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How high will MM go this run?

Topic closed. 38 replies. Last post 10 years ago by JAG331.

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How high will MM go this run before getting hit?

55 Million [ 6 ]  [12.77%]
75 Million [ 6 ]  [12.77%]
100 Million [ 4 ]  [8.51%]
150 Million [ 8 ]  [17.02%]
200 Million [ 3 ]  [6.38%]
250 Million [ 3 ]  [6.38%]
300 Million [ 3 ]  [6.38%]
It will hit a new record!!! [ 14 ]  [29.79%]
Total Valid Votes [ 47 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 1 ]  
twisted's avatar - underground
New Jersey
United States
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September 25, 2003
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Posted: January 25, 2007, 10:07 am - IP Logged

I have this feeling that MM will break $250 million this run.  I'm gonna try my best to make sure it doesn't get there.

How high do you guys think it will go?

    Guru101's avatar - rw6jhh
    Indiana
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    January 7, 2007
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    Posted: January 25, 2007, 10:28 am - IP Logged

    I'm gonna have to say 150.

      Avatar

      United States
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      Posted: January 25, 2007, 1:24 pm - IP Logged

      This my opionion, I say 55 mil,  it stays below a 100mil for a few sessions  then it goes up to over 100 mil.

        dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

        United States
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        September 17, 2003
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        Posted: January 25, 2007, 11:08 pm - IP Logged

        Under 150 for sure. You will die of old age before MM gets big again or the lotteries fix it. Seems like they are busy trying to pawn off the lottery to third parties rather than give players what they want or what generates sales.

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          NY
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          October 16, 2005
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          Posted: January 27, 2007, 2:14 am - IP Logged

          Under 150 for sure. You will die of old age before MM gets big again or the lotteries fix it. Seems like they are busy trying to pawn off the lottery to third parties rather than give players what they want or what generates sales.

          Cash Only, dvdiva. dvdiva, Cash Only. 

          There's absolutely nothing wrong with the way MM works, and probability says that it could be hit for 53 on Tuesday or it could roll to a billion or more. Both are long shots, but there is no "for sure".

            wreakshavok777's avatar - enzyte thumb.jpg
            oklahoma
            United States
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            March 10, 2005
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            Posted: January 27, 2007, 11:16 pm - IP Logged

            It will be lucky to make it to 100 million before being hit!!!!

             Winner Winner Chicken Dinner!!

              sirbrad's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
              PA
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              October 6, 2005
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              Posted: January 28, 2007, 1:17 am - IP Logged

              I didn't see this post, but I actually predicted to a friend that it would be won again the following draw, and sure enough it was. I have seen that happen multiple times before after record jackpots. I think some people just keep playing and don't know it was won already.

                we;reallwinners's avatar - praying hands.jpg

                United States
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                Posted: January 28, 2007, 8:21 am - IP Logged

                No idea how large it's going to get, but I think the next Winner is going to be in Virginia, Illinois or Mass......just because I don't think they've had a Winner yet in those States

                Hiding Behind Computerbe vewyvewy quiet, WewHuntingNumbers

                  twisted's avatar - underground
                  New Jersey
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                  Posted: January 28, 2007, 10:17 am - IP Logged

                  I didn't see this post, but I actually predicted to a friend that it would be won again the following draw, and sure enough it was. I have seen that happen multiple times before after record jackpots. I think some people just keep playing and don't know it was won already.

                  I think you are talking about Powerball.  This poll is for Mega Millions.

                    fja's avatar - gnome1

                    United States
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                    Posted: January 28, 2007, 10:32 am - IP Logged

                    I didn't see this post, but I actually predicted to a friend that it would be won again the following draw, and sure enough it was. I have seen that happen multiple times before after record jackpots. I think some people just keep playing and don't know it was won already.

                    Twisted is right this poll is for MM....

                    But I think an answer to your theory is that there are probably alot of multi draw tickets purchased during big jackpots, as well as a lot of pools started...If you look at the number of small prize winners that Raven62 puts up on Md's challenges you see that there were about 1.8 million winners winning anywhere from $3 to $21 on the PB 254 million jackpot draw.....Its only natural that most would roll over there wins to the next draw instead of cashing in....thus producing quite a few extra million combinations.......

                    It would be interesting to see what the winners have selected on a back to back win....

                    "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                      TheGameGrl's avatar - character catafly.jpg
                      A long and winding road
                      United States
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                      Posted: January 28, 2007, 11:24 pm - IP Logged

                      To play it safe, I figured the 70mill mark.

                      All I can say otherwise is bring the Big winner from the Little ole state of Maryland! I could handle a chunk of change with tax season creeping up!

                      ~~Is it true, Is it kind,Is it necessary. ~~~

                      pa:888,4445,6132,4444,8008

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                        Morrison, IL
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                        Posted: January 29, 2007, 9:17 pm - IP Logged

                        I have a feeling this run will make it over $200 million.

                          sirbrad's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
                          PA
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                          Posted: January 30, 2007, 4:25 pm - IP Logged

                          OK in that case, $150 million

                            dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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                            Posted: January 30, 2007, 4:38 pm - IP Logged

                            Cash Only, dvdiva. dvdiva, Cash Only. 

                            There's absolutely nothing wrong with the way MM works, and probability says that it could be hit for 53 on Tuesday or it could roll to a billion or more. Both are long shots, but there is no "for sure".

                            If there's nothing wrong why are lotteries like the MA lottery finally starting to realize that low jackpots equal low sales?

                            It's only a matter of time before a change happens to this lame game. When I'm finally right about this run, the next run and several other runs are you going to say I was right? Good luck waiting for that billion dollar run. Maybe if they switch to pesos it will be possible.

                            As for cash prizes who wouldn't prefer a cash prize except those unable to manage money for themselves. I think Euromillions is the best example of a lottery right now. Tax-free cash and two jackpots over $200 million in cash. I don't see Mega ever coming close to that in the current game form with a $1 ticket price. 

                              Avatar
                              NY
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                              October 16, 2005
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                              Posted: January 30, 2007, 11:38 pm - IP Logged

                              If there's nothing wrong why are lotteries like the MA lottery finally starting to realize that low jackpots equal low sales?

                              It's only a matter of time before a change happens to this lame game. When I'm finally right about this run, the next run and several other runs are you going to say I was right? Good luck waiting for that billion dollar run. Maybe if they switch to pesos it will be possible.

                              As for cash prizes who wouldn't prefer a cash prize except those unable to manage money for themselves. I think Euromillions is the best example of a lottery right now. Tax-free cash and two jackpots over $200 million in cash. I don't see Mega ever coming close to that in the current game form with a $1 ticket price. 

                              If low jackpots mean low sales how can the lotteries afford to give away $7 million as a starting prize? Most states noticed a long time ago that they can make billions of dollars on typical sales. Smaller jackpots mean big sales that are just smaller than the sales for big jackpots. If Massachusetts is only figuring that out now they're a decade behind the times.

                              The size of the jackpots always has been  and always will be a function of how much  money goes to the jackpot from each ticket and the odds of the game. There's no question that doubling the cost of a ticket would double the average jackpot, but players would have to spend twice as much money for the same chance at it. The only difference between doubling the cost of tickets and doubling the odds against winning are that with a $2 ticket nobody will have the option of only playing $1. What may not be any different is how many tickets would be sold is either change was made. There's no doubt that a lot of people who regularly play $1 per draw would still buy one $2 ticket for every draw, but a lot of the people who spend more money would spend the same amount and buy fewer tickets. Increasing the jackpots by increasing the cost of tickets or increasing the odds against winning won't guarantee that the amount won will change at all. That still depends on how many tickets are sold. The smart states know that raising the odds or the ticket cost will reduce the number of tickets they sell. That's exactly what the  recent rafffles have been about. Offer good odds for a modest jackpot and settle for selling a modest number of tickets. 

                              In the last 12 months MM has paid out jackpots of 122, 163, 94, 267 and 265 million, plus several  more modest jackpots. Basically, somebody won about 100 million or more every 10 weeks. There's no rational basis for thinking there's something wrong with a game that offers results like that.

                              It would certainly be nice if prizes in the US were tax-free, but don't hold your breath.  Eliminating  federal taxes would probably be a windfall for the states because the effective jackpots would be bigger which might bst sales. Any state that eliminates state taxes on lottery prizes might come out ahead by selling more tickets and collecting 50% instead of just 3 to 8% of the prizes. Unfortunately, the federal government wouldn't see that sort of benefit from eliminating taxes, so I don't think it's very likely to happen.