|Posted: October 17, 2005, 9:10 pm - IP Logged|
Here are a few of the roadblocks I ran into...
#1 raw data. I have kept a running list of numbers for each given matrix, both sort and draw order. I have pored over each for endless hours just trying to find a "rule of thumb" or regular pattern... nada
#2 Mechanical Bias. They post the machine# and Ballset # for each draw, BUT they use an active pool of four machines and ballsets, mixed up out of a total of well over 20 machines and ballsets... this is for both PB red ball and the white balls (40+ units). Seekers of mechanical bias will find no joy as this info is handed out later than results.
#3 test draw data. at least 3 pre draw tests and two post draw tests accompany each drawing... data is slow to come from MUSL, far too late to be of value, since it isn't always 3 pre and 2 post.
#4 Day-Of-Week Bias... Iactually kept 3 entirely separate workbooks (Total/wednesday/saturday) and nothing special emerged.
#5 stats and filters... each workbook was HUGE. Stats included MEAN, AVERAGE, MIN, MAX, RANGE (simple MAX-MIN), MEDIAN, FORECAST, all of the "special" MEANs like geometric and hyperbolic... Filters included Hi/Low,Decades,Odd/Even,Skip/Hit and a few oddballs like X,Y coordinates of points on the bet slips and Delta charts. nothing was able to bring in anything even close to a pattern or rule.
#6 RNG synch theory, before Guru's bait/switch to a product. Did that in VB for mostly pick 3 games... no dice, failed backtesting after a really long backtest algorithm development cycle.
#7 Charting and the "Bell Curve". Got that from KBCherokee, only system to show any promise at all... I was just not as good at interpreting results and trends. even that fell to the backtest daemon. too many times the picks came outside the projected bounds.
#8 Neural Net... Feed Forward w/ back propagation... I barely understood it, too dumb to make it useful and that's when they announced the matrix change and I planned on adopting V-Dude's system of 1 QP, I like to power it up with the extra buck for the multiplier since I only buy one.
I am not saying the limits have been reached and the chase is pointless, I am just able to admit that I cannot make any progress. I DID try, to no avail... now I would need some new inspiration different from the above (I even tried mixing/matching different approaches... the "unified pick" attempt was to garner just one final pick from the outputs of all of the above... never figured the coding out and doing it by hand was probably laden with errors.
I just don't have gambling luck, a requirement for any system success. I believe I used up all of my "luck" finding my mrs. ;-)
Playing more than one ticket per game is betting against yourself.