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Root Sum Levels

Topic closed. 35 replies. Last post 6 years ago by lakerben.

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Stone Mountain*Georgia
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November 2, 2002
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 Posted: May 11, 2011, 3:16 pm - IP Logged

Yep, as this post is right now, there is no linkage between what was, what is, and what will be.

This is just a statistical point of view and there is more than just the statistical analysis.

That's right Jade...... more than just statistical analysis. The search for data should not be confused with forecast either.

I do know this.... a subjective guess is .....or should be supported by available data...or at least attempted ......so it can be improved...... and that data has to come from somewhere. How do we know we are improving.

Forecast are intertwined with decision making......and forecast help us to make decisions about an uncertain future. In our game ....forecast generate cost to the decision maker player. Forecast errors are unavoidable in a random world.

Serious ....long term players grow and begin to look to build on the assumption that we must minimise expected cost associated to those errors.

We end up in the world of cost estimators....in a way and we attempt to collect these "minimizers" over time..... even if we don't realize it.    Minimizers of a sample equivalent of unobservable expected cost.

First things first...... how much we improve our forecast willfirst come in the form of ....how much we have improved our minimizers.

Data collection is intrinsic to decisions making and help us make decisions about an uncertain future event......but... how close I come in those forecast will first be seen in the form of my improved minimizers (cost/filters/etc).  Until that time ..... cost is my yard stick.  Statistically speaking. LOL

The only real failure .....is the failure to try.

Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much.

Odds never change .....but probability does.

Win d

New Mexico
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January 29, 2010
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 Posted: May 28, 2011, 11:10 pm - IP Logged

Nice work!  Are you going to program any more pick 3 programs?  How about a Pick 5 where a person can put in their parameters such as: 5/37 for the New Mexico Roadrunnercash Game?

The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
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 Posted: May 30, 2011, 10:18 am - IP Logged

Nice work!  Are you going to program any more pick 3 programs?  How about a Pick 5 where a person can put in their parameters such as: 5/37 for the New Mexico Roadrunnercash Game?

Actually, we are working on a Silverlight based set of programs that would include this and other types of calculations, distributions, and analyses for as many games as possible.

We've reseached other ways of programming from the standalone to webpage, from flash to silverlight.

Silverlight is the best choice becasue it integrates so well with Visual Studio and we can make the application an installable standalone with the flick of a switch; that way if you want to use the program and not be online, you can.

In addtion, Silverlight has an easy way of updating itself and the application automagically.

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
Any gain or loss is your responsibility.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
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December 7, 2001
3684 Posts
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 Posted: May 30, 2011, 12:45 pm - IP Logged

We came across an intersting pattern in our list.

We laid out the levels as they are shown for the reduced as shown above in just plain text below.

000
001
002 011
003 012 111
004 013 022 112
005 014 023 113 122
006 015 024 033 114 123 222
007 016 025 034 115 124 133 223
008 017 026 035 044 116 125 134 224 233
009 018 027 036 045 117 126 135 144 225 234 333
019 028 037 046 055 118 127 136 145 226 235 244 334
029 038 047 056 119 128 137 146 155 227 236 245 299 335 344 389 479 488 569 578 668 677
039 048 057 066 129 138 147 156 228 237 246 255 336 345 399 444 489 579 588 669 678 777
049 058 067 139 148 157 166 229 238 247 256 337 346 355 445 499 589 679 688 778
059 068 077 149 158 167 239 248 257 266 338 347 356 446 455 599 689 779 788
069 078 159 168 177 249 258 267 339 348 357 366 447 456 555 699 789 888
079 088 169 178 259 268 277 349 358 367 448 457 466 556 799 889
089 179 188 269 278 359 368 377 449 458 467 557 566 899
099 189 279 288 369 378 459 468 477 558 567 666 999
199 289 379 388 469 478 559 568 577 667

We found that the combos changed between each line by a factor of 1.

Example 019 in one line is off by 1 in the line above and below; you can see that for 019 there is 009, 018 above and 029, 119 below.

We used this to see if we could create something like a Pascal Triangle.

like

1
1 1
1 2 1
1 3 3 1
1 4 6 4 1

What we ended up with is shown below.

000
001
002     011
003 012           111
004 013 022                 112
005 014 023                 113 122
006 015 024 033             114 123 222
007 016 025 034             115 124 133       223
008 017 026 035 044         116 125 134  224             233
009 018 027 036 045         117 126 135 144   225       234     333
019 028 037     046 055     118 127 136 145   226       235 244          334
029     038   047   056     119 128 137 146 155 227     236 245   299   335   344 389 479 488 569 578      668 677
039          048   057   066    129 138 147 156     228 237 246 255     336 345 399 444 489       579      588 669 678 777
049               058   067         139 148 157 166 229 238 247 256     337 346 355 445 499 589         679  688       778
059                    068  077         149 158 167     239 248 257 266 338 347 356     446 455    599  689 779    788
069                         078             159 168 177     249 258 267 339 348 357 366 447 456   555   699 789 888
079                           088               169 178         259 268 277 349 358 367 448 457 466     556   799 889
089                                                 179 188         269 278 359 368 377 449 458 467     557 566   899
099                                                     189             279 288 369 378     459 468 477 558 567 666 999
199                                                                         289     379 388     469 478 559 568 577 667

Kind of looks like the Pyramids of Giza.

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
Any gain or loss is your responsibility.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

New Mexico
United States
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January 29, 2010
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 Posted: June 18, 2011, 5:50 pm - IP Logged

Awesome!  thanks for all your hard work!  I appreciate your sharing of your ideas and programs.  Good things happen to people who share their talents.  Thanks a million jade!

New Mexico
United States
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January 29, 2010
11163 Posts
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 Posted: June 18, 2011, 5:52 pm - IP Logged

Let me know when your programs are finished!

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