RJOh,
I accept Powerball and MM as random, unbiased. I know others would disagree, but every matrix I've built is based on randomness. Ultimately I think the lottery has balance. Randomness has dventual balance...yes you'll get hot and cold numbers, high and low, but in the end it balances out.
The matrix we're talking about is one of the first I developed. I do not think it's exceptionally accurate, but I keep it around since it's easy to maintain. I track the mean value by position for all draws and the last 30, 10 and 5 draws. Using Powerball again as the example:
|
1st
|
2nd
|
3rd
|
4th
|
5th
|
220
|
8.90
|
18.28
|
27.83
|
35.80
|
44.85
|
30
|
9.63
|
18.47
|
28.63
|
37.90
|
45.47
|
10
|
10.50
|
19.70
|
30.60
|
41.50
|
45.20
|
5
|
13.60
|
22.20
|
32.20
|
39.80
|
43.00
|
I use the total number of draws (220) as the base to which I compare everything else. 220 draws are sufficient to guarantee accuracy in averages. The theoretical average of the first position is really close to 8.90. Maybe it's 8.7 or 9.1, but at least we're in the right area.
Then I compare recent draws to my base, the total number of draws. In the first position, the last 30, 10 and 5 draws are all above average (9.63, 10.5, 13.6; all compared to 8.90). I would pick a low first position digit, much lower than 9. The 2nd 3rd and 4th positions have all been above average recently, so I would aim for lower numbers.
For the 5th position, the last 30 and 10 draws are above normal. However, the last 5 draws have been below average, so maybe the correction, the balance in the lottery has already occurred. The next draw is very likely to be high in the 5th position even though the 30 draw average is high.
I don't use this system much because it doesn't pinpoint numbers well. Ok, so I know I want to play the first digit from 1-6 or 1-7...now what?
