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Del Mar -8/19- Pacific Classic

Topic closed. 3 replies. Last post 9 years ago by Britney.

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Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
FEMA Region V Camp #21
United States
Member #520
July 27, 2002
5699 Posts
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Posted: August 19, 2007, 10:09 am - IP Logged

(Forgive me if this is a repeat post...having trouble posting message.) 

 

Odds analysis for Del Mar 8/19 8th Race (Pacific Classic Stakes)

Top five contenders by computer odds listed in post position order:

 

Prog. # Name

Computer Odds

Speed Odds

Morning Line

# 1 Lava Man

4/1

7/1

5/2

# 4 Awesome Gem

10/1

8/1

15/1

# 6 Porfido

10/1

15/1

30/1

# 9 Tiago

6/1

7/1

12/1

# 11 A. P. Xcellent

8/1

8/1

8/1

Red highlighted odds are underlays to Morning Line.
 

Bets:

$ 3 Win # 9 Tiago

$ 2 Win # 4 Awesome Gem

$ 2 Win # 6 Porfido

-----------------

$ 7 Total Bet 

Lava Man will probably win but will be overbet considerably. No value.

 

Good luck!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


    Britney's avatar - melissa sool.png
    California
    United States
    Member #4471
    April 27, 2004
    1574 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: August 19, 2007, 10:48 am - IP Logged

    Here is the way my boyfriend Jack is playing it:

    #10 Big Booster  $20 win $40 place $60 show

    #13 Hello Sunday same bets

    Brit

      Rick G's avatar - avatar 1766.jpg
      FEMA Region V Camp #21
      United States
      Member #520
      July 27, 2002
      5699 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: August 19, 2007, 12:43 pm - IP Logged

      I should clarify that my "bets" are betting units.  I'm not betting on the race; these are hypothetical bets based on a $2 minimum wager for the sole purpose of determining profit/loss ratio using a standard scale.  For example if I was betting $100 on the race, the bets would be $44-$28-$28.

      Posted 4/6:  IL Pick 3 midday and evening until they hit:  555, 347 (str8).


        Britney's avatar - melissa sool.png
        California
        United States
        Member #4471
        April 27, 2004
        1574 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: August 19, 2007, 8:13 pm - IP Logged

        Here is the way my boyfriend Jack is playing it:

        #10 Big Booster  $20 win $40 place $60 show

        #13 Hello Sunday same bets

        Brit

        Results:

         

        1st 5-Student Council$48.80$31.80$20.60
        2nd 4-Awesome Gem-$12.40$8.20
        3rd 13-Hello Sunday (Fr)--$9.40

         

        The $9.40 show payoff paid Jack $282 for a total bet of $240.  Not great, but still a little profit.

        Brit