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Connecticut: 5/1 - 5/31/2011

Topic closed. 567 replies. Last post 6 years ago by JonnyBgood07.

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Pelzer, South Carolina
United States
Member #70469
February 3, 2009
90 Posts
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Posted: May 4, 2011, 10:09 pm - IP Logged

With my above post I tried to state that most people try to predict future events bases upon missing data.... the state lotto's play into most people's lack of statistical understanding by stating that the odds of winning are 1/1000 at pick 3.... this type of math is inaccurate because your chance of winning is not 1/1000... it is only 1/1000 if you play 1000 combination whereby you would only win 500 dollars.... most people fail to realize that to achieve a 95%+ degree of certainty for a straight played combination it can go past 4000 draws.

There is a great deal of math involved even in pick 3 and we have to move away from missing elements as a means of reaching the truth if not its just numbers that have no meaning ...

Best of luck to you in the future.

Howdy Crow,

Before I begin, I must warn you that my mind is lubricated by beer... Yet another tragic day at work I might add, but I digress. To win at the lottery, we all must shead our preconcived notions. I do agree that to achieve 95% certainty, a draw can and will go 4000+ in terms of a 6 way number. A few years back I remember a post that I read that stated that the magic number is "6". Six times overdue represented a 99.9% certainty of a hit. Of course the lottery ignores this mathmatical rule and I've personally observed as much as a 12 times overdue string, but I can explain this since it can be explained by "pre-draws" or the fact that it was an overachiever in previous drawings and must conform to standard deviation such as a rubber band must conform to the weight in which was exerted upon it. But anyway, I don't mean to dismiss your theory Crow! I only want to add that given the long term, predraws WILL quicken a digit, pair, or straight hit just as much as it will SLOW them since they are completely unseen and have an EQUAL chance of hitting. As I stated, poker players make positive expectation decisions based on seen data rather than expected/assumed data because it is so unpredictable and yet the good players show a profit. I myself am a profitable poker player and I approach the lottery in the same way. (or at least until the recent freeze on poker accounts... I stand to lose a bit of $$)

 

In the end, if you use Lotsoftpro software, take a look at the "Boxed Pairs" in CT... The odds for "most pairs," with the exception of doubles, is 1 in 18.51. You'll notice that the absolute highest is box pair 68 which shows a maximum skip of 216 which represents a 11.70 overdue setting. Now, without an indepth analysis, it does conform to the assumption that 10x's overdue is key.

 

As a side note, I have been betting quite a few of your picks in CT. Just remember, their are some of us gamblers out there that might sink more than they can afford based on someone that has performed well in the past. Just be careful and confident in your picks.

GoodLuck all! I bet all lows for tonight! Wish me luck!

 

 

P.S. If I were to buy a quick pick at a random state, with no notion, preconception, or knowledge of history my true odds are in fact 1 in 1000.

    Astekblue's avatar - Tarlor
    Kentucky
    United States
    Member #35086
    March 12, 2006
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    Posted: May 4, 2011, 11:23 pm - IP Logged

    Thanks M

     

    My Picks

    *763*.762.761


    653. 658. 663. 666 (Back up Box Plays)

     

     

    Good Luck to All!

    WTG   CTNY   

     

    You  were  all  over  it     !!!!!!!

     

     

     

    Astekblue

      Astekblue's avatar - Tarlor
      Kentucky
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      March 12, 2006
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      Posted: May 4, 2011, 11:25 pm - IP Logged

      07 18 29 30 14

      52 63 47 58 96 weekly pairs

      WTG     addai

       

      47

       

       

      07

       

       

      Fine     Job     !!!!!!!!

        CTNY's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
        New Haven, CT - Queens, NY
        United States
        Member #98740
        October 13, 2010
        5432 Posts
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        Posted: May 4, 2011, 11:27 pm - IP Logged

        Thanks M

         

        My Picks

        *763*.762.761


        653. 658. 663. 666 (Back up Box Plays)

         

         

        Good Luck to All!

        "477    ( this sort of validated the 763 or 65 pair for tonight)"

         

        607 Eve

        hits the 67 pair up top, I changed the 67 to 76 last minute

        gearing more towards the 7 in first. But the original pair was 67

         

         

        3875 Eve

        Check the P4 thread had 4875 close call!!

         

         

        Congrats to all winners

        The goal is to approach the Pick 3 & Pick 4 game sensibly and systematically!! Wink

         I'm not like the guy who predicted the end of the world and nothing happened.

          JonnyBgood07's avatar - Patriots logo1.jpg
          Connecticut
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          Member #61623
          May 29, 2008
          20581 Posts
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          Posted: May 5, 2011, 5:49 am - IP Logged

          WTG     addai

           

          47

           

           

          07

           

           

          Fine     Job     !!!!!!!!

          Great mid and eve calls addai!!!

           

          you'll get that P4 str8 soon enough!CTNY!

          "No matter how bad things may get, I'd like to thank my middle finger

          for always sticking up for me.."

           


            JonnyBgood07's avatar - Patriots logo1.jpg
            Connecticut
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            May 29, 2008
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            Posted: May 5, 2011, 5:50 am - IP Logged

            Even  though  my  workouts have went dead  in  Conn.........I  will try them one more time

             

             

            547 846 758 546 748 856 756 548 876 746

             

             

            668 

            667   

            665

            664

            663

             

            877

            577

            477

            677

            377

             

             

            Seeing     Possible     22       55        77

            dang astek had that mid puppy straight a few days back

            "No matter how bad things may get, I'd like to thank my middle finger

            for always sticking up for me.."

             


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              Pelzer, South Carolina
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              February 3, 2009
              90 Posts
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              Posted: May 5, 2011, 6:24 am - IP Logged

              Dang... Is it commonplace for the CT officials to remove the 2 balls from the machines? Missing for 29+ draws in every position!

                CTNY's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
                New Haven, CT - Queens, NY
                United States
                Member #98740
                October 13, 2010
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                Posted: May 5, 2011, 6:49 am - IP Logged

                Great mid and eve calls addai!!!

                 

                you'll get that P4 str8 soon enough!CTNY!

                Thanks JB...

                It's not the str8 that's the issue.

                It's bringing the numbers down to

                just 2...then I can pounce & make my move. Wink

                Most of my pairs come in str8 form

                ie. When I create them as is they fall as is.

                So that's a big help & it eliminates the need to

                play 24 ways for each #. The other 2 numbers usually

                come in diguise somewhere sacred within the game, so I'm

                not ending up with a trillion other pairs to match

                the str8 pair with.

                 

                2500 can be made in p3 easily with the right timing

                and a 5.00 wager. But 25k will take some very smart

                maneuvering. lol

                 

                After last night's distraction I think I'm officially done with posting

                up numbers for the public to see. P4 here I come.

                 

                Wished you liked P4 so we can work on it together :)

                 

                Keep up the good work. Jester

                The goal is to approach the Pick 3 & Pick 4 game sensibly and systematically!! Wink

                 I'm not like the guy who predicted the end of the world and nothing happened.

                  mglsr's avatar - candle
                  Tennessee
                  United States
                  Member #2369
                  September 23, 2003
                  3072 Posts
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                  Posted: May 5, 2011, 9:22 am - IP Logged

                  Today Mid or Eve:

                  830,980,831,981,832,982,843,853,863,837,983,948,985,986,987

                  "As Quoted by the Genius One:"

                          "Life i$ Good "   

                   $$$$ I FEEL LUCKY $$$$                                                               

                   *lay off and it pays off*

                    Astekblue's avatar - Tarlor
                    Kentucky
                    United States
                    Member #35086
                    March 12, 2006
                    10374 Posts
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                    Posted: May 5, 2011, 9:31 am - IP Logged

                    dang astek had that mid puppy straight a few days back

                    Thanks     Jonny

                     

                    Days   late  and  a  dollar  short

                     

                    I have  always had  pretty good  luck in  life.......but  my timing  has  always  been  off   Thud

                     

                    Sad   But   True

                     

                     

                    Astekblue

                      CTNY's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
                      New Haven, CT - Queens, NY
                      United States
                      Member #98740
                      October 13, 2010
                      5432 Posts
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                      Posted: May 5, 2011, 2:11 pm - IP Logged

                      Thanks M

                       

                      My Picks

                      *763*.762.761


                      653. 658. 663. 666 (Back up Box Plays)

                       

                       

                      Good Luck to All!

                      761 Midday (Str8 Shot) 3 #'s total

                      0244  Midday (hits the 2048 triad in the P4 thread)

                       

                      Okay how many is that already?

                      hope you guys played these 3 or 4

                      str8's I've predicted in a 4 day period with minimum

                      combos played. **sighs**

                       

                      7 in first like the game told me it was going to "DUE"/DO"! Jester

                      Those closest to me on here has today or tomorows

                      str8 pair in their inboxes. Please play them.

                       

                      Tek you got them!

                       

                      CTNY

                      Group Hug

                      The goal is to approach the Pick 3 & Pick 4 game sensibly and systematically!! Wink

                       I'm not like the guy who predicted the end of the world and nothing happened.

                        Avatar
                        ny, ny
                        United States
                        Member #98736
                        October 12, 2010
                        10025 Posts
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                        Posted: May 5, 2011, 3:09 pm - IP Logged

                        761 Midday (Str8 Shot) 3 #'s total

                        0244  Midday (hits the 2048 triad in the P4 thread)

                         

                        Okay how many is that already?

                        hope you guys played these 3 or 4

                        str8's I've predicted in a 4 day period with minimum

                        combos played. **sighs**

                         

                        7 in first like the game told me it was going to "DUE"/DO"! Jester

                        Those closest to me on here has today or tomorows

                        str8 pair in their inboxes. Please play them.

                         

                        Tek you got them!

                         

                        CTNY

                        Group Hug

                        Congrats CTNY another str8 call!!!

                        I saw your keys for today you posted before I am going to try them.

                        Oh and by the way Mail For You

                          JonnyBgood07's avatar - Patriots logo1.jpg
                          Connecticut
                          United States
                          Member #61623
                          May 29, 2008
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                          Posted: May 5, 2011, 4:35 pm - IP Logged

                          Brilliant call CTNY!!!!!!!.sad to say I haven't cashed in on any but hell of a job nevertheless!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                          3 vtracs we need to be aware of.They are currently running hard in the east.Expect one from each very shortly

                            v114/441  003,008,053,058,553,558,033,038,088,533,538,588
                           

                          v-115/551= 004,009,054,059,554,559,044,049,099,544,549,599

                          v-244/422= 133,138,188,633,638,688,866,861,811,663,361,113

                          "No matter how bad things may get, I'd like to thank my middle finger

                          for always sticking up for me.."

                           


                            Astekblue's avatar - Tarlor
                            Kentucky
                            United States
                            Member #35086
                            March 12, 2006
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                            Posted: May 5, 2011, 4:54 pm - IP Logged

                            Another    Straight      CTNY

                             

                             

                            Amazing  Play    !!!!!!!!!!!

                             

                            You    Run   For   President   .............   You   Got   My   Vote      Big Smile

                             

                             

                            WTG      !!!!!!!!!!       Thumbs Up

                             

                             

                             

                            Astekblue

                              JonnyBgood07's avatar - Patriots logo1.jpg
                              Connecticut
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                              Member #61623
                              May 29, 2008
                              20581 Posts
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                              Posted: May 5, 2011, 5:02 pm - IP Logged

                              WTG on the final Pair  astek!!!!!

                              "No matter how bad things may get, I'd like to thank my middle finger

                              for always sticking up for me.."

                               


                                 
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