|Posted: March 29, 2007, 9:56 pm - IP Logged|
Hitting the pick4 lately has been tough lately. Always getting close by missing it by 1 number really hurts sometimes... and when doubles come out, I just get my pile of tickets and just toss em in disgust.
I've seen so many systems out there from Vtrac to Cornering to PI to Skipping #'s and going up and down. So many of us have bought systems online to buying software that locates trends and patterns. Like a signature I read before that reads "To win a small fortune, you need to start with a large one" ... oh so true.
Is the lottery just that ...random ?? Is there truly a way to accurately pick the right numbers more often than not on any given day? ... or are we just making our state richer everyday thanks to our daily/weekly contributions. When does a hobby turn into a passion..or even an addiction?
Don't get me wrong... I like to play myself and I enjoy the thrill of seeing if I will have that lucky # ... but wins are very infrequent.
What are your thoughts ?
There is a statistic that 70% of Power Ball wagers are quick picks, but I haven't seen Pick-3 and Pick-4 quick pick statistics. I started playing the Pick-3 in 1979 and have never bought a quick pick or talked to anybody that consistently buys quick picks. The only reason I would buy a quick pick is for the action, a chance to win knowing that any 3-digit number may be drawn. People play birthdates, anniversaries, phone numbers, license plate numbers, etc. because those numbers mean something to them but the odds those numbers being drawn are exactly the same as quick picks.
Before the state lotteries there was the illegal numbers game and several methods were used to determine the winning number. You could play the same number with two different bookies and find out there was two different winning numbers. The game was popular because people could win $50 or $60 wagering a dime and profitable for the bookies because those added up. The game is profitable because odds of picking the number is 1000-1 but odds of the wager is 500-1 so the bookies or the state hope to keep about a 50% of total wagers. Profit percentage varies because more money is wagered on certain numbers unless the state uses pari-mutual payoffs.
When state lotteries began their Pick-3s, they had live drawings using the bingo/keno style balls and machines and most still do. The basic idea is to put 10 number balls 0-9 into a machine mixing them and using air to force 1 ball into a tube. Do that with 3 sets of numbered balls and you produce a random 3 digit number. Methods like changing machines, sets of balls, and pre-draw tests are used and some people believe that affects the overall statistics but the only important statistic is the results that pay off.
We can use the past series of random draws and look for patterns but the next series of draws are going to be random too. There are statistical facts because half the numbers are odd or even and half are high or low. We can compare the random series to the actual percentages of 1000 combinations like 27% have matching digits. Sums, roots, sum roots, and widths can be used to eliminate digits. Using vtracs, cornering, pi, up and down, and skipping is logical too because the next series of draws will be random.
Is there truly a way to accurately pick the right numbers more often than not on any given day? ...
I can give you at least 1000 different ways of predicting the next draw and know one way will be correct but spending over $1000 to win $500 isn't profitable. There probably are systems that will so a small long term profit.
When does a hobby turn into a passion..or even an addiction?When you can’t remember the last time you cashed a winning ticket.