Stack47, I love questions like yours. You're a natural sceptic so proof is the only real answer you'll understand.
Your question1: "Correct me if I'm wrong but it looks like you used results from 10 years ago and boxed the 56 combos?" ANSWER: Yes. I used results from 10yrs ago. I've said before - My strategy: "the only way to predict the future is to view the past"
And, partially yes, I "straight/boxed" the 56 results. But, if you'll notice the results have pairs. Which means I'm guaranteed to win at least $200 on a $50 average spend.
Your question2: "How many draws did you wait?" ANSWER: 1; (really I didn't wait at all. I took the midday draw on 4/18/21, and predicted the evening draw for 4/18/21). RBTL and my (lottery data platform) allows me to do that by observing the trends.
Your question3A: "If in fact the hit was on the first and only time you played that combo, you bet $56 to win $144 and more like a 2.6 ROI." ANSWER: No. This isn't the first and only time I played this pick. If you see my earlier post. I showed proof of the $13K on the same permuted number - 9-5-7-2. Also, I calculate my ROI this way: (The amount I win) \ (the amount I spend) = $200\$54 = 3.7X(ROI) (I was off .1) :-)
Your question3B: "You're new, but most experienced lottery players here know one modest size hit doesn't create a worthwhile playing system. Especially when you're getting a 2.7% return on a game paying 5000%." ANSWER: No, my friend. I can assure you I am not new. I've been on LP for years (check my bio), trying different methods and systems. If I'd continued playing "other" folks methods and picks, yes, I 'd have modest returns. I don't consider 74X(ROI) [my max] modest. I don't play to win $200-500. As I said before If you see my earlier post. Fact: I showed proof of the $13K on the same number - 9-5-7-2. Spent $288 WON $13100 That's (45XROI).
Another thing about me: I'm an engineer (GATech grad), I have a minor in Mathematics, and I'm a software developer/analyst by trade. My LDP is my code design.
Quick rant: I love playing the lottery, but I'm not gonna play if I continue to lose. Most of the folks I run into at Publix appear to be losing money on Pick4. OMG, we're just talking about Pick4, Pick2-3 (is too easy, but not worth same effort as Pick4&5), and Pick5 (is starting to have mature data).
Check out this Pick5 miss (look at the date): That would've been $25K+ on a spend of $82 (309XROI), If the <snip>ed ticket printer hadn't jammed. That's why I created a LP topic on Betslip printers. https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/336522
The reason my approach is better than the ones most are using is because my system is driven by data. My LDP can show you what happened in 1991, not just 2011. My 4/6/21 win, was from data in 1992. My LDP has data since the games inception.
Fact: I've been to the lottery office to cash more ($10K+) Pick4 winning checks in the last 30days than probably anyone here. Caveat: I'm assuming that because I asked the folks at the lottery office "Who comes here more than I do?" Their answer: "You do, Will"
Look, Stack47, I'm not trying to brag (that's really not the type of dude I am). I am actually one of you guys - love gambling, and trying to WIN big every time I play.
Here's my problem: Scaling. I can get the $200-$1000 wins, but some retailers (Publix) can't handle large slews of tickets. If I 10X'd my $56, I'd have a line form. And, Publix only accepts cash. Who walks around with large sums of cash in FL, and doesn't expect to get robbed at some point?
All this means I have to get smarter about how I play. I need a system that allows me to play at multiple retailers simultaneously. My proposed solution: Buy a lottery retailer (convenience store ).
-Will
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