Canada
Member #218,115
October 17, 2021
171 Posts
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Quote: Originally posted by Player649 on Oct 1, 2024
Got what you mean: sort of skills on wheels. Problem here: my skills in successfully predicting numbers, not only 6 of 12, but also from any other imaginable combination is so bad that I had to wholly automate the selection process so in case of failure I can blame the software and avoid yelping: "Conspiracy, they rigged the numbers", so popular lately (personally, I have a good time reading "proofs" of rigging). So I have to turn to statistics again to see what's possible and what's not.
6 of 12 requires 924 combinations.
In my 649 there are 13,983,816 6-number combinations.
I may see one of the 924 combinations hit once in 15134 draws on average.
There are about 104.29 draws per year (twice weekly).
On average it will take about 145 years to see just one of the 924.
Therefore, unless I'm granted a privilege of becoming a modern age Methuselah chances are overwhelming that I will never see any of these 924 combinations coming up.
So much for the guarantee - practically unreachable.
Wheels with guarantees like this are examples of science for the sake of science only - with no practical application. The guarantee is simply a nonsense. Who in the sound mind would play something like that? True, I myself have a whole bunch of such "scientific" wheels but I never looked at them as playable stuff.
The job of a wheel is to convert hits into actual winners. The value of a wheel lies not in its guarantee but in what it can do OUTSIDE the guarantee. That's all that matters. Some wheels can do much better job than others particularly in netting a bigger fish. And they neither have nor need any guarantees.
This is what I mean by wheel value outside its guarantee.
It's the complete wheel potential in all possible hit combinations.
Win % above 100 means there were several wins at this level in numerous combinations.
Ticket conversion indicates % of winning tickets.
With hit 6 the stats are impressive. However, this is not likely to occur frequently if ever.
The hit range for 12 numbers is below of minimum win 3.
Therefore playing this number group/wheel combination has rather minuscule chances of winning even the lowest prize.
Definitely good to know what's in the wheel before spending money for it.
This evaluation ignores guarantee (if such exists) as useless.
Wheel evaluation report
Lottery: 649
Numbers in lottery: 49
Size of ticket: 6
Frequency of numbers:
Number: 1 - 3 times
Number: 2 - 3 times
Number: 3 - 3 times
Number: 4 - 3 times
Number: 5 - 3 times
Number: 6 - 3 times
Number: 7 - 3 times
Number: 8 - 3 times
Number: 9 - 3 times
Number: 10 - 3 times
Number: 11 - 3 times
Number: 12 - 3 times
Avg frequency: 3.0
Wheel is balanced
Numbers in wheel: 12
Avg hit rate: 1.47
Most probable hit range: 0.47 -> 2.47
Canada
Member #218,115
October 17, 2021
171 Posts
Offline
Quote: Originally posted by ethanl on Sep 25, 2024
any one done a LOTTO - ABBREVIATED SYSTEM 12 ?
Select your own 12 numbers
Selection = 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th numbers
Game 1 = 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th numbers
Game 2 = 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th numbers
Game 3 = 1st 3rd 5th 7th 9th 11th numbers
Game 4 = 2nd 4th 6th 8th 10th 12th numbers
Game 5 = 1st 2nd 3rd 10th 11th 12th numbers
Game 6 = 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th numbers
Game 7 = 1st 2nd 3rd 7th 8th 9th numbers
Game 8 = 4th 5th 6th 10th 11th 12th numbers
Each game contains exactly 6 numbers, which is half of the total selection. The pattern ensures that all numbers are used an equal number of times across the games, creating a balanced
This is the potential of this wheel.
The conversion ratios are the same as for the smaller wheel.
But has many more winners at all hit levels and thus will provide better ROIs.
Wheel evaluation report
Lottery: 649
Numbers in lottery: 49
Size of ticket: 6
Frequency of numbers:
Number: 1 - 4 times
Number: 2 - 4 times
Number: 3 - 4 times
Number: 4 - 4 times
Number: 5 - 4 times
Number: 6 - 4 times
Number: 7 - 4 times
Number: 8 - 4 times
Number: 9 - 4 times
Number: 10 - 4 times
Number: 11 - 4 times
Number: 12 - 4 times
Avg frequency: 4.0
Wheel is balanced
Numbers in wheel: 12
Avg hit rate: 1.47
Most probable hit range: 0.47 -> 2.47
Frequency of numbers:
Number: 1 - 4 times
Number: 2 - 4 times
Number: 3 - 4 times
Number: 4 - 4 times
Number: 5 - 4 times
Number: 6 - 4 times
Number: 7 - 4 times
Number: 8 - 4 times
Number: 9 - 4 times
Number: 10 - 4 times
Number: 11 - 4 times
Number: 12 - 4 times
Avg frequency: 4.0
Wheel is balanced
Numbers in wheel: 12
Avg hit rate: 1.47
Most probable hit range: 0.47 -> 2.47
700 light yrs West of Milky Way Galaxy's Center
Player evaluation report:
