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# Probability Question

Topic closed. 15 replies. Last post 14 years ago by everett.

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South Carolina
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July 16, 2002
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 Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:28 pm - IP Logged

On 11 sept in New York the pick 3 was 911. What is the probability that the pick 3 matched the date?

Okay, now I believe you can predict lottery numbers

Queens, NY
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 Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:38 pm - IP Logged

999 to 1 like it is any other day.

Megamillionaire

Time is a wonderful teacher, but it kills all its students.

A man must consider what a rich realm he leaves when he becomes a conformist.

Watervliet, New York
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 Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:41 pm - IP Logged

Well Tom,

The odds say 1000 to 1 and it is just a coincidence that  happened.... I was in shock when I watched the drawing that night and also pissed me off cause soooo many people had it. The number was sold out of course its amazing how a tragedy can stimulate that many people to play a number like 911, personally here in NY that number should be retired for that day of sorrow! JMHO!

Mink404Ski

South Carolina
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 Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:45 pm - IP Logged

Correct, The date was not drawn.

Okay, now I believe you can predict lottery numbers

United States
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 Posted: May 3, 2003, 6:29 am - IP Logged

1 in 500, since NY has gone to midday AND night draws.

Chief Bottle Washer
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 Posted: May 3, 2003, 6:35 am - IP Logged
Quote: Originally posted by CASH Only on May 03, 2003

1 in 500, since NY has gone to midday AND night draws.

No, the odds for each of the two drawings is 1 in 1000, so 2 draws would give you odds of 2 in 2000, or 1 in 1000.

Check the State Lottery Report Card

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United States
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 Posted: May 3, 2003, 6:49 am - IP Logged
Todd:

I wanted to be "approximate."

It's actually 1-((999/1000)*(999/1000).

Chief Bottle Washer
New Jersey
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 Posted: May 3, 2003, 7:02 am - IP Logged
Quote: Originally posted by CASH Only on May 03, 2003

Todd:

I wanted to be "approximate."

It's actually 1-((999/1000)*(999/1000).

Check the State Lottery Report Card

Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
Help eliminate computerized drawings!

Queens, NY
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 Posted: May 3, 2003, 4:42 pm - IP Logged

I forgot, it's 000 to 999 which is actually 1000 and not 999 numbers. I stand corrected.

Megamillionaire

Time is a wonderful teacher, but it kills all its students.

A man must consider what a rich realm he leaves when he becomes a conformist.

Pacific Northwest
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 Posted: May 18, 2003, 2:15 pm - IP Logged

I saw this question apparently pretty late.

But Cash Only's first answer is correct.

If there are two draws per day the theoretical chances are

1/500 that at least once the number will be drawn:

1/1000 + 1/1000 = 2/1000 = 1/500 and not 2/2000, Todd.

Example: 1/4 + 1/4 = 2/4 and not 2/8.

Or 1 Quarter plus 1 Quarter is 2 Quarters and not 1 Quarter. With that kind of calculation you would lose a lot of money.

Now the chances that is happens twice that day would be

1/1000 x 1/1000 = 1/1 000000. Now that would have been impressive.

Good Luck!

Pennsylvania
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 Posted: May 19, 2003, 9:05 am - IP Logged

No, your odds are still 1/1000 because you still need to buy a ticket for the second drawing...

Pacific Northwest
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 Posted: May 19, 2003, 12:09 pm - IP Logged

No, hyper!

You have to read the orginal question! If there are two drawings a day there are two drawings a day!

The chances are 1/500.

Pennsylvania
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 Posted: May 20, 2003, 8:09 am - IP Logged
Quote: Originally posted by everett on May 19, 2003

No, hyper!

You have to read the orginal question! If there are two drawings a day there are two drawings a day!

The chances are 1/500.

Pennsylvania also draws the 3 digit number twice a day. You don't get a free ride in the PM drawing just for having an AM ticket.

If you play either the AM or PM, it's 1/1000... if you play the same number for both, THEN you could consider it 1/500, but it cost you twice as much to play.

Pacific Northwest
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 Posted: May 20, 2003, 2:00 pm - IP Logged

If you do not want to go back to the original question, I will do it for you!

"On 11 sept in New York the pick 3 was 911. What is the probability that the pick 3 matched the date?"

Where in that question is anywthing written about how much money it costs to play it?

The chances for that day are 1/500. Whatever amount you want to pay to hit the number has nothing to do with it.

Pennsylvania
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 Posted: May 21, 2003, 11:09 am - IP Logged

in light of the original question... the odds would be 1/500 for the number to be drawn in that day...

but it would still be 1/1000 for a player to match the winning number in either drawing. If you played 911 in the AM drawing you would have a 1/1000 chance of winning. If you played 911 in the PM drawing, your odds would be 1/1000 of winning in that drawing. The only way you would better your personal odds of winning would be to play another number in each drawing.

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