The downside to all descriptive statistics is that they don't tell you when a number is going to fall. That's why I got in the business of writing code to look for coincidences in the numbers. I don't have a really good coincidence for Missouri today (Saturday) but I have a pretty decent candidate, 476, for tomorrow (Sunday). Here is the chart:
11/03/2020,616,801 | 12/04/2019,614,801 | 04/11/2019,457,807 -
11/04/2020,259,481 | 12/05/2019,778,649 | 04/12/2019,889,867
11/05/2020,338,812 | 12/06/2019,721,486 | 04/13/2019,721,190
11/06/2020,730,166 | 12/07/2019,145,583 | 04/14/2019,491,054
11/07/2020,370,921 | 12/08/2019,981,247 | 04/15/2019,760,841
11/08/2020,138,263 | 12/09/2019,135,047 | 04/16/2019,800,557
11/09/2020,439,954 | 12/10/2019,337,022 | 04/17/2019,344,410
11/10/2020,210,038 | 12/11/2019,620,753 | 04/18/2019,689,207
11/11/2020,862,343 | 12/12/2019,846,516 | 04/19/2019,584,272
11/12/2020,825,093 | 12/13/2019,032,563 | 04/20/2019,926,555
11/13/2020,850,503 | 12/14/2019,771,503 | 04/21/2019,252,503 -
11/14/2020,216,274 | 12/15/2019,874,631 | 04/22/2019,805,925
11/15/2020,450,276 | 12/16/2019,015,750 | 04/23/2019,667,204
11/16/2020,595,908 | 12/17/2019,734,907 | 04/24/2019,958,189
11/17/2020,889,957 | 12/18/2019,142,629 | 04/25/2019,931,597
11/18/2020,560,835 | 12/19/2019,104,745 | 04/26/2019,600,517
11/19/2020,219,838 | 12/20/2019,758,113 | 04/27/2019,267,916
11/20/2020,022,895 | 12/21/2019,862,197 | 04/28/2019,631,631
11/21/2020,???,??? | 12/22/2019,635,994 | 04/29/2019,341,494
11/22/2020,???,??? | 12/23/2019,846,476 | 04/30/2019,291,476 -
Those are most-recent consecutive syncs between 503 and 476, pretty much exactly what am looking for in a chart like this. The extra sync on 801 is a nice bonus, too.
Good Luck!