As I indicated in my previous post timing (when and what to play) seems to be strictly system dependent. Some systems may rely on backtracks exclusively but for great majority it will not be enough. Here is my idea how to realistically improve predictability - using indicators based on simple statistical calculations.
I use sample data from Wisconsin Pick 3 and the method used is called Vtracks expanded; Vtracks in many versions were extensively discussed on LP in the past. Below is the description of what I do in this version of Vtrack and why I call it expanded.
When you want to time playing some prediction system first thing you want to know is how this system is performing; that's the essence of timing. In my opinion you need to verify 2 aspects of the system: how it performed in the recent past and what are its realistic (and not just wishful) projections for the future. The former requires backtracks, the latter making some presumptions regarding the short term expectations.
I already demonstrated (in other thread) that winning strongly depends on the quality of digits in your combos. What are the quality digits? The ones that stand and trend high on digit frequency charts. So my presumption is that these digits may provide the best scenario for the short term predictions. Below is the example.
In this example I use 4 best performers, with their current frequency and trends combined. These are, from highest to lowest: 5, 2, 8,7. However, their sequence in further calculations does not matter. What matters is that currently they are the best. Since digit frequencies may fluctuate rapidly, particularly with doubles being drawn, I intentionally selected only 15 latest draws for this computation to respond quickly to these fluctuations.
Now we have the basis for evaluating a system. In this example I use Vtrack V343. I ran into it by chance during testing and show it because it's quite illustrative of what the whole concept of prediction indicators is.
In white there are 8 prediction combos computed for the Vtrack V343. Then there are the prediction indicators. What do they mean?
The best digits are the statistically best digit performers, selected as above. The digit frequency indicator tells me how many of these best digits are included in the above combos. In this case it's 83%, or 20 out of 24. Not too bad.
But having good digits alone will not do. What also matters is how they are distributed between the combos. This may make a big difference.
Next, we look how these combos can score in the best case scenario: if 3 out of the best 4 digits hit again. For singles, there are 24 combination for the 4 best digits to cover all possibilities. The Vtrack 343 combos cover only 2 of those so it's still a long shot to win a single. 4 digits for doubles require 36 combinations and the Vtrack combos cover again only 2, so the shot is even longer. But pairs are a totally different story with much better chances to generate cash. It's important to see these percentages so you can apply appropriate strategy what to play. You don't select combos to just hit "something"; there is no such play category in any Pick 3. If playing singles or doubles ALWAYS select straight.
The last indicator relates to the current singles/doubles ratio, taken from the latest 15 draws. Doubles are overdue. They will start coming back so watch out for digit frequencies, doubles and pairs.
The prediction indicators I invented are just that - indicators that some selections are more likely to win than others if certain conditions are met, and in what categories; they are not guarantees. They also allow to compare different systems directly as they evaluate not HOW a system generates combos but WHAT combos, and if the output is playable or not, based on the selected criteria.
And this is how I would approach the issue of system timing. If the indicators and backtracks are good - why not to try it? And prior to that - compare with other systems. Needless to say this has to be computerized - indicators may change every day and Vtracks expanded alone have 500 different calculations; how much more for other systems with options? I need choices that are comparable so I can select what seems to be the best option. No guarantee that it will win but we are talking about improving probabilities, not guarantees. I think that's one of the ways to do timing and I will apply it to all my predictions - unless and until I discover something better (or perhaps LP members provide some inspiration, as destinycreation and lottery-123 did by asking their questions).
Another 2 cents of mine. Hopefully they can win you more than that.