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Are you ADDICTED to Statistics?

Topic closed. 16 replies. Last post 9 years ago by scorpio.

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If you play using previous outcomes, do you depend on them too much?

Yes [ 15 ]  [44.12%]
No [ 13 ]  [38.24%]
I play random numbers. [ 6 ]  [17.65%]
Total Valid Votes [ 34 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 1 ]  
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United States
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October 22, 2005
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Posted: July 6, 2007, 11:45 am - IP Logged

Are you ADDICTED to Statistics?

Because of comments like this one: 

"

Here's a little coincidence for you-

 The most recent draws of these 2 games had the same mega ball / power ball number - 35

How did you do on the draw ?

"

I was wondering if anyone feels they are too dependent on stats or silly coincidences like this

    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
    mid-Ohio
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    Posted: July 6, 2007, 1:15 pm - IP Logged

    I responded to that thread, http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/158650
    and showed that had only happened three times this year which meant that it was an insignificant occurrence as far as picking PB numbers. 

    I look at statistics of past drawings and only pay attention to them if they reveal significant trends.  I think if I found certain conditions or trends that showed up or existed a good percent of the time, it would be foolish to ignore them. 

    Even lotteries check their own statistics to make sure their drawings remain truly random with no significant trends.  If one ever gets pass them, I would like to know about it and take advantage of it.

     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
       
                 Evil Looking       

      emilyg's avatar - cat anm.gif

      United States
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      Posted: July 6, 2007, 1:22 pm - IP Logged

      Not at all.

      love to nibble those micey feet.

       

                                   

        fja's avatar - gnome1

        United States
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        January 19, 2002
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        Posted: July 6, 2007, 1:38 pm - IP Logged

        No, like RJOH, I do not get hung up on low percentage occurances, but like him I do tend to check under every rock for an edge.....same MB & PB does happen on occasion.  So does same bonus ball as white ball, same bonus ball in last 2 draws, or all even or all odd white balls. 

        If I am playing more than a $5 ticket and I dont have a number to play, I'm liable to toss a $1 to cover that occurence,,,,(knowing full well that by me playing it, its just not going to happen).

        "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

          jarasan's avatar - new patrick.gif
          Harbinger
          D.C./MD.
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          Posted: July 6, 2007, 3:33 pm - IP Logged

          Kinda, somewhat, but I would have to say no, I look at the past drawings, but I don't get over analytical if that is what you imply by statistics,  I go with more intuition on what I perceive to be occuring in the given game (you know, what feels good or seems right, to me). 

          I think if you try and go totally by statiscal number crunching your head may explode. Mine has exploded on several occasions and it is hard to put it back together again.

           LOL jarasan

            Coin Toss's avatar - shape barbed.jpg
            Zeta Reticuli Star System
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            Posted: July 6, 2007, 5:14 pm - IP Logged

            Statistics can be good to know, but you can take statistics and use them to say what you want them to say.

            If you get too hung up on statistics, you start believing a number or several numbers are "due".  This can be disastrous thinking in games like cards, dice, or roulette, let alone lottery.

            Statistically, people who play by statistics lose just as much as everybody else.

            Wink

            Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any.

            Lep

            There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.

              lotterybraker's avatar - pyramid
              mississippi
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              Posted: July 17, 2007, 8:44 pm - IP Logged

              I voted yes..everything I find is in the numbers and comes directly from the numbers...Time Travel Baby..."The Key to the Future is Through the Past"

              "Attention all Mathematicians: Check your degree at the door because when it comes to whole numbers you are the Amateur"

                guesser's avatar - Lottery-017.jpg

                United States
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                June 16, 2006
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                Posted: July 18, 2007, 10:28 am - IP Logged

                I don't use statistics to pick actual 'numbers', but I have tons of them that sway what 'type' of Powerball game I will play for each drawing, and about half of what I use is pretty solid, the other half is so-so, or should I say, WAS so-so.  I changed some theories I had about 3 drawings ago, and now I'm doing MUCH better.

                  guesser's avatar - Lottery-017.jpg

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                  Posted: July 18, 2007, 10:33 am - IP Logged

                  Statistics can be good to know, but you can take statistics and use them to say what you want them to say.

                  If you get too hung up on statistics, you start believing a number or several numbers are "due".  This can be disastrous thinking in games like cards, dice, or roulette, let alone lottery.

                  Statistically, people who play by statistics lose just as much as everybody else.

                  Wink

                  I tend to agree with you, BUT, I seem to be pretty good at seeing what TYPES of numbers are 'due', as opposed to what actual numbers themselves are 'due'.  I look at some criteria, and whatever number happens to be sitting in the criteria my stats tell me to look at, I play.

                  This way, I cannot 'fall in love' with a particular number: I play what fits, no matter what it is, like it or not.

                  One bad thing about statistics: you can have one statistic that tells you to play a certain 'number', and you may have another statistic that tells you to avoid that number no matter what, now what do you do ? 

                    time*treat's avatar - radar

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                    Posted: July 18, 2007, 1:56 pm - IP Logged

                    I use a lot of stats, but they are more like attractors than selectors.

                    If the stats say something happens often, it becomes an attractor.

                    If the stats say something happens seldom, it becomes a filter. 

                    That way you're not fixated on some favorite number.

                    In neo-conned Amerika, bank robs you.
                    Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms should be the name of a convenience store, not a govnoment agency.

                      guesser's avatar - Lottery-017.jpg

                      United States
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                      Posted: July 18, 2007, 10:21 pm - IP Logged

                      I use a lot of stats, but they are more like attractors than selectors.

                      If the stats say something happens often, it becomes an attractor.

                      If the stats say something happens seldom, it becomes a filter. 

                      That way you're not fixated on some favorite number.

                      You got it.

                      I also look to them... not to tell me something is 'due' necessarily (number-wise), but to tell me 'this hasn't happened in awhile, so think about it'.  I know that LOOKS like the same thing, but it's not.

                      WB 18 isn't 'due', but we are 'due' for a number that has not hit in 20+ games, which leaves 52-40-50-12-33-18 to choose from. I have two of those in play for tonight in a few of games. 

                      Now that I have jinxed myself and everyone else playing those... 


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                        Posted: July 19, 2007, 12:31 pm - IP Logged

                        Editgap, my vote is yes. I'm addicted to statistics in Powerball and Mega Millions to determine what numbers should I choose in the next challenge presented by MADDOG10.


                          United States
                          Member #9579
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                          Posted: July 31, 2007, 9:07 pm - IP Logged

                          are you saying the random number generator is like the one in a casino slot machine,then one could perhaps see the same numbers drawn the draw before,if done truly random?


                            United States
                            Member #16612
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                            Posted: August 2, 2007, 2:17 pm - IP Logged

                            I'm addicted to statistics. If White Ball 6 and Mega Number 6 occur in California Super Lotto Plus, I must take the statistics of the Mega Millions game that California was in plus the California Super Lotto Plus statistics. My game will also be over!

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                              Coastal Georgia
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                              October 30, 2003
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                              Posted: August 2, 2007, 6:12 pm - IP Logged

                              I am not addicted to stats.

                              I do not believe any number is "due".