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What ever happened to Maga Ball 01?

Topic closed. 26 replies. Last post 7 years ago by bashley572.

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ayenowitall's avatar - rod serling4.jpg

United States
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April 22, 2004
1075 Posts
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Posted: February 15, 2010, 5:11 am - IP Logged

It's happened often enough in the last 247 drawings of each game to make it worth considering:
 
MM 12/01/09 - 17 30 39 52 53    +21
PB 11/28/09 - 26 27 28 46 50    +21

PB 09/26/09 - 18 20 34 36 39    +19
MM 09/25/09 - 07 27 42 49 52    +19

MM 06/26/09 - 11 15 17 29 46    +16
PB 06/24/09 - 16 18 24 51 53    +16

PB 03/28/09 - 02 03 16 41 48    +19
MM 03/27/09 - 10 15 24 38 50    +19

MM 01/27/09 - 03 11 12 14 21    +25
PB 01/24/09 - 06 20 25 37 42    +25

MM 11/11/08 - 05 27 38 42 55    +41
PB 11/08/08 - 02 04 21 36 40    +41

PB 09/13/08 - 07 17 29 43 51    +38
MM 09/12/08 - 01 12 14 25 35    +38

PB 05/07/08 - 09 25 26 28 43    +26
MM 05/06/08 - 04 21 46 53 54    +26

MM 01/29/08 - 08 23 39 40 42    +24
PB 01/26/08 - 11 35 39 53 54    +24

MM 01/22/08 - 12 15 22 25 33    +02
PB 01/19/08 - 20 23 25 27 28    +02

PB 11/07/07 - 22 29 35 46 52    +02
MM 11/06/07 - 03 17 43 46 47    +02

There's no magic or advantage to it. The Power Ball number  or Mega Ball number each has about a 2.2% chance of being the same as the immediately preceding number in the other drawing. That makes the likelihood that either will happen about 4.4%. So, in those 247 drawings, we could expect to see it happen eleven (10.868) times. That's exactly what's shown by the history you cited.

    joshuacloak's avatar - Money Swim-uncle-scrooge-mcduck-35997717-677-518.jpg

    United States
    Member #32537
    February 12, 2006
    698 Posts
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    Posted: February 15, 2010, 6:21 am - IP Logged

    i think he has clearly escaped the  ball cage,and  is rolling around the world free at lest

    on a vacation, watching the draws  even

    all the while laughing at hes brothers and sisters traped for life in the drawings

     

    or he could just be having a major case of Shyness now,

    ever sense he broke up with #2 and had a gaint fight in front all of other balls

    its just Awkward being around them anymore!


    or has our #1 ball has been in ever drawing, like a great con artist 

    he been in disguises as the other Balls!

    he loves doing it so much he forgotten to show up as him self in draws!

     

    joking aside, am sure #1 will show up this year maybe LOL

     


      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
      mid-Ohio
      United States
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      March 24, 2001
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      Posted: February 15, 2010, 12:46 pm - IP Logged

      There's no magic or advantage to it. The Power Ball number  or Mega Ball number each has about a 2.2% chance of being the same as the immediately preceding number in the other drawing. That makes the likelihood that either will happen about 4.4%. So, in those 247 drawings, we could expect to see it happen eleven (10.868) times. That's exactly what's shown by the history you cited.

      Since MegaMillions changed its matrix 485 drawings ago, megaball 01 has come up 8 times or 1.6% of the time and now you say it has a 4.4% chance of following Saturday's powerball 01 on Tuesday. Your calculations seem to confirm what I've suspected all along and tomorrow's drawing may prove it. Wink

       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
         
                   Evil Looking       

        ayenowitall's avatar - rod serling4.jpg

        United States
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        April 22, 2004
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        Posted: February 15, 2010, 7:02 pm - IP Logged

        Since MegaMillions changed its matrix 485 drawings ago, megaball 01 has come up 8 times or 1.6% of the time and now you say it has a 4.4% chance of following Saturday's powerball 01 on Tuesday. Your calculations seem to confirm what I've suspected all along and tomorrow's drawing may prove it. Wink

        No, you sorely misapprehend what I said. Mega Ball 01 has about a 2.2% chance of following Saturday's PowerBall 01. The 4.4% is the chance of either the Mega Ball matching the prededing PowerBall,  or the PowerBall matching the prececeding Mega Ball in presumably successive sets of drawings. There's a huge difference between that and what you took my post to mean. Even the Mega Ball 01's appearance 1.6% of the time is something quite different from the 2.2% of the time that it can be expected to follow Power Ball 01. The math behind that is very simple; anyone with even a basic understanding of probability should be able to figure it out.

        If you're assuming that Mega Ball 01's eight appearances in 485 drawings is an under-representation that is due to be corrected in the next draw or so, please see my initial post in this thread about the gambler's fallacy relating to the Law of Large Numbers. In any case, Mega Ball 01's chances of being drawn are the same as they've always been in the current matrix. And the chances of it following PowerBall 01  tomorrow night are no better than its chances in any other drawing following the appearance of PowerBall 01.

          RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
          mid-Ohio
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          March 24, 2001
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          Posted: February 17, 2010, 12:48 pm - IP Logged

          Since MegaMillions changed its matrix 485 drawings ago, megaball 01 has come up 8 times or 1.6% of the time and now you say it has a 4.4% chance of following Saturday's powerball 01 on Tuesday. Your calculations seem to confirm what I've suspected all along and tomorrow's drawing may prove it. Wink

          Tuesday's MM drawing didn't support my suspicions or new strategy so it's back to my old strategy.Wink

           * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
             
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            fja's avatar - gnome1

            United States
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            January 19, 2002
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            Posted: February 18, 2010, 5:33 pm - IP Logged

            Came close...5 was the second longest MB out wasn't it?

            "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

              RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
              mid-Ohio
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              March 24, 2001
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              Posted: February 19, 2010, 1:27 am - IP Logged

              Came close...5 was the second longest MB out wasn't it?

              True, maybe 01 will get its turn next time.

               * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                 
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                RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                mid-Ohio
                United States
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                Posted: February 27, 2010, 2:49 pm - IP Logged

                It has now been 251 drawings since megaball 01 has been drawn.  Since every megaballs except 42 during that period have been drawn 3+ times, this would seem to validate the theory that the most active numbers are more likely to be in the next drawing.

                 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                   
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                  ncpowerplayer's avatar - Lottery-017.jpg
                  Burlington, NC
                  United States
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                  August 27, 2007
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                  Posted: February 27, 2010, 8:56 pm - IP Logged

                  It flew out of the ball machine a few months ago and is stuck in the ceiling.


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                    Posted: February 28, 2010, 11:20 am - IP Logged

                    simple,we all play it,and they will not let it hit,too many 3 dollar wins.

                      benmas's avatar - waveform
                      Rhode Island
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                      October 28, 2007
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                      Posted: March 1, 2010, 8:20 pm - IP Logged

                      i like #2...why do people think a # will come out cause its "due"..there is no such thing...its better to go with the trends..play the hot ones...there is a reason they are hot (and that is they are coming out more often)...yet we like the ones that have been out 250 draws...go figure

                        bashley572's avatar - starwars14
                        West Side of Sunny Florida
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                        September 8, 2007
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                        Posted: March 11, 2010, 4:55 am - IP Logged

                        And of course Power Ball 1 shows.....AGAIN gotta laugh!!

                        Money won is twice as good as money earned!