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Back Testing


OK.  So at this point in time I have something worth pursuing.  So pursue I did.  I used all the draws in Georgia P5 game up to and including 2008.  I then applied the concepts of Information Theory and mined the data.

Once all my data was in place and my program was ready to predict, I re-ran all the Georgia draws up to and including 2008.  Imagine my excitment when I saw that 15 to 20 times a year for the years 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008, my prediction was successful.  I think I ran around the house naked for an hour.  That's outside the house in case I did not make myself clear.

Now I was ready to throw 2009 and what there was of 2010 into the mix.  As the computer ran and the numbers refreshed, and the little green, red, and blue lights flashed, my heart began to pound.  I began to have fears of what my success might mean.  Would others try to steal my ideas?  Would they threaten my life?  Will I have to move into a gated community, one with 24/7 security?  What would I do with my first million?  All sorts of wonderful thoughts coursed thru my mind.

I need not have bothered,  Not one draw, no not one, matched my prediction. 

"What happened?" I asked myself, refusing to believe what I was seeing.  "Where did I go wrong?"

Me and Jack Daniels had a nice long talk about it.  We are still talking.  He is doing the listening and I am doing the talking.

Entry #12


truecriticComment by truecritic - April 29, 2010, 1:43 am
That is exciting. NO! Not the part about you running around outside...the numbers coming up in your programs is the exciting part!

It is also very typical of 2 different sets of data - especially random data.   And, let's say you go one more step. Say you have 2 sets of different data plus a 3rd set - you manage to make data set #1 and #2 come out to some acceptable level - data set #3 probably won't work.

It's the nature of the beast.
More research and good luck to you!

Comment by phileight - April 29, 2010, 7:01 am
several times I have come up with a system too good to be true. so far they were not true. In my case i usually find that in the back testing I accidentally include the game( data) that I'm testing.

keep at it. It keeps the brain active if it never produces winning numbers.
konaneComment by konane - April 29, 2010, 10:48 am
If Georgia Fantasy 5 is what you're working with be sure to have someone get you a ticket for tonight's draw .... jackpot up to $707,000 Est. tonight. Good luck!!!

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