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# Half-life of Reoccurrence

Topic closed. 2 replies. Last post 10 years ago by JADELottery.

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The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
Offline
 Posted: November 9, 2006, 1:31 pm - IP Logged

Half-life of Reoccurrence

Reference - Potential Reoccurrence Probability

Half-life of Reoccurrence -  xl = -m ln(1 / 2)

m - average rate of reoccurrence

xl - half-life of reoccurrence

The half-life of reoccurrence is used to describe the decay of reoccurrence through the draw cycle. When used in a ratio with the draw difference, Dd, it can quickly show in general where in the potential reoccurrence probability the draw difference is. Example, using the number 49 in Wisconsin Megabucks 6/49, the last occurrence was at draw 1479 based on 1500 draws. How many half-lives has the draw difference gone through since the number 49's last selection?

h = Dd / xl = Dd / (-m ln(1 / 2))

h = (1500 - 1479) / ((-8.17) ln(1/2))

h » 3.71  half-lives

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Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
Offline
 Posted: December 2, 2006, 8:18 am - IP Logged

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
Any gain or loss is your responsibility.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
Offline
 Posted: December 2, 2006, 8:46 am - IP Logged

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
Any gain or loss is your responsibility.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

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