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# Gap Analysis

Topic closed. 5 replies. Last post 12 years ago by hypersoniq.

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United States
Member #5599
July 13, 2004
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 Posted: July 18, 2004, 10:25 am - IP Logged

After looking at the horizontal gap history, for fantasy 5), for over 300 games, I'm confused how this kind of compaison can yield any useful information. Yet, it is mentioned in several forums as an important element in analyzing your numbers. What am I missing...help!

Horizontal gap summary table for Fantasy 5

gap    L1    L2    L3     L4

 1 170 34 1 0 205 2 116 65 6 0 187 3 45 73 20 0 138 4 35 68 44 3 150 5 11 54 54 6 125 6 5 37 45 18 105 7 2 22 41 11 76 8 1 18 50 21 90 9 0 10 33 26 69 10 0 4 37 30 71 11 0 0 24 33 57 12 0 0 15 37 52 13 0 0 9 31 40 14 0 0 5 30 35 15 0 0 1 28 29 16 0 0 0 31 31 17 0 0 0 20 20 18 0 0 0 11 11 19 0 0 0 17 17 20 0 0 0 9 9 21 0 0 0 10 10 22 0 0 0 3 3 23 0 0 0 4 4 24 0 0 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 1 1 26 0 0 0 2 2 27 0 0 0 1 1 28 0 0 0 1 1 29 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 1 1 385 385 385 385 1540

L1 indicates the lowest sorted gap amount

L4 indicates the highest sorted gap amount

mid-Ohio
United States
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March 24, 2001
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 Posted: July 18, 2004, 10:59 am - IP Logged

In the RNG program that I use to pick my numbers, gap and range are used as parameters to control how numbers are distributed.  For example in picking numbers to play in MegaMillions,  I might enter parameters of 20-51 for ranges and 0-20 for gaps and discard any combinations which had 2 or more adjacent gaps of 1(0) such as 15-16-17-35-40.  Gaps, ranges and sums are the easiest kinds of data to calculate so they are mentioned all the time weather they are useful is a question yet to be answered.

RJOh

* you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket *

United States
Member #5599
July 13, 2004
1184 Posts
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 Posted: July 18, 2004, 12:39 pm - IP Logged

So, looking at the the revised data below:

I might want to pick the highlighted area of the total amount column to pick numbers that happen (330/386)*100 =86% of the time, as an example.

 L1 L2 L3 L4 TOT TOT TOT VAL AMT 2 4 7 16 29 1 0 1 1 4 19 25 2 0 1 2 4 12 19 3 0 2 6 6 8 22 4 0 2 2 4 5 13 5 0 1 4 8 22 35 6 0 1 3 6 9 19 7 0 2 3 3 16 24 8 0 3 3 13 17 36 9 1 1 4 5 6 16 10 2 2 2 3 23 30 11 0 1 1 3 21 26 12 1 3 7 8 10 28 13 8 3 5 11 19 38 14 7 6 6 10 13 35 15 4 4 5 8 12 29 16 7 2 4 10 13 29 17 9 1 3 8 9 21 18 20 5 7 8 17 37 19 11 3 7 9 10 29 20 12 1 4 5 10 20 21 17 1 1 10 17 29 22 13 1 2 5 9 17 23 9 3 3 5 23 34 24 13 2 4 4 19 29 25 24 1 2 4 15 22 26 21 1 2 3 20 26 27 20 4 6 7 14 31 28 21 1 5 12 13 31 29 26 4 7 10 10 31 30 16 2 4 4 13 23 31 26 1 4 8 9 22 32 17 2 4 5 10 21 33 18 1 3 8 8 20 34 19 1 3 14 15 33 35 14 6 9 10 13 38 36 13 2 4 5 17 28 37 9 1 1 2 9 13 38 7 2 2 4 12 20 39 0 1 2 3 18 24 TOT 385

only partial raw data view

Pennsylvania
United States
Member #1340
April 6, 2003
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 Posted: July 18, 2004, 12:42 pm - IP Logged

gaps are a profiling tool... you can gather the past gap information and make sure your pick(s) "fit" the profile in hopes of a win... I once wrote a program to filter all the possible combos in the PA cash 5 to leave only those that matched the "profile" for gap, range and sum... the number that was drawn wasn't in the 200,000+ combos...

the only thing I took from the study of profiling tools (gaps, sums, odd/even, high/low, delta etc..) is that numbers that stand out statistically are rarely drawn together. I once took this to the extreme with cash 5's 3000+ draw history, by identifying the most popular numbers in each position, then filtering the history to find their most popular companions... the whole thing only generated 5 picks, and never did better than matching 3 a few times... I didn't need to try it for real, backtesting is easier and cheaper ;-)

the major flaw... if one of the popular numbers was not drawn, your picks were basically useless....

Playing more than one ticket per game is betting against yourself.

United States
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July 13, 2004
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 Posted: July 18, 2004, 1:05 pm - IP Logged

That's pretty much the game I'm playing right now, profiling, however, I never key off any key numbers, only the numbers that best fit multiple profiles. I may in the long run end up with the same conclusion you have. But for now it's a work in progress. As far as results, I'm doing faily well in the two and three hit range, but have noticed I would have had 4 hits several times if I had been betting more. The biggest problem I see is that error %'s are additive, so if you have 10 filters/profiles each with a 5% error, then you end up with picks that are either 50% right or wrong.

Thanks for the input and put backtracking routines on my list of things to do.

Pennsylvania
United States
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April 6, 2003
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 Posted: July 18, 2004, 1:23 pm - IP Logged

good luck.

Also, never give up just because someone else has had bad results... the journey through picking numbers is one everyone (especially someone developing their own systems) should make on their own.

the other suggestion I have is to keep past failed systems on hand, so you can review where you have been.

As far as filters go, that error can be corrected out, but it's in hindsight on past results... I was once working on an excel spreadsheet for powerball and made a cell reference error... what happened was that the actual results were only a few numbers off of my picks... consistently. I was quite thrilled until I realized I was referencing the wrong data set... (checking from actual results rather than my generated picks... of COURSE that way shows hits galore).

now that I have been down several roads, I might go and revisit profiling to apply to the one pick I now generate... couldn't hurt...

Playing more than one ticket per game is betting against yourself.

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