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Record Jackpots excluding current Mega

Topic closed. 19 replies. Last post 10 years ago by Just6ntlc.

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NY
United States
Member #23835
October 16, 2005
3474 Posts
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Posted: March 3, 2007, 2:12 am - IP Logged


Besides all the bad stuff for which he's become infamous, Jack also did a lot of good, including sharing a big chunk of his winnings. Whether it's an official pool or not, I expect that almost all jackpots of this size get split up a bit. What the entity that wins chooses to do with the money doesn't really count for much when we're looking at jackpot records.  Most of the big jackpots have been claimed on a single ticket, and even if it rolls another time or two that's the probable outcome* for MM's current run. If I've got the winning numbers there's a very good chance the money will be split only amongst people I know. That's really what we're most interested in when we look at past jackpots, isn't it?

 

* Actually, if it rolls two more times the probable outcome may be a bit up in the air.  One more roll should take it well past 400, so a second would put it solidly into the half billion + arena, and I don't really have a clue what that might do to ticket sales. It's entirely possible that it could push sales to the point where 2 winners is the most likely outcome, but the jackpot they'd share could be better than 350 cash.

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    New Jersey
    United States
    Member #21206
    September 4, 2005
    949 Posts
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    Posted: March 3, 2007, 9:52 pm - IP Logged

    It happens rarely with very large jackpots that the probability for a rollover falls below 50%.  We may see such a jackpot now, if more than 122M tickets are sold - and I think that this will be the case.

    However the single most probable number of winners if there is a winner will still be one.

    Here is the probability distribution for numbers of winners if sales were one quarter of a billion dollars:

     

    024.10%
    134.30%
    224.40%
    311.57%
    44.12%
    51.17%
    60.28%
    70.06%
    80.01%

     

     

    Note that there will still be a fair probability of a rollover even at this level, although its pretty much 3 to 1 that there will be at least one winner.  If there were a winner though, the most likely number of winners would be one.

    This gives an idea of the scale of the odds against players.  On the other hand everyone who is living faced far longer odds against being conceived and yet, here they are. 

      dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

      United States
      Member #2338
      September 17, 2003
      2063 Posts
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      Posted: March 11, 2007, 12:02 am - IP Logged
      Rank: Cash:
      Annuity:
      Date:
      Winning ticket purchased in:
      # winners:
      Sales:
      Game:
      1.
      233 M
      390 M
      March 6, 07
      GA, NJ
      2213 M
      Megamillions
      2.233 M (182 €)N/A
      Nov 17, 06
      None (20)
      0 (20)
      342 M (181 £)
      Euromillions
      3.
      222 M (184 €)
      N/A
      Feb 3, 06
      FR (2), PT
      3
      341 M (192 £)
      Euromillions
      4.186 M
      315 M
      Nov 15, 05
      CA
      1
      105 M
      Megamillions
      5.180 M
      363 M
      May 9, 00
      IL, MI
      2196 M
      The Big Game
      6.178 M
      365 M
      Feb 18, 06
      NE
      1
      161 M
      Powerball
      7.
      177 M
      331 M
      April 16, 02
      GA, IL, NJ
      3
      169 M
      The Big Game
      8.
      171 M
      315 M
      Dec 25, 02
      WV
      1
      163 M
      Powerball
      9.
      169 M
      294 M
      July 2, 04
      MA
      1
      133 M
      Megamillions
      10.
      166 M
      295 M
      Aug 25, 01
      DE, KY, NH, MN
      4204 M
      Powerball
      11.
      164 M
      340 M
      Oct 19, 05
      OR
      1166 M
      Powerball
      12.
      162 M
      296 M
      July 29, 98
      IN
      1
      211 M
      Powerball
      13.159 M
      267 M
      Feb 28, 06
      OH
      1
      96 M
      Megamillions
      14.156 M
      258 M
      Sept 16, 05
      NJ
      190 M
      Megamillions
      15.148 M
      265 M
      April 18, 06
      OH
      171 M
      Megamillions
        dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

        United States
        Member #2338
        September 17, 2003
        2063 Posts
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        Posted: March 11, 2007, 12:16 am - IP Logged

        Looks like I won't have to do this list in a while.

        Sales and jackpots for US games are from www .lottoreport. com and www.usamega.com

        Sales for Euromillions is from lottery. merseyworld. com which oddly does not list the jackpot amount only the total prize pool.

        Jackpot information for Euromillions is from www.euromillions.be and  www.national-lottery.co.uk

        All exchanges were done using historical currency exchange rates from www. oanda. com

        Decided to include sales info from now on. Euromillions really would have to add a bonus to the starting jackpot instead of a same-drawing rolldown to beat Megamillions. Considering the large amount of sales they could afford to do it. For tickets sold remember it's 1.50 £  per ticket.

        for some reason eliminate a space for some websites if you want to checkout the sources yourself.


          United States
          Member #16612
          June 2, 2005
          3493 Posts
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          Posted: March 11, 2007, 8:39 pm - IP Logged

          I hope PB ties or sets a new US jackpot record in their current run.