates 200 combinations per Game. The App has been Applied to Every Draw of Every State Game Listed on the Lottery Post Daily Games Tab. It operates on the StateDraws.xls File provided by Winssomelosessum. Results Were Based on a 100% Payout (Equal to the Actual Odds). The Criteria is only to Beat the Odds before Taking on the “House”. There are currently 50 Games out of 96 that are Positive (against the 100% payouts). I will note that with 1 Exception AC4E, the App has not been Positive against the 50% Payouts of the Lottery.
The Atlantic Canada Evening Game AC4E IS A New Game with only 302 Draws o date. This Game is currently on it’s longest skip at 68. Long Skips seam to be the most difficult to predict from. It is probably best to wait this one out and let it Run. The Average Long Skip (All Games) is 264 Games. Could be a long wait.
In the middle of preparing Cash Flow Reports and a Summary of all State Games, I started to drift toward Skips. The App produces a complete list of Games with Hits and the Number of Hits in the Game. The App produces a lot of matching combinations for a draw. The Cash Flow is based on Playing each of the 200 combinations including the matches in every game.
Each Game has a Skip History. The Automated Process is a Rigid Program wherein every Game has a wager of 200 Combinations at $1 each. That yields what I call the “Skip Cost”. In Rigid form, The Skip multiplied by the Daily Wager = the Skip Cost. Whenever the Skip Cost is greater that the Hit Income, the App is Losing (50 Games @$200 = $10,000). Now for some Reality (25 Games @$200 = $5,000) the best you get from the Lottery. That means that the Only way for the App to succeed is to Sit Out more Games than It Plays and Play Briefly during a Hit Cycle. Facing Random Square in the Face Again, This Time it is the Randomness of the Skips.
I am left wondering if There is a way to Evaluate Randomness. Do Odds = Randomness? It makes sense. The more Options (10,000 P4 Combinations) vs say (365 Skips). Skips have got to be easier. Especially when the Number of Options Goes Down after Every Draw that increases the Skip. If the Current Skip is 50 and the Max Skip is 365 (Italics because this number is not Real). There are currently 11 out of 96 Games with a Long Skip in Excess of 365.
I am Open to any suggestion about the Relevance of the Data and how it might be used to predict Hit Cycles. I am looking at the following Data for Each Game, Italics = Input Based on ??
- Current Skip
- Long Skip
- Games Hit
- Number of Hits (remember the App often produces multiple Winners)
- Number of Skips Greater than the Current Skip.
- The Number of Hits for the Next 10 Skips (Current Skip +1 to Current Skip +10). Perhaps 25 Games is more appropriate because it is the “Break-Even” Skip in the 50% Payouts of the States (Para mutual Payouts can be much less and Lower the Break-Even Skip).
- Experimenting with Formulas that could indicate a Hit Cycle is Near. Statistics are not enough (I think). Perhaps a “Dimensionless” Variable can be derived from this Data. Perhaps a “General Rule” can be derived from Formula or “Observation”.
The App produces a complete history of All Games. There may be a “Migration Pattern” in Play as the Hits move from State to State. The App Yields a small list of States that Hit together or within a Skip or 2 of each other.
I know what is Real, I think. I will say if for you. The Notion that One can take 96 Random Events, Pick a couple of Games that will Hit and then pick the numbers in the Draw, Is _______ (fill in the Blank).
I guess I am just addicted to the Data and this is about as Big as it Gets. Running the App takes a while. Logging and Updating the Daily Data is a Simple Input Process followed by a Series of Macros that do the update and calculate and track data in Each Game (a 2 hr process due to my limited Macro Skills).
Another thing, It is impossible (or maybe not legal) to find a way of playing all of these State Games. Please, let’s avoid any discussion about that and focus on the Data for now.
Any Advice would be appreciated.
Allenb (Data Addict)