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What would be the ideal jackpot odds?

1: 150 million

[ 2 ]

[ 12.5% ]

1: 160 million

[ 2 ]

[ 12.5% ]

1: 170 million

[ 1 ]

[ 6.2% ]

1: 180 million

[ 1 ]

[ 6.2% ]

1: 190 million

[ 1 ]

[ 6.2% ]

1: 200 million

[ 2 ]

[ 12.5% ]

1: 210 million

[ 1 ]

[ 6.2% ]

1: 220 million

[ 2 ]

[ 12.5% ]

1: 230 million

[ 1 ]

[ 6.2% ]

1: 240 million

[ 3 ]

[ 18.8% ]

Total valid votes

[ 16 ]

Discarded votes

[ 3 ]

CASH Only

United States
Member #379
June 5, 2002
11,296 Posts
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Mar 9, 2005, 6:32 pm

Currently, MM is 1: 135+ million.
DoctorEw220

Yinzer Country, PA
United States
Member #4,067
March 18, 2004
2,741 Posts
Offline

Mar 9, 2005, 6:34 pm

they would have to increase it by quite a bit to accomidate CA.

I've redone my website. Go to www.dr-ew.com. I kept a lot of the old stuff, and I've added some new stuff. Look for more new stuff in the coming weeks.
weshar75

Mcminnville, Oregon
United States
Member #3,013
December 13, 2003
6,173 Posts
Offline

Mar 9, 2005, 7:09 pm

1 in 240 million should be high enough of odds for california.
dvdiva

United States
Member #2,338
September 17, 2003
2,063 Posts
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Mar 10, 2005, 12:02 am

Anyone know when the changes happen or when tickets are to be sold in CA?

It's like waiting for a broken car to get fixed.
tg636

United States
Member #972
December 30, 2002
468 Posts
Offline

Mar 10, 2005, 4:01 pm

I'd like to see the game and odds go unchanged for a year after California joins and then assess the situation. Then they would have proof that the jackpot was hit time after time between $10-40 million. Currently the odds are 135 million to 1. That means that even if they sold 100 million tickets a drawing there would be 35 million unplayed numbers, and if any one of them come up, no winner. I can't see that it's so dire it needs to be changed.
ryanm

Morrison, IL
United States
Member #4,657
May 13, 2004
1,885 Posts
Offline

Mar 10, 2005, 5:46 pm

Yes, California might increase ticket sales 1.5 times, but that's not really enough to warrant an odds increase.
dvdiva

United States
Member #2,338
September 17, 2003
2,063 Posts
Offline

Mar 10, 2005, 10:35 pm

We already have all the proof we need. Its broken. move on. Powerball just isn't smart enough to fix their game. If high odds and crappy prizes are what you seek you can just go to a powerball state and play that. I just am tired of two broken games.
ryanm

Morrison, IL
United States
Member #4,657
May 13, 2004
1,885 Posts
Offline

Mar 10, 2005, 11:47 pm

How is Mega Millions broken? Its jackpot runs broke $100 million twice in a row recently!
MichiganHopeful

United States
Member #547
August 8, 2002
134 Posts
Offline

Mar 11, 2005, 11:15 am

I long for the good old days when it was called "The Big Game" and there were only 6 states! There has not been a winner from Michigan for a very long time now.
CASH Only

United States
Member #379
June 5, 2002
11,296 Posts
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Mar 11, 2005, 11:37 am

MI:
Yes, but the Big Game started as annuity-only.
tg636

United States
Member #972
December 30, 2002
468 Posts
Offline

Mar 11, 2005, 11:48 am

You have to define "broken". It is true that the MA lottery website has this quote:

Did you know..... Jackpots for The Big Game - Mega Millions are expected to reach
up to a Mega $500 Million.

And they have haven't even gone past $300 million. And with Texas added, are even more unlikely to do so. So the lottery bean counters may be disappointed, but I don't think the players or winners are disappointed in $50-$150 million.

It is interesting that even before Texas was added, the lottery expected $500 million jackpots. Obviously the experts did the odds and calculations and analysis, so why didn't the jackpots of $300-500 mil happen even once after they raised the odds? What went wrong with the analysis? If they were off because ticket sales were higher than expected, that means the lottery is making more money than they expected to, so how can the lottery be disappointed in that?

Quote: Originally posted by dvdiva on March 10, 2005

We already have all the proof we need. Its broken. move on. Powerball just isn't smart enough to fix their game. If high odds and crappy prizes are what you seek you can just go to a powerball state and play that. I just am tired of two broken games.
mken37

jacksonville
United States
Member #12,328
March 11, 2005
4 Posts
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Mar 11, 2005, 12:21 pm

I agree too....
CASH Only

United States
Member #379
June 5, 2002
11,296 Posts
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Mar 11, 2005, 12:33 pm

I worry that a hike in the Mega Millions odds will mean a migration back to NY Lotto (and its terrible prize return).
CASH Only

United States
Member #379
June 5, 2002
11,296 Posts
Offline

Mar 30, 2005, 12:33 pm

Let's see what happens.

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