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Mega Millions Math

Topic closed. 5 replies. Last post 11 years ago by Todd.

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Think's avatar - lightbulb
Marquette, MI
United States
Member #20541
August 20, 2005
710 Posts
Offline
Posted: August 20, 2005, 10:27 am - IP Logged

I have been writing letters to editors and to the Mega Millions websight here is the response I got from MM

-------------

Dear Player,

Thank you. I've passed this information on to our Online Games manager.

Lottery PR Department

>>> "xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx" <xxxxxxxxxxxx@xxxxx.com> >>>
The Mega Millions (and powerball) game has a MAJOR FLAW!

If you buy 46 easy pick tickets your odds are 175,711,536 to 46

However if you buy the same set of 5 numbers with each mega ball
(1,2,3,4,5-1 thru 1,2,3,4,5-46 for example) your odds become that of
winning second prize or 3,819,816 to 1!  This, in essence, makes the mega
millions a multistate 6/40 game where the tickets cost $46

once people come to this realization the jackpots wont roll as much

You NEED to FIX this one FAST!!!

--------

NOTE: the odds on a 6/40 are 3,838,380

    Avatar
    Greenwich, CT
    United States
    Member #4793
    May 24, 2004
    1822 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: August 20, 2005, 10:55 am - IP Logged

    175,711,536 to 46

    Is the same thing as

    3,819,816 to 1

    There's no flaw.

      Bradly_60's avatar - disney37
      Atlantic Mine, Michigan
      United States
      Member #416
      June 23, 2002
      1614 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: August 20, 2005, 11:25 am - IP Logged

      That is probably the best way to play the game.  Spend 46 dollars and play the same 5 white balls.  You gaurantee yourself at least $2 back and if those 5 white balls come up you will win the jackpot and make the 2nd tier prize para-mutual.  So really you cut your odds down to 1 in less than 4 million.  What is wrong with that?

      Brad 

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
        United States
        Member #9
        March 24, 2001
        19901 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: August 20, 2005, 2:07 pm - IP Logged

        Put another way, if you buy all the possible combinations of 5/56, the MegaMillions game becomes a multi-state 1/46 game where the ticket cost $3,819,816.  This might mean something to a players in California if the pari-mutuel amount for matching 5+0 ever accumulates to close that amount.

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          Think's avatar - lightbulb
          Marquette, MI
          United States
          Member #20541
          August 20, 2005
          710 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: August 20, 2005, 9:50 pm - IP Logged

          JAG331 says

          "175,711,536 to 46

          Is the same thing as

          3,819,816 to 1

          There's no flaw."

           

          Jag, you are missing something subtle here!  With the odds being 175,711,536 to 46 you have  175,711,490 losing combinations and only 46 winning combinations when the odds are 3,819,816 to 1 you have 3,819,815 losing combinations and 1 winning combination.  If you buy all 46 mega balls with the same 5 of 56 you really are improving your odds and making the game a 5/56 game!!!

            Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
            Chief Bottle Washer
            New Jersey
            United States
            Member #1
            May 31, 2000
            23349 Posts
            Online
            Posted: August 20, 2005, 10:25 pm - IP Logged

            Duplicate thread:

            http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/118419

             

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