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# Odds QuestionPrev TopicNext Topic

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• KY
us
Member #240,929
April 2, 2024
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If a game has odds of 1 in 4.72, and you lose 20 times in a row, would the equation be:

(1/4.72)^20=

?

Also, if the odds remain the same, how would you set up two 20 loss in a row streaks having played 240 total times?

Regards

• United States
Member #197,030
March 28, 2019
1,639 Posts
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(1/4.2)^20 is the probability of winning 20 times in a row. The probability of losing 20 times in a row is

(1 - 1/4.2)^20 = 0.00434523989

• LAS VEGAS
United States
Member #47,728
November 22, 2006
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The odds are deceptive

• Texas
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August 28, 2019
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in a way, that's right, the odds may indeed be deceptive. It matters a great deal the precision of how the question is specified. Does it mean "at least" 20 losses in a row or "exactly 20 losses in a row" (out of 240 games)? If the latter, does the streak happen "only once, with no other streaks of 20 losses" (i.e. any other streaks are 19 losses or less) or can there possibly be "multiple streaks of 20 losses in a row, but at most 20 in a row"? These will have different answers. I'm confident these questions can be answered by combinatorics, some with more difficulty than others, but there are certainly questions in mathematics that have not been answered, despite brilliant minds with their careers largely focused on the them. These questions perhaps cannot be answered, ever, meaning they are indeterminate by their nature. Perhaps, even, there may be infinitely many of these unanswerable questions.

• LAS VEGAS
United States
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November 22, 2006
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Quote: Originally posted by Orange71 on Apr 15, 2024

in a way, that's right, the odds may indeed be deceptive. It matters a great deal the precision of how the question is specified. Does it mean "at least" 20 losses in a row or "exactly 20 losses in a row" (out of 240 games)? If the latter, does the streak happen "only once, with no other streaks of 20 losses" (i.e. any other streaks are 19 losses or less) or can there possibly be "multiple streaks of 20 losses in a row, but at most 20 in a row"? These will have different answers. I'm confident these questions can be answered by combinatorics, some with more difficulty than others, but there are certainly questions in mathematics that have not been answered, despite brilliant minds with their careers largely focused on the them. These questions perhaps cannot be answered, ever, meaning they are indeterminate by their nature. Perhaps, even, there may be infinitely many of these unanswerable questions.

TY orange,

odds are often like fact pathology and management, or manipulated; greatly depending how they are applied or articulated, before, with or after (subject)

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