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Half-life of Reoccurrence

Topic closed. 2 replies. Last post 10 years ago by JADELottery.

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The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
Offline
Posted: November 9, 2006, 1:31 pm - IP Logged

Half-life of Reoccurrence

    Reference - Potential Reoccurrence Probability

    Half-life of Reoccurrence -  xl = -m ln(1 / 2)

      m - average rate of reoccurrence

      xl - half-life of reoccurrence

The half-life of reoccurrence is used to describe the decay of reoccurrence through the draw cycle. When used in a ratio with the draw difference, Dd, it can quickly show in general where in the potential reoccurrence probability the draw difference is. Example, using the number 49 in Wisconsin Megabucks 6/49, the last occurrence was at draw 1479 based on 1500 draws. How many half-lives has the draw difference gone through since the number 49's last selection?

    h = Dd / xl = Dd / (-m ln(1 / 2))

    h = (1500 - 1479) / ((-8.17) ln(1/2))

    h » 3.71  half-lives

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Use at your own risk.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

    JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
    The Quantum Master
    West Concord, MN
    United States
    Member #21
    December 7, 2001
    3675 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: December 2, 2006, 8:18 am - IP Logged

    6/49 Lottey

    Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
    Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
    Use at your own risk.

    Order is a Subset of Chaos
    Knowledge is Beyond Belief
    Wisdom is Not Censored
    Douglas Paul Smallish
    Jehocifer

      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
      The Quantum Master
      West Concord, MN
      United States
      Member #21
      December 7, 2001
      3675 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: December 2, 2006, 8:46 am - IP Logged

      6/49 Lottery

      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
      Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
      Use at your own risk.

      Order is a Subset of Chaos
      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
      Wisdom is Not Censored
      Douglas Paul Smallish
      Jehocifer