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Pick 3 Straight

Topic closed. 19 replies. Last post 6 years ago by Jordans121.

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ZEN's avatar - DiscoBallGlowing
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS
United States
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June 1, 2006
180 Posts
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Posted: January 24, 2011, 5:41 pm - IP Logged

I think it should be noted that "low middle" and "high Middle" consists of 4 unique numbers which is why the percentage is higher. I have this up loaded in my spreadsheet. Each number (single) would have %16.4 chance of falling.

Jordan121,

what do you mean by unique? Can you explain with an ex# please?

Thanks,

ZEN

    garyo1954's avatar - garyo
    Dallas, Texas
    United States
    Member #4549
    May 2, 2004
    1665 Posts
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    Posted: January 24, 2011, 7:08 pm - IP Logged

    I think it should be noted that "low middle" and "high Middle" consists of 4 unique numbers which is why the percentage is higher. I have this up loaded in my spreadsheet. Each number (single) would have %16.4 chance of falling.

    Okay, there are 6 total combinations for any three unque numbers. 

    Let's see if I got this:

    6,9,3 ---> 16% high

    6,9,3 ---> 16% high

    9,3,6 ---> 16% low

    6,3,9 ---> 16% low

    3,6,9 ---> 16% mid

    9,6,3 ---> 16% mid

    Hmmm.... this is interesting. You've given me something to think about. 

    We lave two combinations with a high second number. Two combinations at 33%

    We have two combinations with a low second number. Two combinations at 33%

    We have two combinations with a mid second number. Two combinations at 33%

    Let's see what happens with those categories.

    (Need to act like I am doing important stuff to impress the boss now, but I'll add another column to the 345 page Excel sheet and post some results.)

    Big Smile

      Jordans121's avatar - nw bookeep.jpg

      United States
      Member #69169
      January 5, 2009
      2122 Posts
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      Posted: January 25, 2011, 12:49 am - IP Logged

      Okay, there are 6 total combinations for any three unque numbers. 

      Let's see if I got this:

      6,9,3 ---> 16% high

      6,9,3 ---> 16% high

      9,3,6 ---> 16% low

      6,3,9 ---> 16% low

      3,6,9 ---> 16% mid

      9,6,3 ---> 16% mid

      Hmmm.... this is interesting. You've given me something to think about. 

      We lave two combinations with a high second number. Two combinations at 33%

      We have two combinations with a low second number. Two combinations at 33%

      We have two combinations with a mid second number. Two combinations at 33%

      Let's see what happens with those categories.

      (Need to act like I am doing important stuff to impress the boss now, but I'll add another column to the 345 page Excel sheet and post some results.)

      Big Smile

      Okay, there are 6 total combinations for any three unque numbers. 

      Let's see if I got this:

      6,9,3 ---> 16% high

      6,9,3 ---> 16% high --->3,9,6

      9,3,6 ---> 16% low

      6,3,9 ---> 16% low

      3,6,9 ---> 16% mid

      9,6,3 ---> 16% mid

      Hmmm.... this is interesting. You've given me something to think about. 

      We lave two combinations with a high second number. Two combinations at 33%

      We have two combinations with a low second number. Two combinations at 33%

      We have two combinations with a mid second number. Two combinations at 33%

      Let's see what happens with those categories.

      (Need to act like I am doing important stuff to impress the boss now, but I'll add another column to the 345 page Excel sheet and post some results.)

      Big Smile

      "Many Strategies|One Game"

        garyo1954's avatar - garyo
        Dallas, Texas
        United States
        Member #4549
        May 2, 2004
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        Posted: January 25, 2011, 3:23 pm - IP Logged

        WOW! Not so hard compiling the data as much as it is sifting through it. And then you get sidetracked by the oddities.  Like this:

        In 5400 Drawings of the Texas Evening Pick3, the digits 2,7,9 occur 41 times.

        Yellow highlights the draw number. I stopped highlighting at 913 but the draw number continues with 926, 1079, 1192, etc.

        Each color represents a number in a certain order. This is color is for 9,2,7. We can see that it hit in drawing 122.

        297 hit in drawing 314. Again in 534, etc. 972 hit at 394 the first time. 792's first hit was at 603.


        5400 Drawings,122,9,2,7,0,0,0,0,1,0
        5400 Drawings,314,2,9,7,0,1,0,0,1,0
        5400 Drawings,394,9,7,2,0,1,0,0,1,1
        5400 Drawings,411,9,7,2,0,1,0,0,1,2
        5400 Drawings,534,2,9,7,0,2,0,0,1,2
        5400 Drawings,603,7,9,2,0,2,0,1,1,2
        5400 Drawings,913,2,7,9,1,2,0,1,1,2
        5400 Drawings,926,2,7,9,2,2,0,1,1,2
        5400 Drawings,1079,7,2,9,2,2,1,1,1,2
        5400 Drawings,1192,7,9,2,2,2,1,2,1,2
        More drawings

        Omitted more stuff

        Just shortening the table

        Don't need any of this stuff here either

        Here's more data:

        5400 Drawings,1237,7,9,2,2,2,1,3,1,2
        5400 Drawings,4486,2,9,7,6,5,9,6,1,11
        5400 Drawings,4520,7,9,2,6,5,9,7,1,11
        5400 Drawings,4954,7,2,9,6,5,10,7,1,11
        5400 Drawings,5248,7,9,2,6,5,10,8,1,11

        So the final totals show 972 (descending) has hit 11 times (about 25%) and 729 (low middle) hit 10 times (about 25%). Pretty impressive. But then that little 1 for 927 sneaks out!

        This is THE prehistoric straight of Texas! Hasn't been seen in the EVENING since draw 122, some 5288 draws ago!!  To put that in perspective the date was March 15th, 1994 the last time 927  hit.  The numbers 2, 7, 9 have hit together 40 times since in different orders. 

        And then there is the strange case of 5,4,3. In the Texas Evening draw, descending consecutive digits occur 49 times in 5400 draws.

        13 of those times (about 25%) the number was 5,4,3!!!

         

        And with those useless bits of info out of the way:

        I'm going to say there  appears to be NO advantage to playing ascending or descending, or high middle and low middle straights. Certainly on a case by case basis, and in certain time frames, it seems to be a smart play, but overall there appears to be no hard and fast rules to live by. . 

        Okay back to reality. Sulley's system looks more promising.

          Jordans121's avatar - nw bookeep.jpg

          United States
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          January 5, 2009
          2122 Posts
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          Posted: January 25, 2011, 3:37 pm - IP Logged

          "I'm going to say there  appears to be NO advantage to playing ascending or descending, or high middle and low middle straights".

           

          Which is precisely why I no longer bother with the pick 3. I strongly urge players to consider the Pick 4

          because that is where the profit is regardless of str8 or box because there is more doubles than singles and we all know what that means. DOUBLE THE PRIZE! Although, a str8 hit is not bad. Big Grin Santa 

          BTW, caught that 0099 str8 in South Carolina. Pick 4 is the easiest game to play if you have the

          right tools.

          "Many Strategies|One Game"