Welcome Guest
Log In | Register )
You last visited January 17, 2017, 4:16 pm
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)

Probability Question

Topic closed. 15 replies. Last post 14 years ago by everett.

Page 1 of 2
PrintE-mailLink
Thomas Covenant's avatar - money
South Carolina
United States
Member #491
July 16, 2002
837 Posts
Offline
Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:28 pm - IP Logged

On 11 sept in New York the pick 3 was 911. What is the probability that the pick 3 matched the date?


Okay, now I believe you can predict lottery numbers

    megamillionaire's avatar - Sphere animated_small_ neg2.gif
    Queens, NY
    United States
    Member #245
    April 15, 2002
    451 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:38 pm - IP Logged

    999 to 1 like it is any other day.

    Megamillionaire

    Time is a wonderful teacher, but it kills all its students.

    A man must consider what a rich realm he leaves when he becomes a conformist.

      Mink404Ski's avatar - prismm zpspm2ze8wf.gif
      Watervliet, New York
      United States
      Member #1100
      February 2, 2003
      3212 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:41 pm - IP Logged

      Well Tom,

              The odds say 1000 to 1 and it is just a coincidence that  happened.... I was in shock when I watched the drawing that night and also pissed me off cause soooo many people had it. The number was sold out of course its amazing how a tragedy can stimulate that many people to play a number like 911, personally here in NY that number should be retired for that day of sorrow! JMHO!

      Mink404Ski

      "Bet with your head..... not over it!" 

        Thomas Covenant's avatar - money
        South Carolina
        United States
        Member #491
        July 16, 2002
        837 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: May 2, 2003, 6:45 pm - IP Logged

        Correct, The date was not drawn.


        Okay, now I believe you can predict lottery numbers


          United States
          Member #379
          June 5, 2002
          11296 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: May 3, 2003, 6:29 am - IP Logged

          1 in 500, since NY has gone to midday AND night draws.

            Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
            Chief Bottle Washer
            New Jersey
            United States
            Member #1
            May 31, 2000
            23348 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: May 3, 2003, 6:35 am - IP Logged
            Quote: Originally posted by CASH Only on May 03, 2003


            1 in 500, since NY has gone to midday AND night draws.



            No, the odds for each of the two drawings is 1 in 1000, so 2 draws would give you odds of 2 in 2000, or 1 in 1000.

             

            Check the State Lottery Report Card
            What grade did your lottery earn?

             

            Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
            Help eliminate computerized drawings!


              United States
              Member #379
              June 5, 2002
              11296 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: May 3, 2003, 6:49 am - IP Logged
              Todd:

              I wanted to be "approximate."

              It's actually 1-((999/1000)*(999/1000).

                Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
                Chief Bottle Washer
                New Jersey
                United States
                Member #1
                May 31, 2000
                23348 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: May 3, 2003, 7:02 am - IP Logged
                Quote: Originally posted by CASH Only on May 03, 2003


                Todd:

                I wanted to be "approximate."

                It's actually 1-((999/1000)*(999/1000).



                Whatever your formula, your odds are 1 in 1000.

                 

                Check the State Lottery Report Card
                What grade did your lottery earn?

                 

                Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
                Help eliminate computerized drawings!

                  megamillionaire's avatar - Sphere animated_small_ neg2.gif
                  Queens, NY
                  United States
                  Member #245
                  April 15, 2002
                  451 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: May 3, 2003, 4:42 pm - IP Logged

                  I forgot, it's 000 to 999 which is actually 1000 and not 999 numbers. I stand corrected.

                  Megamillionaire

                  Time is a wonderful teacher, but it kills all its students.

                  A man must consider what a rich realm he leaves when he becomes a conformist.

                    Pacific Northwest
                    United States
                    Member #1229
                    March 6, 2003
                    707 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: May 18, 2003, 2:15 pm - IP Logged

                    I saw this question apparently pretty late.

                    But Cash Only's first answer is correct.

                    If there are two draws per day the theoretical chances are

                    1/500 that at least once the number will be drawn:

                    1/1000 + 1/1000 = 2/1000 = 1/500 and not 2/2000, Todd.

                    Example: 1/4 + 1/4 = 2/4 and not 2/8.

                    Or 1 Quarter plus 1 Quarter is 2 Quarters and not 1 Quarter. With that kind of calculation you would lose a lot of money.

                    Now the chances that is happens twice that day would be

                    1/1000 x 1/1000 = 1/1 000000. Now that would have been impressive.

                    Good Luck!

                     

                      hypersoniq's avatar - 8ball
                      Pennsylvania
                      United States
                      Member #1340
                      April 6, 2003
                      2450 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: May 19, 2003, 9:05 am - IP Logged

                      No, your odds are still 1/1000 because you still need to buy a ticket for the second drawing...

                        Pacific Northwest
                        United States
                        Member #1229
                        March 6, 2003
                        707 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: May 19, 2003, 12:09 pm - IP Logged

                        No, hyper!

                        You have to read the orginal question! If there are two drawings a day there are two drawings a day!

                        The chances are 1/500.

                          hypersoniq's avatar - 8ball
                          Pennsylvania
                          United States
                          Member #1340
                          April 6, 2003
                          2450 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: May 20, 2003, 8:09 am - IP Logged
                          Quote: Originally posted by everett on May 19, 2003



                          No, hyper!

                          You have to read the orginal question! If there are two drawings a day there are two drawings a day!

                          The chances are 1/500.





                          Pennsylvania also draws the 3 digit number twice a day. You don't get a free ride in the PM drawing just for having an AM ticket.

                          If you play either the AM or PM, it's 1/1000... if you play the same number for both, THEN you could consider it 1/500, but it cost you twice as much to play.

                            Pacific Northwest
                            United States
                            Member #1229
                            March 6, 2003
                            707 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: May 20, 2003, 2:00 pm - IP Logged

                            If you do not want to go back to the original question, I will do it for you!

                            "On 11 sept in New York the pick 3 was 911. What is the probability that the pick 3 matched the date?"

                            Where in that question is anywthing written about how much money it costs to play it?

                            The chances for that day are 1/500. Whatever amount you want to pay to hit the number has nothing to do with it.

                             

                              hypersoniq's avatar - 8ball
                              Pennsylvania
                              United States
                              Member #1340
                              April 6, 2003
                              2450 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: May 21, 2003, 11:09 am - IP Logged

                              in light of the original question... the odds would be 1/500 for the number to be drawn in that day...

                               

                              but it would still be 1/1000 for a player to match the winning number in either drawing. If you played 911 in the AM drawing you would have a 1/1000 chance of winning. If you played 911 in the PM drawing, your odds would be 1/1000 of winning in that drawing. The only way you would better your personal odds of winning would be to play another number in each drawing.