|Posted: February 18, 2009, 9:51 am - IP Logged|
Ok it's simpler than the academic sounding title suggests.
Problem: How do the fine brains on Lotterypost do on a typical lottery day? What percentage of the draws for a typical day do LP players actually successfully predict? Where do the largest number of hits (wins/successful predictions)?
Limitations: Confined ti P3 and P4. My typical day may not be typical at all. I simply chose a regular weekday.
Method: Compare all predictions on LP for a typical day to the results for that day.
Date used: Feb 17, 2009.
Abbreviations used: LP=Lottery Post; LPs=LP members posting predictions; mid=midday; eve=evening
LPs posted 772 different straight numbers in the p3 in a total of 1985 predictions. There are 59 draws (both mid and eve). These draws are as posted on Betslips/LP.
Lps successfully predicted 50 of 59 draws! That's 84% (rounded off conservatively). Impressive? The numbers that were not predicted by Lps are: 041-288-288 (lol--a number not predicted by LPs hit twice)--522-618--804--839--851--941. I'll call these House Numbers.
Question (to be tested today and the next few days): Do these house numbers have significance? We'll see today.
Question: Out of which tier do most predictions come? Many members post multiple predictions of the same number when they feel confident aboput the number and many membersw make the same predictions.
My analysis showed that the greatest hits actually came from single predictions overall and double predictions. By that I mean the the m ost hits actually came where only one person predicted one number (I'll call this T1, or two numbers or where two persons predicted two different numbers call this T2).
T1=313 numbers scored 22 hits
T2=216 different numbers (432 total) scored 15 hits
Can this research help us in any way?
Some additional questions:
Will the publication and dissemination of this info affect LPs predicting behavior?
What if this info can be used to create a system ?
Does this kind of research and findings raise ethical issues?