Welcome Guest
Log In | Register )
You last visited April 28, 2017, 11:47 am
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)

When will mega hit this time?

Topic closed. 15 replies. Last post 9 years ago by ThatScaryChick.

Page 1 of 2
PrintE-mailLink

How big do you think the mega millions pot size will grow to before it hits?

It will hit at the next drawing [ 8 ]  [21.05%]
110 Million [ 4 ]  [10.53%]
145 Million [ 2 ]  [5.26%]
175 Million [ 5 ]  [13.16%]
200 Million [ 6 ]  [15.79%]
240 Million [ 3 ]  [7.89%]
300 Million [ 3 ]  [7.89%]
350 Million [ 0 ]  [0.00%]
380 Million [ 1 ]  [2.63%]
400 Million a new record for the holidays! [ 6 ]  [15.79%]
Total Valid Votes [ 38 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 1 ]  
MissNYC's avatar - diva
Thread Starter
Westchester, New York
United States
Member #49345
January 27, 2007
168 Posts
Offline
Posted: December 4, 2007, 2:29 pm - IP Logged

The mega millions and powerball pots have not grown too large since August. I know for many of you, 50 million is exciting, but to me, buying a 300 million dollar ticket takes the cake for dreaming. It's just more exciting, although I'd be happy with 3 million. Anyhow, since the pots really do not grow that large too often, I just wanted to get everyone's take on when they think it will hit this time around.

"If you just keep believing, that dream that you wish will come true"

Bed

 

    chasingadream's avatar - Archangel 01.jpg

    United States
    Member #38687
    May 3, 2006
    315 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: December 4, 2007, 7:08 pm - IP Logged

    i dont think it will get over 200 mill. ....and as far as the 400 mill....i don't think it will get that high until MM does another matrix change. I actually don't think it will get over 200 mill again for another year. I think MM will probably be hit in January.

    If they continue to follow the same pattern of changing the matrix every three years I think that the next matrix change should be next year. .......can you imagine lookin up at the billboard as your driving home from workEek and it read 400 mill. Thats gonna be amazing.

    Oogle  waiting patiently for my jackpot

      Guru101's avatar - rw6jhh
      Indiana
      United States
      Member #48725
      January 7, 2007
      1958 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: December 4, 2007, 8:54 pm - IP Logged

      i dont think it will get over 200 mill. ....and as far as the 400 mill....i don't think it will get that high until MM does another matrix change. I actually don't think it will get over 200 mill again for another year. I think MM will probably be hit in January.

      If they continue to follow the same pattern of changing the matrix every three years I think that the next matrix change should be next year. .......can you imagine lookin up at the billboard as your driving home from workEek and it read 400 mill. Thats gonna be amazing.

      Hmmmmmmmm, let me see. I'm using my psychic powers. My powers are telling me it will be hit next draw.

      Gonna win.Big Smile

        Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
        Chief Bottle Washer
        New Jersey
        United States
        Member #1
        May 31, 2000
        23597 Posts
        Online
        Posted: December 5, 2007, 12:27 am - IP Logged

        <Moved to Jackpot Games forum>

        Please post in the appropriate forum ... thank you.

          chasingadream's avatar - Archangel 01.jpg

          United States
          Member #38687
          May 3, 2006
          315 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: December 5, 2007, 1:59 am - IP Logged

          lmao!!!LOL

          Oogle  waiting patiently for my jackpot

            Avatar
            NY
            United States
            Member #23835
            October 16, 2005
            3544 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: December 5, 2007, 2:20 am - IP Logged

            "i dont think it will get over 200 mill. ....and as far as the 400 mill....i don't think it will get that high until MM does another matrix change. I actually don't think it will get over 200 mill again for another year. I think MM will probably be hit in January."

            If MM doesn't get hit until January, it will probably be well over 300 million (annuity, of course) by then. Nothing else is especially big right now, so if it grows at a rate similar to what gave us the $390 million record, it could break 400 by the first drawing in January. Probability says we get at least a few more rolls, but whatever happens, happens.
             

              Avatar
              New Jersey
              United States
              Member #21206
              September 4, 2005
              950 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: December 6, 2007, 11:13 pm - IP Logged

              "i dont think it will get over 200 mill. ....and as far as the 400 mill....i don't think it will get that high until MM does another matrix change. I actually don't think it will get over 200 mill again for another year. I think MM will probably be hit in January."

              If MM doesn't get hit until January, it will probably be well over 300 million (annuity, of course) by then. Nothing else is especially big right now, so if it grows at a rate similar to what gave us the $390 million record, it could break 400 by the first drawing in January. Probability says we get at least a few more rolls, but whatever happens, happens.
               

              I used to offer poisson type calculations here based on historical sales data.   I still maintain the spreadsheets but now keep them for private interest.

              From these sheets and the models I have generated, I would estimate that we now, being at a ninth roll, have about an even chance of reaching a twelfth roll.

              Since the last matrix change, MM has rolled to a 17th draw only once.   I estimate that there is a 7% chance of that happening.    The probability of reaching an 18th draw, I'd estimate at being between 3% and 4%.   The probability of their being a 19th draw, less than 2%

              It's still unlikely.

                Avatar
                NY
                United States
                Member #23835
                October 16, 2005
                3544 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: December 12, 2007, 3:52 am - IP Logged

                It's still unlikely, but a Holiday record is now a lot more likely than it was. For the record jackpot last March MM went from 130 to 390 in 5 rolls. It's taken 11 rolls to reach 137 instead of 10 to reach 130, and lower interest rates mean the annuity values are smaller, but another 5 rolls could bring it to the very high 300's for the January 1st drawing. Tickets as Christmas presents could be just what it takes to reach a new record.

                  Avatar
                  Morrison, IL
                  United States
                  Member #4657
                  May 13, 2004
                  1884 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: December 15, 2007, 11:43 am - IP Logged

                  Just two more rolls to over $200 million, four more to over $300 million, and (probably) six more to a record!!

                    On a side note, amazingly, there were 25 match 5+0 winners in last night's (12/14) draw, meaning we were lucky there was a rollover!!

                    ThatScaryChick's avatar - x1MqPuM
                    Idaho
                    United States
                    Member #56506
                    November 21, 2007
                    6537 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: December 15, 2007, 2:06 pm - IP Logged

                    I don't think it will make it to $300 million. I think it will roll one or two more times and then get hit.

                      nanolike's avatar - pink2
                      WorldWide
                      United States
                      Member #55215
                      September 18, 2007
                      76 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: December 16, 2007, 5:22 am - IP Logged

                      It will hit in the next drawing and I will win it all!Smash

                      It's a NanoLike World!

                        JackpotWanna's avatar - squiz

                        United States
                        Member #4121
                        March 23, 2004
                        817 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: December 16, 2007, 2:58 pm - IP Logged

                        I vote $400 million and $220 million cash!!!  Go baby!!!

                          Avatar
                          NY
                          United States
                          Member #23835
                          October 16, 2005
                          3544 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: December 17, 2007, 3:09 am - IP Logged

                          Just two more rolls to over $200 million, four more to over $300 million, and (probably) six more to a record!!

                            On a side note, amazingly, there were 25 match 5+0 winners in last night's (12/14) draw, meaning we were lucky there was a rollover!!

                          Even if none of those 25 had the same mega ball, the other 21 mega balls that weren't played with those 5 numbers means there was at least a 45% chance of a rollover.

                            RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                            mid-Ohio
                            United States
                            Member #9
                            March 24, 2001
                            20021 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: December 19, 2007, 1:58 am - IP Logged

                            I was right, MegaMillions was hit tonight.

                             * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                               
                                         Evil Looking       

                              nanolike's avatar - pink2
                              WorldWide
                              United States
                              Member #55215
                              September 18, 2007
                              76 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: December 19, 2007, 5:04 am - IP Logged

                              I was right, MegaMillions was hit tonight.

                              It was me and I won it all! ClowningWhite Bounce

                              It's a NanoLike World!