The thread where are they now?--past members
in lottery discussions
well some of the comments in it, made me think of this.
I've read quite a few if (no one could read them all) of the posts about various means of number selection.
I've been tracking a few that I've seen here, and my findings are different than what some people here claim, but I'll qualify that by saying I track what I'm going to play. For me it's Illinois Evening Pick 3 and Little Lotto.
I also throw a buck at Lotto and Mega Millions and occassionally Pick 4, but I consider lotto and Mega to be nothing more than blind luck, so that's how I approach them.
For the Pick 3 though, and the Little Lotto ( 5/39, and the usual winner is a QP anyway), I've tracked some things I've seen here, night by night, drawing by drawing, and well, in the time I've been doing that, I've seen some really inflated "results claims."
One system I'm tracking calls for a doulbe to be repeated by a double. It hasn't happened often enough to mention, let alone make it a play.
Another one, for Pick 5, has never picked more than 2 of the 5 numbers ($1) payout.
That's just two of the five or six I'm tracking but they all have about the same results.
This is just observation, not intended as debate.
The reaons I go the paper and pencil, drawing by drawing, route is because, likeI said, I'm only tracking the games I'm going to play, and also, I think when people backtest, the temptation is just too great to backtest until you can show some kind of results for your theory, no matter how far back you have to go.
That would result in skewed data either way.
Aother thing I've observed is there are a lot of 'heavy players' here. Personally, I'm not going to 'fall in love' with a set or sets of numbers, wheel them, and play online in multiple states.
There have been a few threads I've seen that were quire lenghty and were actually saying something like:
Play everything but 271, 273, 555, and 614, in every Pick 3 state but Oklahoma tonight. (Granted an exxageration - but not by much!)
Like I said, these are just observations, but for all the talent here, I'd really like to see someone or a few people at least working on something for 'narrower' play, let's say (one state, one or two drawings if they have mid-day).
Just my $.02
Maybe I should have put this in Lottery Discusssions, maybe not.