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Looks like I was wrong on Megamillions

Topic closed. 16 replies. Last post 12 years ago by Maverick.

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dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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Posted: February 14, 2005, 12:21 am - IP Logged

Did the math and Megamillions went up when Texas joined.

Before TX joined there were 166 drawings offering a total of 5.976 billion averaging 36 million per drawing.

After TX joined there were 126 drawings (until 2/15/05) offering a total of 4.981 billion averaging 39.53 million per drawing.

Still pathetic considering the odds and pathetic compared to Powerball.

Powerball since Megamillions started had 292 drawings offering a total of 14.931 billion averaging 51.13 million per drawing.

True since TX joined Mega they gained a whopping 3.53 million on their average but it's still 11.6 million below that of Powerball.

I would really hope that the Mega group could finally fix Mega so their average jackpot could at least reach that of Powerball.

    DoctorEw220's avatar - alien helmet.jpg
    Yinzer Country, PA
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    Posted: February 14, 2005, 1:36 am - IP Logged

    well, it looks like the average may go up with this jackpot run. ever since the first drawing back in 2002 (i'm not counting the big game), only once has the jackpot been split. has anyone else noticed that?

    I've redone my website.  Go to www.dr-ew.com.  I kept a lot of the old stuff, and I've added some new stuff.  Look for more new stuff in the coming weeks.

      Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
      Chief Bottle Washer
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      Posted: February 14, 2005, 1:54 am - IP Logged

      dvdiva:



      To make a fair comparison, you need to calculate the past 126 drawings for Powerball, to see its parallel run to Mega Millions since Texas joined. By going back 292 drawings, it is a less useful comparison. My guess is that they will be very close.

       

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        dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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        Posted: February 14, 2005, 4:25 am - IP Logged

        Well considering what a bad year Powerball is off to right now it wouldn't be difficult to match it.

        Powerball is averaging 21.6 million so far in 2005. Below that of some large state lotteries. Powerball didn't have any large states join it however.

        The average pot has been falling for Powerball as well but I doubt that Powerball is going to fix it anytime soon.

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          Morrison, IL
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          Posted: February 14, 2005, 9:02 am - IP Logged

            Yeah, Powerball seems to be hit more than statistically expected.

            Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
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            Posted: February 14, 2005, 9:25 am - IP Logged

            My point is that you can usually make statistics say whatever you want.  I thought your initial comparison showing Powerball way ahead was unfair, because it did not compare the LATEST versions of each of the games - only the latest version of Powerball.

            Mega Millions has definitely emerged as the biggest USA lottery game, once Texas joined, and now will be impossible to exceed, even if Florida decided to join Powerball.

             

            Check the State Lottery Report Card
            What grade did your lottery earn?

             

            Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
            Help eliminate computerized drawings!

              fja's avatar - gnome1

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              Posted: February 14, 2005, 2:52 pm - IP Logged
              Quote: Originally posted by dvdiva on February 14, 2005


              Did the math and Megamillions went up when Texas joined.
              Before TX joined there were 166 drawings offering a total of 5.976 billion averaging 36 million per drawing.
              After TX joined there were 126 drawings (until 2/15/05) offering a total of 4.981 billion averaging 39.53 million per drawing.
              Still pathetic considering the odds and pathetic compared to Powerball.
              Powerball since Megamillions started had 292 drawings offering a total of 14.931 billion averaging 51.13 million per drawing.
              True since TX joined Mega they gained a whopping 3.53 million on their average but it's still 11.6 million below that of Powerball.
              I would really hope that the Mega group could finally fix Mega so their average jackpot could at least reach that of Powerball.


              I understand what you are saying now......thank you for that explanation......

              "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                MADDOG10's avatar - smoke
                Beautiful Florida
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                Posted: February 14, 2005, 3:08 pm - IP Logged
                Quote: Originally posted by Todd on February 14, 2005



                My point is that you can usually make statistics say whatever you want.  I thought your initial comparison showing Powerball way ahead was unfair, because it did not compare the LATEST versions of each of the games - only the latest version of Powerball.

                Mega Millions has definitely emerged as the biggest USA lottery game, once Texas joined, and now will be impossible to exceed, even if Florida decided to join Powerball.




                 i could'nt agree more...!

                                                             

                                                               "  When Injustice Becomes Law, Resistance Becomes Duty "

                  dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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                  Posted: February 14, 2005, 3:28 pm - IP Logged

                  Well it depends who fixes their game first. Both should have fixed it a long time ago. Megamillions might make their game better now that California is joining but both should have done something when their average jackpots started to tank. Its something they could have easily done in Excel.

                    Maverick's avatar - yinyang
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                    Posted: February 14, 2005, 7:08 pm - IP Logged
                    Quote: Originally posted by DoctorEw220 on February 14, 2005


                    well, it looks like the average may go up with this jackpot run. ever since the first drawing back in 2002 (i'm not counting the big game), only once has the jackpot been split. has anyone else noticed that?


                    There was a split-jackpot in Mega Millions? Can you gimme the date DoctorEw220? Thanx man.
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                      Morrison, IL
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                      Posted: February 14, 2005, 9:39 pm - IP Logged

                        The last time there was a split Mega Millions jackpot was on November 11, 2003, when a $70 million jackpot was split three ways.

                        Maverick's avatar - yinyang
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                        Posted: February 14, 2005, 10:35 pm - IP Logged
                        Quote: Originally posted by ryanm on February 14, 2005


                          The last time there was a split Mega Millions jackpot was on November 11, 2003, when a $70 million jackpot was split three ways.



                         Thanx.
                          fja's avatar - gnome1

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                          Posted: February 15, 2005, 8:25 am - IP Logged
                          Quote: Originally posted by ryanm on February 14, 2005


                            The last time there was a split Mega Millions jackpot was on November 11, 2003, when a $70 million jackpot was split three ways.


                          and if I'm not mistaken one of the winners had two of the tickets,,,,,

                          "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                            nywilliams's avatar - Lottery-008.jpg
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                            Posted: February 15, 2005, 10:35 am - IP Logged

                            Yes, he was here in GA. Up in N. GA somewhere.

                            When a man tells you he got rich through hard work, ask him: "WHOSE"? - Don Marquis

                              Maverick's avatar - yinyang
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                              Posted: February 15, 2005, 9:41 pm - IP Logged
                              Quote: Originally posted by fja on February 15, 2005



                              Quote: Originally posted by ryanm on February 14, 2005


                                The last time there was a split Mega Millions jackpot was on November 11, 2003, when a $70 million jackpot was split three ways.


                              and if I'm not mistaken one of the winners had two of the tickets,,,,,


                              wow another .. was it 5/52 + 1/52 back then also?