United States
Member #2,338
September 17, 2003
2,063 Posts
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I have a feeling this will be the first time it takes three drawings to break 300 not two. 200 then 240 then just under 300. Odds don't look good for that happing. Maybe Prob988 could figure out what the odds are now of breaking 300.
mid-Ohio United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
20,272 Posts
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$200M should generate enough interest that new office pools will start forming. If one wins there will be the usual whining from co-workers who were too poor or cheap to participate but think their greedy co-workers in the pool should share their good fortune with them, after all if only they had known they were going to win they would make an effort to get the money somehow. If the pool will accept a late payment, the payment can be taken from their share of the winnings.
* you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones *
Atlantic Mine, Michigan United States
Member #416
June 23, 2002
1,614 Posts
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Well ticket sales increased by 13,000,000 from Tuesdays sales. (48 million) So people are getting into it. We should sell around 50 for Tuesday's drawing. If it rolls then Friday should be around 60-70 million sold. Look at NY sales. Jumped from 6 million to over 10 million in the last drawing. California is still low compared to others. NJ sold more than them and Michigan and Illinois are right behind them. What is up with that?
North Dakota United States
Member #13,397
April 5, 2005
1,623 Posts
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I belive my numbers will hit, good luck to all. 200MILLION
as the name says "Destinedtowin"
So Destinedtowin, Where do you purchase your GA tickets? Wildwood? By the way I'm from Marion County too. Anyway.. To stay on topic... $200 million isn't a bad prize.
New Jersey United States
Member #21,205
September 4, 2005
963 Posts
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I have a feeling this will be the first time it takes three drawings to break 300 not two. 200 then 240 then just under 300. Odds don't look good for that happing. Maybe Prob988 could figure out what the odds are now of breaking 300.
The official lottery jackpot for this drawing figure is predicting sales of around 50 million, which would give a probability of 77% for a rollover, as I posted elsewhere.
However the last $200M + jackpot, back on April 22 of 2004, had sales of $77.6M, which at today's odds gives a rollover probability of 65%. In this case, with sales in the $70-80M range, the initially announced jackpot would probably rise to about $250M and may even bump up beyond that if lotto fever takes hold.
The $295 million jackpot won in Massachusetts sold about $132M tickets. At todays odds, the rollover probability would be slightly lower than 1 in 2. I'd estimate the probability of a record breaking jackpot exceeding $363M, as being in the 30-40% range at this time. I'm pretty confident that it will take two or three drawings to do it.
It's difficult to be more precise, because the odds changes, the general changes in the economy, the size of the buying population, etc, as we've discussed on this site, is very different than it was when the historical information was generated. We're in new territory. I think current conditions represent the best chance for someone breaking Jack Whittaker's record in some time. Ultimately, I think it will happen someday if not in the near future.
I would personally recommend to the winner of such a jackpot to make arrangements to get out of town in as secret a place as one can find.
Magnolia, Delaware United States
Member #18,794
July 20, 2005
789 Posts
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MMM $200 million, sounds like a very nice prize (especially when we all live paycheck to paycheck) to me! To have that much money would be the greatest rush anyone could ever ask for (besides taking care of family with some of it). Don't worry everyone I'll be holding the winning ticket tuesday!
<<< that's whats gonna happen when I win and then it's time to >>>
Good luck to everyone and keep dreaming the impossible dream, it just may come true!
Whitwell, TN United States
Member #5,461
July 5, 2004
56 Posts
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Hey Tnplayer805 as a matter of fact yes I do play in Wildwood! I always play at the Exxon. Go $200million. sounds like a good round number for me to win