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How high will Powerball get this run?

Topic closed. 26 replies. Last post 11 years ago by ryanm.

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How high will Poweball get this run?

150Million + [ 8 ]  [22.86%]
200Million + [ 9 ]  [25.71%]
250Million + [ 9 ]  [25.71%]
300Million + [ 5 ]  [14.29%]
350Million + [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
400Million + [ 4 ]  [11.43%]
Total Valid Votes [ 35 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 3 ]  
bellyache's avatar - 64x64a9wg

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Posted: September 22, 2005, 3:16 pm - IP Logged

I think the jackpot may go above 200 million, but I don't think it will reach 300 million.

Dance like no one is watching.

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    Morrison, IL
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    Posted: September 22, 2005, 5:05 pm - IP Logged

      It might get at least one rollover when the jackpot is $200+ million though.  That hasn't happened in the past year and a half or so.

      dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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      Posted: September 22, 2005, 11:02 pm - IP Logged

      I wonder if the people voting for the 400 million forgot about the cap on jackpots that MUSL has. Then again they might have tied this to the cash prize so the cap will be a non issue.

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        Morrison, IL
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        Posted: September 24, 2005, 7:00 pm - IP Logged

          Powerball should tie their $25 million limit increase to the cash value option and not the annuity.  That would enable them to still have their "match 5 bonus pool."

          dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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          Posted: September 25, 2005, 12:00 am - IP Logged

          Judging from how low the cash prize is now the jackpot could hit 400 million if they use the cash as the cap limit, but MUSL being lame will probably tie it to the annuity.

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            Morrison, IL
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            Posted: September 25, 2005, 3:59 pm - IP Logged

              They do tie it to the annuity.  They should tie it to the cash value though.

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              Elkins,WV
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              Posted: September 25, 2005, 4:54 pm - IP Logged

              500 million by dec will happen merry x-mas 2005

                twisted's avatar - underground
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                Posted: September 25, 2005, 9:16 pm - IP Logged
                If the jackpot rolls four more times, the cap should not be much of a problem (i think).  I think this is what the roll's will look like IF it rolls 4 more times.


                Sep 28th   $148 million
                Oct 1st     $180 million
                Oct 5th     $230 million
                Oct 8th     $310 million
                Oct 12th   $410 million

                The "cap" rule states that once the jackpot reaches a new high (around $400 million on Oct 12th) the next rollover will be capped at $25 million.

                Ofcourse this is only possible if the jackpot rolls 4 more times.




                  dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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                  Posted: September 25, 2005, 9:25 pm - IP Logged

                  I would be shocked if it lasted four more drawings. Even though only 6 people won 5 white balls I just dont see it breaking the 300 mark let alone not getting hit at the 300 level. I don't think people realise how low the probability is of a multi-state game not getting hit at a 300-350 million pot level.

                    twisted's avatar - underground
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                    Posted: September 25, 2005, 10:13 pm - IP Logged

                    On August 25th, 2001 Powerball reached $295 million when the odds of winning the jackpot were only 1 in 80 million. It sold about $117,448,757 worth of tickets on August 22nd, 2001 the drawing before August 25th and still had no winners.

                    On April 16th, 2002 The Big Game reached $331 million when the odds of winning the jackpot were only 1 in 76 million. On April 12th, the previous drawing, The Big Game had sold tickets worth $120,257,595 and still had no winners. The odds of winning the jackpot were 1 in 76 million.

                    On May 5th, 2000 The Big Game sold tickets worth $122,470,608 and still had no winners; the jackpot rolled to $366 million. The odds were 1 in 76 million.


                    I'm not saying that Powerball will break a record this jackpot run but I'm also not ruling out the possibility. Anything is possible.

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                      BILOXI, MISSISSIPPI
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                      Posted: September 25, 2005, 10:17 pm - IP Logged

                      what about the 25 million limit  people talk about  i think i still will sell well over 50 m

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                        Morrison, IL
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                        Posted: September 25, 2005, 11:44 pm - IP Logged
                        If the jackpot rolls four more times, the cap should not be much of a problem (i think).  I think this is what the roll's will look like IF it rolls 4 more times.


                        Sep 28th   $148 million
                        Oct 1st     $180 million
                        Oct 5th     $230 million
                        Oct 8th     $310 million
                        Oct 12th   $410 million

                        The "cap" rule states that once the jackpot reaches a new high (around $400 million on Oct 12th) the next rollover will be capped at $25 million.

                        Ofcourse this is only possible if the jackpot rolls 4 more times.




                          Oh, I get it.  They don't slow the growth of the record until it actually breaks the record, so if it's at $315 million, it can freely increase to over $400 million.

                          However, for it to get to $400 million, if the rolls are like the last MM run that made it to $250 million, I would say it would need five more rolls.

                          Sept 28 - $148 M

                         Oct 1 - $171 M

                         Oct 5 - $200 M

                         Oct 8 - $250 M (the last MM jackpot hit)

                         Oct 12 - $315 M (lottoreport.com predicted?)

                         Oct 15 - $400 M?

                          On the other hand, the PB annuity jackpot is inflated, so the annuity jackpot rolls should be slightly larger than the above assuming the CVO rolls at the same rate as the last MM run.