|Posted: March 12, 2007, 7:38 am - IP Logged|
When ever i get a system i back check to see how long it goes before it fails.(99%)Most systems fail in 2 to 3 weeks of back checking.
Now if i were to find a system that would makes a profit week after week let's say for 4-5 weeks would you consider that system be for real or would i have to back check further?how many weeks or months?
Since i never have had a real system work long enough i need a gauge of back testing weeks to know if i am going in the right direction ?
What was the longest time someone had a system work before it failed?
I have gone 3 weeks(paper+pencil) than i lost more times than i won(84#boxed ea draw) on the 4th week.Trying for straight numbers is a losing game.
Rather than setting a certain number of weeks back, you may perhaps consider a different approach to backtesting.
What I do is check back 1 month, and if that looks acceptable, I go back random numbers of months...for instance I may just pick a month from last year, or two (not necessarily consecutive months) and the same for the previous year as well. This seems to give a better gauge than just the games "current" state, which can be deceiving.
Also, understand that there are things that make the game "change", but that also means it can "change back" ---- IOW, any system can have a "cold month" where you don't like the results. But if overall, you test for several random, none-consecutive months, and the overall results are satisfactory to you, then it would perhaps be worth pursuing in reality.
Part of the most difficult part of any system, IMHO, seems to be knowing when to stop playing your chosen combinations, and "gear up" again with the system. Depending upon your system, you have to look for telltale signs that your combinations are not going to hit within a few days, based upon what is drawn. For instance (just one instance) if your system includes 239, and they draw any form of 739, I have observed that since one of the digits drawn was a mirror of the combo I was chasing, it is probably a good idea to stop playing those combos and do your workout again, based upon the 739, because the 239 is not likely to be drawn within a few days, and the system is only going to be "close" but no cigar.
You know that any system is not always going to produce a hit within a reasonable time. So knowing when to stop chasing a losing cause can help a great deal in stopping wasted wagers.
How can you tell if a politician is lying?
Answer: His lips are moving.