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The HAT Method 5/25 Evening

Topic closed. 23 replies. Last post 11 years ago by CalifDude.

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Poway CA (San Diego County)
United States
Member #3489
January 25, 2004
14120 Posts
Offline
Posted: May 25, 2006, 1:48 pm - IP Logged

I started a thread with the subject: How About This?
Here is the link:

http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/135114

So, just for fun, I would like to see how well it does.  I will call this the HAT method (for How About This).  The object is to play 9 digits and cover all the straights for those 9.  It turns out that is 729 combinations.  You play them all straight or all box, it makes no difference.  If the digit that is left out does NOT hit, you win $225.  Betting 25 cents, the wager would be $182.25 for a profit of $42.75.

Of course you will lose every time the digit you picked to leave out comes in!! 

So, here is what I see for this evening.  I will show the number I am picking to leave out.

Arizona (9)
.
California (6)
.
Connecticut (1)
.
Delaware (3)
.
Florida (9)
.
Georgia (0)
.
Idaho (9)
.
Illinois/Iowa (4)
.
Indiana (5)
.
Kansas (6)
.
Kentucky (7)
.
Louisiana (4)
.
Maine (Tri-State) (2)
.
Maryland (6)
.
Michigan (5)
.
Minnesota (8)
.
Missouri (7)
.
Nebraska (6)
.
New Jersey (6)
.
New Mexico (3)
.
New York (8)
.
Ohio (8)
.
Oklahoma (6)
.
Ontario (9)
.
Pennsylvania (9)
.
Quebec (6)
.
South Carolina (7)
.
Tennessee (4)
.
Texas (5)
.
Virginia (0)
.
Washington (3)
.
Washington, D.C. (5)
.
Western Canada (1)

.
West Virginia (2)
.
Wisconsin (4)

    itscarie's avatar - bubblnk
    Salem, AR
    United States
    Member #2528
    October 15, 2003
    175 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: May 25, 2006, 2:09 pm - IP Logged

    CD, what are you basing the number left out on?

      Avatar
      Poway CA (San Diego County)
      United States
      Member #3489
      January 25, 2004
      14120 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: May 25, 2006, 2:13 pm - IP Logged

      CD, what are you basing the number left out on?

      Least drawn in last 50 draws for that drawing, in this case Evening.

       

        itscarie's avatar - bubblnk
        Salem, AR
        United States
        Member #2528
        October 15, 2003
        175 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: May 25, 2006, 2:14 pm - IP Logged

        Cool, takes money to make money... lets see what happens!  Thumbs Up

          Avatar
          Poway CA (San Diego County)
          United States
          Member #3489
          January 25, 2004
          14120 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: May 25, 2006, 2:25 pm - IP Logged

          Cool, takes money to make money... lets see what happens!  Thumbs Up

          I think that is true. With this method you should win 90% of the time since you are playing 90% of the digits.
          With an 85% win rate you would, after playing 100 draws, make a profit of $900. But at 80% you lose money.

            Avatar
            Poway CA (San Diego County)
            United States
            Member #3489
            January 25, 2004
            14120 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: May 25, 2006, 10:01 pm - IP Logged

            Results so far:
            .
            Arizona (9)
            .
            California (6) 628 -$182.25
            .
            Connecticut (1)
            .
            Delaware (3) 080 +$42.75
            .
            Florida (9) 244 +$42.75
            .
            Georgia (0) 330 -$182.25
            .
            Idaho (9)
            .
            Illinois/Iowa (4)
            .
            Indiana (5)
            .
            Kansas (6)
            .
            Kentucky (7)
            .
            Louisiana (4)
            .
            Maine (Tri-State) (2) 567 +$42.75
            .
            Maryland (6) 914 +$42.75
            .
            Michigan (5) 979 +$42.75
            .
            Minnesota (8) 644 +$42.75
            .
            Missouri (7) 440 +$42.75
            .
            Nebraska (6)
            .
            New Jersey (6) 670 -$182.25
            .
            New Mexico (3)
            .
            New York (8) 456 +$42.75
            .
            Ohio (8) 176 +$42.75
            .
            Oklahoma (6)
            .
            Ontario (9) 040 +$42.75
            .
            Pennsylvania (9) 477 +$42.75
            .
            Quebec (6)
            .
            South Carolina (7) 530 +$42.75
            .
            Tennessee (4) 896 +$42.75
            .
            Texas (5)
            .
            Virginia (0)
            .
            Washington (3)
            .
            Washington, D.C. (5) 551 -$182.25
            .
            Western Canada (1) 089 +$42.75
            .
            West Virginia (2) 328 -$182.25
            .
            Wisconsin (4) 031 +$42.75

             

              Fibonacci's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg
              New York, NY
              United States
              Member #39471
              May 16, 2006
              2698 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: May 25, 2006, 10:31 pm - IP Logged

              Calif what if there was  way to reduce the betting list from 600 or 700 to less than 250? I have been doping that for some time now....

              1One way to do this (not what i use btw):

              1. Get the last 30 pairs...in the last 10- 20 drawings 

              2. Run down these pairs...IOW ..a pair 45 will produce 10 numbers

              450, 451, 452, 453, 454, 455, 456, 457, 458, 459...

              You only have 340 numbers now...less if you have many duplicate pairs...

              Guaranteed that in more than 80 % of the times your number will be on this list

              I have found a way to increase the guarantee to 98% with more advanced sampling techniques... It is tedious without a prog that can automate the task...

              From now on I will only post the pairs...and people can figure out what comes next...

              I will post the pairs as  ab(X) where ab is the pair and X=>digits (0--9)

              $$$

                Avatar
                Poway CA (San Diego County)
                United States
                Member #3489
                January 25, 2004
                14120 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: May 25, 2006, 11:43 pm - IP Logged

                Results so far:
                .
                Arizona (9)
                .
                California (6) 628 -$182.25
                .
                Connecticut (1) 468 +$42.75
                .
                Delaware (3) 080 +$42.75
                .
                Florida (9) 244 +$42.75
                .
                Georgia (0) 330 -$182.25
                .
                Idaho (9) 860 +$42.75
                .
                Illinois/Iowa (4) 708 +$42.75
                .
                Indiana (5)
                .
                Kansas (6) 126 -$182.25
                .
                Kentucky (7) 487 -$182.25
                .
                Louisiana (4) 061 +$42.75
                .
                Maine (Tri-State) (2) 567 +$42.75
                .
                Maryland (6) 914 +$42.75
                .
                Michigan (5) 979 +$42.75
                .
                Minnesota (8) 644 +$42.75
                .
                Missouri (7) 440 +$42.75
                .
                Nebraska (6) 555 +42.75
                .
                New Jersey (6) 670 -$182.25
                .
                New Mexico (3)
                .
                New York (8) 456 +$42.75
                .
                Ohio (8) 176 +$42.75
                .
                Oklahoma (6) 424 +$42.75
                .
                Ontario (9) 040 +$42.75
                .
                Pennsylvania (9) 477 +$42.75
                .
                Quebec (6) 429 +$42.75
                .
                South Carolina (7) 530 +$42.75
                .
                Tennessee (4) 896 +$42.75
                .
                Texas (5) 464 +$42.75
                .
                Virginia (0) 392 +$42.75
                .
                Washington (3) 660 +$42.75
                .
                Washington, D.C. (5) 551 -$182.25
                .
                Western Canada (1) 089 +$42.75
                .
                West Virginia (2) 328 -$182.25
                .
                Wisconsin (4) 031 +$42.75

                  Avatar
                  Poway CA (San Diego County)
                  United States
                  Member #3489
                  January 25, 2004
                  14120 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: May 25, 2006, 11:45 pm - IP Logged

                  Calif what if there was  way to reduce the betting list from 600 or 700 to less than 250? I have been doping that for some time now....

                  1One way to do this (not what i use btw):

                  1. Get the last 30 pairs...in the last 10- 20 drawings 

                  2. Run down these pairs...IOW ..a pair 45 will produce 10 numbers

                  450, 451, 452, 453, 454, 455, 456, 457, 458, 459...

                  You only have 340 numbers now...less if you have many duplicate pairs...

                  Guaranteed that in more than 80 % of the times your number will be on this list

                  I have found a way to increase the guarantee to 98% with more advanced sampling techniques... It is tedious without a prog that can automate the task...

                  From now on I will only post the pairs...and people can figure out what comes next...

                  I will post the pairs as  ab(X) where ab is the pair and X=>digits (0--9)

                  I have a list of 220 numbers that will produce a hit 100% of the time.

                   

                    Avatar
                    Poway CA (San Diego County)
                    United States
                    Member #3489
                    January 25, 2004
                    14120 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: May 26, 2006, 1:10 am - IP Logged

                    Results so far (AZ will report later):
                    .
                    Arizona (9)
                    .
                    California (6) 628 -$182.25
                    .
                    Connecticut (1) 468 +$42.75
                    .
                    Delaware (3) 080 +$42.75
                    .
                    Florida (9) 244 +$42.75
                    .
                    Georgia (0) 330 -$182.25
                    .
                    Idaho (9) 860 +$42.75
                    .
                    Illinois/Iowa (4) 708 +$42.75
                    .
                    Indiana (5) 949 +$42.75
                    .
                    Kansas (6) 126 -$182.25
                    .
                    Kentucky (7) 487 -$182.25
                    .
                    Louisiana (4) 061 +$42.75
                    .
                    Maine (Tri-State) (2) 567 +$42.75
                    .
                    Maryland (6) 914 +$42.75
                    .
                    Michigan (5) 979 +$42.75
                    .
                    Minnesota (8) 644 +$42.75
                    .
                    Missouri (7) 440 +$42.75
                    .
                    Nebraska (6) 555 +42.75
                    .
                    New Jersey (6) 670 -$182.25
                    .
                    New Mexico (3) 236 -$182.25 
                    .
                    New York (8) 456 +$42.75
                    .
                    Ohio (8) 176 +$42.75
                    .
                    Oklahoma (6) 424 +$42.75
                    .
                    Ontario (9) 040 +$42.75
                    .
                    Pennsylvania (9) 477 +$42.75
                    .
                    Quebec (6) 429 +$42.75
                    .
                    South Carolina (7) 530 +$42.75
                    .
                    Tennessee (4) 896 +$42.75
                    .
                    Texas (5) 464 +$42.75
                    .
                    Virginia (0) 392 +$42.75
                    .
                    Washington (3) 660 +$42.75
                    .
                    Washington, D.C. (5) 551 -$182.25
                    .
                    Western Canada (1) 089 +$42.75
                    .
                    West Virginia (2) 328 -$182.25
                    .
                    Wisconsin (4) 031 +$42.75

                      SirMetro's avatar - center
                      East of Atlanta
                      United States
                      Member #6191
                      August 11, 2004
                      1389 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: May 26, 2006, 8:40 am - IP Logged

                      At an net cost of $6,378.75 for 35 states (assuming base cost per state is $182.25), 8 of those 35 states did not hit.

                      The break-even point is 6 states not hitting. Anymore then 6 states and there is a negative value (7 states results in a $78.75 loss).

                      Interesting, but very costly gamble.

                      Sir Metro

                        Avatar
                        Poway CA (San Diego County)
                        United States
                        Member #3489
                        January 25, 2004
                        14120 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: May 26, 2006, 9:19 am - IP Logged

                        Final Results

                        Arizona (9) 672 +$42.75
                        .
                        California (6) 628 -$182.25
                        .
                        Connecticut (1) 468 +$42.75
                        .
                        Delaware (3) 080 +$42.75
                        .
                        Florida (9) 244 +$42.75
                        .
                        Georgia (0) 330 -$182.25
                        .
                        Idaho (9) 860 +$42.75
                        .
                        Illinois/Iowa (4) 708 +$42.75
                        .
                        Indiana (5) 949 +$42.75
                        .
                        Kansas (6) 126 -$182.25
                        .
                        Kentucky (7) 487 -$182.25
                        .
                        Louisiana (4) 061 +$42.75
                        .
                        Maine (Tri-State) (2) 567 +$42.75
                        .
                        Maryland (6) 914 +$42.75
                        .
                        Michigan (5) 979 +$42.75
                        .
                        Minnesota (8) 644 +$42.75
                        .
                        Missouri (7) 440 +$42.75
                        .
                        Nebraska (6) 555 +42.75
                        .
                        New Jersey (6) 670 -$182.25
                        .
                        New Mexico (3) 236 -$182.25 
                        .
                        New York (8) 456 +$42.75
                        .
                        Ohio (8) 176 +$42.75
                        .
                        Oklahoma (6) 424 +$42.75
                        .
                        Ontario (9) 040 +$42.75
                        .
                        Pennsylvania (9) 477 +$42.75
                        .
                        Quebec (6) 429 +$42.75
                        .
                        South Carolina (7) 530 +$42.75
                        .
                        Tennessee (4) 896 +$42.75
                        .
                        Texas (5) 464 +$42.75
                        .
                        Virginia (0) 392 +$42.75
                        .
                        Washington (3) 660 +$42.75
                        .
                        Washington, D.C. (5) 551 -$182.25
                        .
                        Western Canada (1) 089 +$42.75
                        .
                        West Virginia (2) 328 -$182.25
                        .
                        Wisconsin (4) 031 +$42.75

                          Avatar
                          Poway CA (San Diego County)
                          United States
                          Member #3489
                          January 25, 2004
                          14120 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: May 26, 2006, 9:21 am - IP Logged

                          At an net cost of $6,378.75 for 35 states (assuming base cost per state is $182.25), 8 of those 35 states did not hit.

                          The break-even point is 6 states not hitting. Anymore then 6 states and there is a negative value (7 states results in a $78.75 loss).

                          Interesting, but very costly gamble.

                          Sir Metro

                          Where did I say to bet all states???????  Heavens, nobody could do that.  Online I am restricted to $750 per week to bet.  Please re-read my posts and you will find that I am talking about ONE state.

                          I can't believe that you even thought I was talking about betting ALL states.

                           

                            Avatar
                            Dallas, Texas
                            United States
                            Member #7470
                            October 4, 2004
                            3760 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: May 26, 2006, 9:50 am - IP Logged

                            lol now thats funny

                              Avatar
                              Poway CA (San Diego County)
                              United States
                              Member #3489
                              January 25, 2004
                              14120 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: May 26, 2006, 10:15 am - IP Logged

                              lol now thats funny

                              I thought so!!

                              Everyone that can afford to bet over $6,000 a day on the Pick 3, raise your hand ...... hmmmmmm no hands raised!