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$244 MILLION: Mega Millions lottery frenzy ramps up

Topic closed. 121 replies. Last post 6 years ago by brucevang.

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Indiana
United States
Member #104853
January 21, 2011
159 Posts
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Posted: March 23, 2011, 9:33 pm - IP Logged

There or USA Mega. The cash value of the jackpot went up by about $38 million, and about 32 cents of each dollar goes to the jackpot. That means they're expecting sales of about 38/.32, or 120 million tickets. Because a lot of combinations will be duplicated, selling 120 million tickets would mean using about 95 million combinations if all were picked randomly, and 95 million is 54% of the total number of combinations.

Of course not all combinations are chosen randomly. It's really just a SWAG, but I'm guessing that all those non-random tickets will probably reduce the number of combinations played by at least a couple of million.  That would mean that with 120 million tickets sold there will be about a 52 or 53% chance of a winner(s) and a 47 or 48% chance of a rollover.

That got me thinking.  Maybe I will buy a few more tickeys using the QP generator on here and fill out the form.  It would still be random by not randomly chosen by the computer.


    United States
    Member #81773
    October 29, 2009
    11 Posts
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    Posted: March 24, 2011, 9:26 pm - IP Logged

    I'm having my Grandma buying tickets for me on this one... since most jackpot are won by them. By the way I'm 25, not under 18.